winterwarlock Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 will the trend of the rain event drying up before getting here continue tonight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 the Mt Holly disco for the next 5 days seems all over the map and Im confused as all heck as to what is going to happen. Looks like confidence is very low for the upcoming period. Warm front tries to come through tonight with rain/storms and 850mb warm air advection. We could clear out tomorrow afternoon and with 850 temps over 10 C get well into the 70's. Backdoor front takes over on Thursday with low level E flow. Probably 10 degrees cooler. More unsettled weather Thu/Fri but it will get warmer as the warmer air finally pushes past the marine layer. Loop the NAM and check out the 850mb temps for a good idea of what's going on aloft. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/ETAPA_18z/etaloop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 Highly speculative, but the gfs the last 3 runs at least has shown an EML advect into the region for Friday afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 The NAM has consistently shown a period of moderate rain overnight tonight, a warmup into the mid to upper 70's tomorrow away from the beaches, and then storms tomorrow evening over NE NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 0z NAM gets even warmer than the previous runs and the other models for tomorrow with 80 just SW of the city tomorrow and cloud cover clearing around 2 PM. The NAM is the warmest model right now, although upper 70s or 80 degrees may very well be within reach in NE NJ if the cloud cover clears as modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 Just a rough average has April at +2.0 after todays -4 departure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 Pouring here...and thunder....no work today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderdude Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 Thunder and Rain too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 Thunder woke me up at work smh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 It's been pouring here for the last 1/2 hour, don't know totals yet. Thunder just had to wake me up 2 hours before my alarm clock was supposed to. At least the reward is that now it may get up to 80 degrees all the way up through NE NJ today according to the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 Pretty solid heavy rain event training along the south shore. We should approach an inch total looking at whats downstream. Overall looks like a .5-.75 event region wide with the models verifying nicely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 Pouring here...and thunder....no work today really? we will be out probably around 10, this stuff is moving off and will be done shortly and sun will be out late morning on with temps in the upper 70s later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 really? we will be out probably around 10, this stuff is moving off and will be done shortly and sun will be out late morning on with temps in the upper 70s later. For me its a huge waste of money to start at 10....but i dont cut as many lawns as u do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 Yesterday was a -5 in NYC to finish off the month of April. NYC finished with 9 consecutive days of fairly big negative departures. Ended the month at +1.8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 Big difference b/w NYC and BDR. +3.6 here for the month and 2.97 inches of rain, 1.16 below ave Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 Final April stats: NYC: +1.8 LGA: +3.0 JFK: +2.8 ISP: +3.1 EWR: +2.4 BDR: +3.6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cold&cloudy Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 April here was 1.5 F above average, 2.44 in of rain, and 11 freezes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted May 1, 2012 Share Posted May 1, 2012 April here was 1.5 F above average, 2.44 in of rain, and 11 freezes. Best april ever? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted May 2, 2012 Share Posted May 2, 2012 Beautiful evening. Got in two sets of tennis before it got dark. Perfect weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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