N. OF PIKE Posted April 6, 2012 Share Posted April 6, 2012 but.....looking at vis . loop the sun should probably be out in possible abundance after 1pm ...as NNE/CNE is looking suprisingly bright with just a few clouds , that appear to be thinning as they move SE into metro bos vicinity/E SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted April 6, 2012 Share Posted April 6, 2012 And the 1965 followed 34.55" in 1964. I haven't been below 50" of rain since 2002. I can't even imagine what one year of low 30's would be like let alone two in a row. Five driest years at Central park: 1965: 26.28" 1964: 33.21" 1934: 34.13" 1963: 34.50"' 1910: 34.74" 1961 and 1962 also had under 40". Six states, CT,DE,MA,NJ,PA,RI, recorded their driest year in 1965. Next in line for that is 1936 with four (AR,MI,MS,SD.) Some spots in western VA got more rainfall in 5 hr (from remains of Camille) than NYC got in all of 1965. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted April 6, 2012 Share Posted April 6, 2012 Is there any chance this fookin' wind could let up this afternoon? It's fookin' are aerial work. Fookin' wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 6, 2012 Share Posted April 6, 2012 Interesting... GEFs -derived teleconnector suite tightly clustered around a warm signal for mid month now... PNA below 0.0 SD and falling, and NAO rises form -1 to +1 SD. That pretty much abandons the MJO as the only intriguing clue for western heights, eastern storminess. That said, the MJO has been ineffectual for months now... we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 6, 2012 Share Posted April 6, 2012 what's the fail? 25 day forecast FTL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 6, 2012 Share Posted April 6, 2012 25 day forecast FTL. hell, they can't get a 2.5 day forecast right, let alone a 25 day one...that is a joke...it's like having a 768 hour GFS run. - lol-just checked it out--from 4/16 to 4/30 we only get one day without clouds or rain... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted April 6, 2012 Share Posted April 6, 2012 25 day forecast FTL. Harold Brooks has been tracking their forecasts for OKC: "Some big changes in the 25-day outlook, but 22 April remains the same. 29 April now has forecast high/low of 81/63 instead of 66/55. The dry forecast for 14 April yesterday now has 1.4 inches of rain, but the 1.04 for the 17th has become 0.09. Adjust your outdoor plans accordingly." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted April 6, 2012 Share Posted April 6, 2012 Aww How can you complain about that fresh invigorating Canadian wind? It's beautiful out here. Upper 30s, pristine clear Canadian air and a freshening wind... Is there any chance this fookin' wind could let up this afternoon? It's fookin' are aerial work. Fookin' wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted April 6, 2012 Share Posted April 6, 2012 52 carolina blue skies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted April 6, 2012 Share Posted April 6, 2012 Harold Brooks has been tracking their forecasts for OKC: "Some big changes in the 25-day outlook, but 22 April remains the same. 29 April now has forecast high/low of 81/63 instead of 66/55. The dry forecast for 14 April yesterday now has 1.4 inches of rain, but the 1.04 for the 17th has become 0.09. Adjust your outdoor plans accordingly." LOLLL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted April 6, 2012 Share Posted April 6, 2012 Aww How can you complain about that fresh invigorating Canadian wind? It's beautiful out here. Upper 30s, pristine clear Canadian air and a freshening wind... I like the cold. It would be better if it were in the teens. The wind is making it more dangerous to swing beams. Fortunately the junior members of the crew are fairly expendable. Anything but torchy here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 6, 2012 Share Posted April 6, 2012 Harold Brooks has been tracking their forecasts for OKC: "Some big changes in the 25-day outlook, but 22 April remains the same. 29 April now has forecast high/low of 81/63 instead of 66/55. The dry forecast for 14 April yesterday now has 1.4 inches of rain, but the 1.04 for the 17th has become 0.09. Adjust your outdoor plans accordingly." LOL what a joke. What the hell is in the water over there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted April 6, 2012 Share Posted April 6, 2012 Only 47F and partly cloudy here. I thought we would see 56-57 today but definitely cool out there. Should pull a -4 or -5 today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 6, 2012 Share Posted April 6, 2012 LOL what a joke. What the hell is in the water over there. probably something BUSTardi concocted up before he flew the coop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 6, 2012 Share Posted April 6, 2012 Posted Feb 10: “…What does all that spell? for me...better than a 50/50 chance of an obnoxiously early spring (not that we've had any winter!). The kind where (yet again...) there is no appreciable threat in March; we haven't had a good March in years it seems. Maybe the month winds up +5 to who knows ... +10 across the board. I recall April of 2008 there was heat into the mid 90's during that month. Given to the current on-going 6-month warm anomaly trend persistence at least excuse imaginable, and considering we don't really see any reason that should break (other than any unknown random time should that decide to do so, not withstanding), ...eh, Sorry, just the way things look. If we can't cash in, in the next 10 days, seasonal trend combined with the current teleconnector prognostics do not bold well at all for those holding onto hope that this winter will at last - as in "ever" - produce….” I wish that had read -5 to -10 across the board, with snow measured in yardsticks, and had THAT verified. