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2012 April Banter Thread


NEG NAO

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Yesterday was NYC's most significant negative departure (-7) since February 12th. The next couple days will probably be near-normal, then slightly above the middle of the week, back down to near normal late week. So we still cannot get a string of below normal days.

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DT and JB doesnt think that was an April fools joke. :D

Lets be fair it is possible areas north and west of NYC metro will see some accumulating snow the next couple of weeks and not totally out of the question some wet snow or sleet could mix in closer to the coast like what happened the other night............

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I'm just concerned about a potential lagging trough over the Northwest Atlantic east of New England and backdoor woes again. Often times, despite the breakdown of blocking, those features can hang around for a while and really muck up an otherwise warm pattern across the Eastern 1/3 of the CONUS.

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Looking at the dual-pol data from Mount Holly, looks like there could be some graupel/small hail mixed in with those high reflectivities up north. Might be bright-banding of sorts but the ρhv is only ~0.9 which would indicate a mix of rain and ice pellets. Kdp is high in the region, so the rain is certainly heavy in and around Morris county.

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