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Tri-State Fire and Drought Wx Obs.


Snowlover76

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Aren't they such evil people, wanting to promote fire weather conditions?

I've always wondered why people get upset at others for wanting a certain weather phenomenon to occur. It's not as if we're wishing death and destruction on people, we want it for the meteorological excitement. Weather will do what it wants regardless of our petty desires.

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I've always wondered why people get upset at others for wanting a certain weather phenomenon to occur. It's not as if we're wishing death and destruction on people, we want it for the meteorological excitement. Weather will do what it wants regardless of our petty desires.

True, but what if I was genuinely hoping for a category 5 to come right through NYC? What does that say about me?

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Looks like an opportunity for maybe 0.5" or so of rain in spots over the weekend with the warm front. Better opportunity is likely when the cold front pushes through next week. If it can hang up or stall for a bit we could see more prolonged rain.

Being 6"+ behind, we definitely have some catching up to do before summer, when it will undoubtedly get worse due to higher water demand, plus the heat evaporating what we have.

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Looks like an opportunity for maybe 0.5" or so of rain in spots over the weekend with the warm front. Better opportunity is likely when the cold front pushes through next week. If it can hang up or stall for a bit we could see more prolonged rain.

Being 6"+ behind, we definitely have some catching up to do before summer, when it will undoubtedly get worse due to higher water demand, plus the heat evaporating what we have.

No need to wait for summer or that. We're pushing 90 in the second week of April.

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Looks like an opportunity for maybe 0.5" or so of rain in spots over the weekend with the warm front. Better opportunity is likely when the cold front pushes through next week. If it can hang up or stall for a bit we could see more prolonged rain.

Being 6"+ behind, we definitely have some catching up to do before summer, when it will undoubtedly get worse due to higher water demand, plus the heat evaporating what we have.

The gfs gives us less than .5" within the next 7 days, some stronger localized showers could give someone .5" if their lucky but nothing widespread. We would really need a 1-2 day 2-4" soaker to alleviate the dry conditions and that's not in the cards anytime soon.

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The gfs gives us less than .5" within the next 7 days, some stronger localized showers could give someone .5" if their lucky but nothing widespread. We would really need a 1-2 day 2-4" soaker to alleviate the dry conditions and that's not in the cards anytime soon.

Wednesday to Thursday timeframe is not settled yet. It does have a chance to be a stalled front type of thing with heavy rain for some parts. 0z euro has .75"-1.25" with localized higher amounts of rain areawide and into SNE.

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drought cancel

That's if the euro is right though. Euro has been pretty bad the past few months with the medium range.

The rest of the models have a drier front with only about .25" of rain with localized higher amounts under the convection but like Forky said yesterday it makes sense for there to be heavier rains with the elongated trough and ULLs.

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