winterwarlock Posted April 26, 2012 Share Posted April 26, 2012 and that follows the trend of what we have seen pretty much all year long, except last weekends storm rain looks like a big bust today, should be able to get a full day of work in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted April 26, 2012 Share Posted April 26, 2012 and that follows the trend of what we have seen pretty much all year long, except last weekends storm rain looks like a big bust today, should be able to get a full day of work in. Looks like next week will be a nice and warm one. This weather sucks these past few days and the next 3-4 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted April 26, 2012 Share Posted April 26, 2012 and that follows the trend of what we have seen pretty much all year long, except last weekends storm rain looks like a big bust today, should be able to get a full day of work in. We work till 8 yesterday because of the forcast for today....looks like a full day of work today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted April 26, 2012 Share Posted April 26, 2012 You should stick to AP. You're right. Forecasting warmth in May is ludicrous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 26, 2012 Share Posted April 26, 2012 Looks like next week will be a nice and warm one. This weather sucks these past few days and the next 3-4 days. looks like the torch comes back middle of next week...I had forgotten what a cloudy cool week looked like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jefflaw77 Posted April 26, 2012 Share Posted April 26, 2012 looks like the torch comes back middle of next week...I had forgotten what a cloudy cool week looked like A perfect start to the month of MAY! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted April 26, 2012 Share Posted April 26, 2012 12z NAM says frozen precip will fall overnight Sat for the NW burbs.. Whether its accumulating or not is another story.. http://68.226.77.253/text/NAM80km/NAM_Kmgj.txt http://68.226.77.253/text/NAM80km/NAM_Kfwn.txt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bmc10 Posted April 26, 2012 Share Posted April 26, 2012 12z NAM says frozen precip will fall overnight Sat for the NW burbs.. Whether its accumulating or not is another story.. http://68.226.77.253...km/NAM_Kmgj.txt http://68.226.77.253...km/NAM_Kfwn.txt It is also furthest north with the precip, not so confident that will happen with the flow as is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nikolai Posted April 26, 2012 Share Posted April 26, 2012 NYC should have lower surface temps, I think. 850s are fine and the bulk falls from 00-12z, which is the best time of day in terms of temps... freezing level is only 1500-2000' AGL, too. Not that it means anything... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted April 26, 2012 Share Posted April 26, 2012 Little long island special rainstorm right now... Bring back the heat! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted April 26, 2012 Share Posted April 26, 2012 Little long island special rainstorm right now... Bring back the heat! I know Queens is technically part of LI, but just want to mention that its been raining here for over an hour. Miserable weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted April 26, 2012 Share Posted April 26, 2012 I know Queens is technically part of LI, but just want to mention that its been raining here for over an hour. Miserable weather. Yea i was including the whole land mass...this weather is boring as **** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted April 26, 2012 Share Posted April 26, 2012 Midtown as well though more like a heavy mist right now I know Queens is technically part of LI, but just want to mention that its been raining here for over an hour. Miserable weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted April 26, 2012 Share Posted April 26, 2012 Little long island special rainstorm right now... Bring back the heat! Your gonna have 5 months of constant heat starting next week so chill. I'm enjoying the cooler weather, it's been way too warm lately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted April 26, 2012 Share Posted April 26, 2012 Your gonna have 5 months of constant heat starting next week so chill. I'm enjoying the cooler weather, it's been way too warm lately. It will warm next week, but we have to be careful that it doesn't get ruined by rain and clouds (which the euro and other models have). Also, the NAO is negative to neutral right now and is forecasted to turn negative again past day 8 by the ensembles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted April 26, 2012 Share Posted April 26, 2012 Your gonna have 5 months of constant heat starting next week so chill. I'm enjoying the cooler weather, it's been way too warm lately. 5 months of constant heat? Def not constant heat by end of September...and this area almost never gets constant heat, maybe jersey, but not on the isle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted April 26, 2012 Share Posted April 26, 2012 Not a single drop of rain here in the first half of the day, although some models still show light rain with the second round currently in PA. The rainstorm on Sunday definitely helped but we're going to need more than that to get back to normal, the area is still under D1/D2 conditions. There's supposed to be some scattered showers late next week that may also limit the warmth potential, but there doesn't appear to be any significant rain through the medium range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 26, 2012 Share Posted April 26, 2012 rainshower here earlier...low 50's. Tough week of mainly clouds, light showers--guess we we due... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted April 26, 2012 Share Posted April 26, 2012 18z NAM continues its wintry look for the NW burbs this weekend. Actually increased qpf as well.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted April 26, 2012 Share Posted April 26, 2012 18z NAM continues its wintry look for the NW burbs this weekend. Actually increased qpf as well.. Looks like it has moderate snow for the further NW areas (don't know about accumulations), even ending as flakes near the immediate suburbs. I find it hard to trust the NAM though given how often it exaggerates snow events in its medium-long range and that at this time it's the northernmost model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted April 26, 2012 Share Posted April 26, 2012 lets see if this weekends system dries up as we get closer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted April 26, 2012 Share Posted April 26, 2012 18z NAM. Surface temperatures are slightly cooler this run compared to the previous 12z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted April 26, 2012 Share Posted April 26, 2012 Should be interesting when the Hi Res NMM and ARW come into range... because the differences with the NAM and GFS are simply ludicrous. The radar presentation at hour 48 looks relatively impressive for the precipitation event. http://www.meteo.psu..._12z/rad48.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted April 26, 2012 Share Posted April 26, 2012 Should be interesting when the Hi Res NMM and ARW come into range... because the differences with the NAM and GFS are simply ludicrous. The radar presentation at hour 48 looks relatively impressive for the precipitation event. http://www.meteo.psu..._12z/rad48.html The Euro keeps us mostly dry on Sunday also. Same as the GFS. I've seen the NAM score coups before, but I doubt it this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted April 26, 2012 Share Posted April 26, 2012 The Euro keeps us mostly dry on Sunday also. Same as the GFS. I've seen the NAM score coups before, but I doubt it this time. From what I've seen many times, when the NAM is much more organized, wetter and further north than the other models especially with fast moving waves of low pressure like this one, it tends to cave in. It also did the same thing with the March 31 potential. The best example of a NAM coup I can think of is January 11-12, 2011 when it had up to 2 feet of snow in parts of CT while the global models were too dry/east, although it doesn't happen frequently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 26, 2012 Share Posted April 26, 2012 60s and 70s would be good in the summer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted April 27, 2012 Share Posted April 27, 2012 60s and 70s would be good in the summer For lows? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted April 27, 2012 Share Posted April 27, 2012 Your gonna have 5 months of constant heat starting next week so chill. I'm enjoying the cooler weather, it's been way too warm lately. As long as I've lived on Long Island...May seems much more often than not to be anomalously cool just as often as September tends to be anomalously warm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted April 27, 2012 Share Posted April 27, 2012 As long as I've lived on Long Island...May seems much more often than not to be anomalously cool just as often as September tends to be anomalously warm... You'd be correct that September has been warmer than May with respect to normals in recent years. Although, May is still very slightly above normal for 2000-2011. 2000-2011 September: 2000-2011 May: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cold&cloudy Posted April 27, 2012 Share Posted April 27, 2012 60s and 70s would be good in the summer Agreed. 60s and 70s during the day, around 50 F at night. Perfect for sleeping and outdoor activities. No A/C. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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