MN Transplant Posted April 9, 2012 Share Posted April 9, 2012 Thought that this one probably deserved its own thread. March Year to date Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted April 9, 2012 Share Posted April 9, 2012 In terms of standardized anomalies, the March 2012 anomaly was 2.918 standard deviations above the 1895-2012 mean. The only months that had higher standardized anomalies were October 1963 (3.035 sigma) and September 1998 (3.030 sigma). Statistically, a month with a high temperature anomaly of 2.918 sigma above the historic mean has the probability of occurring only once every 47 years. The probability of any single month e.g., March, having a warm anomaly of 2.918 sigma above the historic mean is about once every 568 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 9, 2012 Share Posted April 9, 2012 I wonder if March is one of the more "torch" prone months given variables at play. IOW, having an increased sun angle, vegetation still dormant overall, lack of snow pack, and dry soils seems like the best combo to allow March to torch..relative to other months. All these feedback processes probably worked together to get this extreme warmth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted April 9, 2012 Share Posted April 9, 2012 I wonder if March is one of the more "torch" prone months given variables at play. IOW, having an increased sun angle, vegetation still dormant overall, lack of snow pack, and dry soils seems like the best combo to allow March to torch..relative to other months. All these feedback processes probably worked together to get this extreme warmth. I think so. Don't like saying anything is impossible but these types of anomalies would be next to impossible in many other months. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 10, 2012 Share Posted April 10, 2012 We also beat the previous April to March twelve month record set back in 1999. The previous 12-month period (April-March), which includes the second hottest summer (June-August) and fourth warmest winter (December-February), was the warmest such period for the contiguous United States. The 12-month running average temperature was 55.4°F, which is 2.6°F above the 20th century average. http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted April 10, 2012 Share Posted April 10, 2012 I think so. Don't like saying anything is impossible but these types of anomalies would be next to impossible in many other months. That's the reason I ran the standardized anomalies. March 2012 ranked as the third most extreme month in terms of high temperature deviations for the contiguous U.S. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 10, 2012 Share Posted April 10, 2012 That's the reason I ran the standardized anomalies. March 2012 ranked as the third most extreme month in terms of high temperature deviations for the contiguous U.S. Don, how did the standardized anomalies for January 2006 compare? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted April 10, 2012 Share Posted April 10, 2012 Don, how did the standardized anomalies for January 2006 compare? It was close. January 2006 was 2.807 standard deviations above the historic January mean temperature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 10, 2012 Share Posted April 10, 2012 It was close. January 2006 was 2.807 standard deviations above the historic January mean temperature. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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