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April 12th/13th and 15-16th Severe Weather Thread


andyhb

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA

230 PM CDT SUN APR 15 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN OMAHA HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

KNOX COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN NEBRASKA...

* UNTIL 330 PM CDT

* AT 227 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE

THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORNADOS. THESE STORMS WERE

LOCATED NEAR VERDIGRE...OR 31 MILES EAST OF ONEILL...AND MOVING

NORTH AT 25 MPH. SPOTTERS REPORTED A VERY BRIEF TORNADO TOUCHDOWN

1 MILE SOUTH OF VERDIGRE AT 227 PM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...

VERDIGRE...NIOBRARA...SANTEE AND VERDEL.

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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0555

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0629 PM CDT SUN APR 15 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF MIDDLE TEXAS COASTAL AREAS AND ADJACENT

COASTAL PLAIN

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 152329Z - 160100Z

THE NEED FOR A WATCH IS NOT CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED...BUT TRENDS WILL

CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF AN INCREASING SEVERE

THREAT.

LOCALLY ENHANCED CONVERGENCE ASSOCIATED WITH THE INTERSECTION OF AN

INLAND ADVANCING SEA-BREEZE AND SOUTHEASTWARD ADVANCING WEAK COLD

FRONT APPEARS TO HAVE BEEN THE INITIATING MECHANISM FOR ISOLATED

INTENSE CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT TO THE SOUTHWEST OF VICTORIA. THIS

IS BEING SUPPORTED BY FAIRLY LARGE CAPE OF 2000-3000+ J/KG...IN THE

PRESENCE OF HIGH BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE AND STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE

RATES. DEEP LAYER SHEAR BENEATH 30-50 KT SOUTHERLY 500 MB FLOW IS

AT LEAST MARGINALLY SUFFICIENT FOR SUBSTANTIVE MID-LEVEL UPDRAFT

ROTATION. AIDED BY A FOCUSED AREA OF ENHANCED LOWER/MID

TROPOSPHERIC WARM ADVECTION...ACTIVITY MAY PERSIST AT LEAST ANOTHER

SEVERAL HOURS. IT IS NOT CLEAR THAT A SUBSTANTIAL INCREASE IN

COVERAGE WILL OCCUR...BUT THE RISK FOR LARGE HAIL COULD

CONTINUE...ALONG WITH SOME POTENTIAL FOR AN ISOLATED

TORNADO...PERHAPS EVENTUALLY A LOCALIZED STRONG DOWNBURST...MAINLY

WEST/NORTHWEST OF CORPUS CHRISTI THROUGH 00-02Z.

..KERR.. 04/15/2012

ATTN...WFO...CRP...

post-32-0-08158100-1334533665.gif

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Closer to SE TX...

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX

801 PM CDT SUN APR 15 2012

TXZ235-160145-

JACKSON TX-

801 PM CDT SUN APR 15 2012

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...

AT 800 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS

TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR INEZ...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

PEA SIZED HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH

THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...

EDNA...GANADO AND LA WARD.

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