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted April 6, 2012 Share Posted April 6, 2012 Of course. I had an awesome Winter that isn't over yet. While you and Brian8675309 were nude sunbathing I was enjoying snow. If you want to spike the ball for that go ahead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 6, 2012 Author Share Posted April 6, 2012 Interesting... GEFs -derived teleconnector suite tightly clustered around a warm signal for mid month now... PNA below 0.0 SD and falling, and NAO rises form -1 to +1 SD. That pretty much abandons the MJO as the only intriguing clue for western heights, eastern storminess. That said, the MJO has been ineffectual for months now... we'll see. TORCH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 6, 2012 Author Share Posted April 6, 2012 Posted Feb 10: “…What does all that spell? for me...better than a 50/50 chance of an obnoxiously early spring (not that we've had any winter!). The kind where (yet again...) there is no appreciable threat in March; we haven't had a good March in years it seems. Maybe the month winds up +5 to who knows ... +10 across the board. I recall April of 2008 there was heat into the mid 90's during that month. Given to the current on-going 6-month warm anomaly trend persistence at least excuse imaginable, and considering we don't really see any reason that should break (other than any unknown random time should that decide to do so, not withstanding), ...eh, Sorry, just the way things look. If we can't cash in, in the next 10 days, seasonal trend combined with the current teleconnector prognostics do not bold well at all for those holding onto hope that this winter will at last - as in "ever" - produce….” I wish that had read -5 to -10 across the board, with snow measured in yardsticks, and had THAT verified. Some of us have been discussing this for over a year. March is no longer a winter month. March is spring. We only have 3 cold wx months now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 6, 2012 Share Posted April 6, 2012 TORCH Perhaps ... I 'm looking over the satellite and OLR images and it appears that the majority of the convection for this wave is biased on the southern hemispheric side of the equator. A quick supposition based upon that might just take us to suspect we won't see as much forcing on the northern Pac -N/A flow orientation because of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 6, 2012 Share Posted April 6, 2012 My money's on the eternal torch making a mid month appearance after its brief slumber Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 6, 2012 Share Posted April 6, 2012 Some of us have been discussing this for over a year. March is no longer a winter month. March is spring. We only have 3 cold wx months now LOL using 3 years as a sample size. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 6, 2012 Author Share Posted April 6, 2012 LOL using 3 years as a sample size. 7 out of the last 10 have been spring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 6, 2012 Share Posted April 6, 2012 Some mod with tech skills ought to code up a little macro that stops Kevin from starting any more threads in 2012, and have it say, "We're sorry - you've reached your allotted bandwidth on thread startage. Please refrain from any more threads espousing your frustration at not having it snow in March" - make sure it fires off only when he's finished composing the thread entry, to maximize the frustration. The 12z Euro is trying to warm up the extended... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 6, 2012 Author Share Posted April 6, 2012 Here it comes folks...long haired's ..cut your pony's....we have some major heat coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoob40 Posted April 6, 2012 Share Posted April 6, 2012 My money's on the eternal torch making a mid month appearance after its brief slumber You'll have a hard time convincing MRG and Mr. Ginx of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 6, 2012 Share Posted April 6, 2012 You'll have a hard time convincing MRG and Mr. Ginx of that. Good guys but I think they may chagrin there - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted April 6, 2012 Share Posted April 6, 2012 Some of us have been discussing this for over a year. March is no longer a winter month. March is spring. We only have 3 cold wx months now Depends upon where in New England one lives. The last 4 years, March hasn't been too great (though winter's coldest last year was -22 in March.) However, my 14-yr avg snow for March is 17", only 1" less than Dec, 3-4" less than Jan and Feb. It is a bit fickle for snow, with 3 years bringing 30"+ and 3 others less than 4". Despite the stronger sun/shorter nights, 3 of my 14 winters have had their coldest reading in March, 2001 and 2007 along with last year, and 2008 only missed because of leap year - coldest was on Feb. 29. In contrast, none of the 14 winters have bottomed out in Dec; in fact, I've yet to record -20 in that month, while it's reached that mark 9X in March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted April 6, 2012 Share Posted April 6, 2012 Warm up is a false signal, or will be transient. Long range will be dominated by a negative NAO, which will continue to enforce below normal temps across New England. We are not done with snow threats either. Notice how the GEFS have busted on the NAO forecast in the last week. Classic overperforming negative NAO right now, supported by now dominant tropical forcing relocated to the central Pacific. MJO is a very signal now, and will have to be taken into account when looking at the long range models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted April 6, 2012 Share Posted April 6, 2012 Warm up is a false signal, or will be transient. Long range will be dominated by a negative NAO, which will continue to enforce below normal temps across New England. We are not done with snow threats either. Notice how the GEFS have busted on the NAO forecast in the last week. Classic overperforming negative NAO right now, supported by now dominant tropical forcing relocated to the central Pacific. MJO is a very signal now, and will have to be taken into account when looking at the long range models Dude. We have a neg NAO right now and temps are still in the normal to positive departure territory. This weekend looks to be classic spring weather here with highs in the 60s. This winter was over a long time ago. You need cold air for snow, and unfortunately we have none of it. I was just up in Toronto and even there it was in the 50s by day and mid/upper 30s by night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 6, 2012 Share Posted April 6, 2012 You'll have a hard time convincing MRG and Mr. Ginx of that. anyone who can't see that we've been in a severe torch since 11/1 should have their head examined. Departures from average have only increased as each month has gone on. April is off to an above normal start even as the torch slumbers at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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