GaWx Posted April 18, 2012 Share Posted April 18, 2012 The 12Z Wed Euro not surprisingly says to the SE US "no snow for you!" It also doesn't have the big cold and looks far different from the 0Z Euro. It caved pretty close to the 12Z GFS/other models. Is this the last Euro run to show this (three of them total) or will there be another in our future? Stay tuned for the next episode of "As the Model Turns". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted April 18, 2012 Share Posted April 18, 2012 Henry Margusity Fan Club 14 minutes ago via HootSuite New Euro is way out to lunch on the so called "monster" storm. I threw it away! Like · · Share 4 people like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted April 18, 2012 Share Posted April 18, 2012 just hit the 2" mark (that includes both yesterday and today so far) and its still raining at a pretty good clip. more notably, the current temp is 51 lol. no wonder it fills "chilly" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAWGNKITTEN Posted April 18, 2012 Share Posted April 18, 2012 We're sitting at 2.35" from yesterday and today, temp is sitting at 57. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted April 18, 2012 Share Posted April 18, 2012 Currently 79 and raining. Finally for the first time this month. Like always though the heavier precip is to the northwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted April 18, 2012 Share Posted April 18, 2012 A big 0.12 from this event. High hopes for the weekend though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted April 18, 2012 Share Posted April 18, 2012 1.12" from the system here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted April 18, 2012 Share Posted April 18, 2012 2.25 inches of rain from yesterday and today... I don't like the trend of the models today...sending our weekend system up or just off the coast. what looked like a big rain producer for the Apps is becoming less and less with each run. Maybe it will trend back with tonight's 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted April 19, 2012 Share Posted April 19, 2012 0.34'' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted April 19, 2012 Share Posted April 19, 2012 CAE picked up .02 :gun_bandana: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toxictwister00 Posted April 19, 2012 Share Posted April 19, 2012 1.69 inches, we did better than I thought we would. Keep it comin' this weekend! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted April 19, 2012 Share Posted April 19, 2012 Is anyone staying up late to see if the 0Z Euro will once again bring the SE US back to the "Promised Land"? I'm not and will, instead, go with the idea that a closely watched Doc will never produce snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gastonwxman Posted April 19, 2012 Author Share Posted April 19, 2012 Over the past two days, I've only got up to 0.70". Only managed to keep 59 as the official high (as of midnight Wednesday) and dropped back to 54 by 4pm. Felt more like January than April... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CandymanColumbusGA Posted April 19, 2012 Share Posted April 19, 2012 Goodness! If the models keep sending this ULL to Cuba, we won't see nearly as much rain... The edge of the rain shield is forecast to be just south of Columbus, Macon, Savannah. The only saving light is Florida gets to see its rain! The rest of us may not have as wet a weekend as forecast... I still think it won't dig nearly as far south as the models are now indicating, but it will be interesting to see if they keep getting us drier and drier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted April 19, 2012 Share Posted April 19, 2012 .10" overnight. Just enough to settle the dust around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted April 19, 2012 Share Posted April 19, 2012 0.34'' Got about 0.30 here too. Good grief, another total screwjob. Two or three times in a row now that the models have shown 1 plus inches here only to get screwed. The last time was even worse, only got a few sprinkles. Ugh. Lookout screwjob is in full effect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dwagner88 Posted April 19, 2012 Share Posted April 19, 2012 Only 0.15 here. We had a wet March, but April is gonna be WAY below normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted April 19, 2012 Share Posted April 19, 2012 CAE picked up .02 :gun_bandana: Me too But I"ll take to .2 in exchange for todays weather. I just love me some cad, and it has been cool in the low 60's, cloudy and occasionally drippy all day. What a great spring day!!!! I hope for more and more all spring/summer Tony Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted April 19, 2012 Share Posted April 19, 2012 RAH says "What rain"? WHAT A DIFFERENCE 24 HOUR MAKES...AS NWP MODEL GUIDANCE HAS MADE A DEFINITE SOUTHWARD AND EASTWARD SHIFT WITH THE TRACK OF THE SOUTHERN STREAM STORM SYSTEM. IT HAD BEEN HIGHLIGHTED IN PREVIOUS DISCUSSIONS...THAT THE WEEKEND FORECAST WOULD HINGE UPON THE TRACK/TIMING OF THE SOUTHERN STREAM LOW PRESSURE CYCLONE...AND THIS IS CERTAINLY THE CASE AS THE LIKELIHOOD FOR CENTRAL NC SEEING A WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL HAS DRASTICALLY DECREASED AS THE SUPPRESSED STORM TRACK NOW KEEPS THE BEST GULF MOISTURE PLUME LARGELY SOUTH AND OFFSHORE WITH LITTLE TO NO ATLANTIC MOISTURE FEED INLAND. SOME OF THE NORTHERN OUTLIER MODELS...LIKE THE 00Z/19 EC SUGGEST COASTAL AREAS COULD STILL SEE SOME BENEFICIAL RAINFALL ALONG THE WESTERN/NORTHWEST FRINGE OF THE DEEPER MOISTURE SHIELD ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKING ALONG OR EAST OF THE OUTER BANKS. THESE DETAILS WILL NEED TO BE IRONED OUT OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...BUT ATTM...THE HEAVY RAIN THREAT LOOKS CONFINED TO THE COAST. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted April 19, 2012 Share Posted April 19, 2012 RAH says "What rain"? Good. I need to work in the yard this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted April 19, 2012 Share Posted April 19, 2012 Me too But I"ll take to .2 in exchange for todays weather. I just love me some cad, and it has been cool in the low 60's, cloudy and occasionally drippy all day. What a great spring day!!!! I hope for more and more all spring/summer Tony I am enjoying the cool,cloudy day This is much better than temps in upper 80's/low 90's I just wish it would rain, my daylillies are beginning to bloom and they are quite thirsty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted April 19, 2012 Share Posted April 19, 2012 The 18z GFS has our Southern low south of the area still. FL are the only real winners in this setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted April 19, 2012 Share Posted April 19, 2012 The 18z GFS has our Southern low south of the area still. FL are the only real winners in this setup. It looks like the coldest of the last four Goofy runs with the 0C 850 line down to almost Augusta, GA, Orangeburg, SC, and MYR on 4/24. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted April 20, 2012 Share Posted April 20, 2012 It looks like the coldest of the last four Goofy runs with the 0C 850 line down to almost Augusta, GA, Orangeburg, SC, and MYR on 4/24. 0Z GFS caves to Euro with regard to cold Folks, The headline says it all. The 0Z Goofy has caved to the Euro's cold as it has the 0C 850 line almost all the way down to Columbus, GA, on 4/23 and to Charleston, SC, on 4/24! Stay tuned to this BB for further updates as they become available. Anyone going to watch the Doc as it arrives tonight? Please do so at your own risk of disappointment. It arrives within two hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted April 20, 2012 Share Posted April 20, 2012 I'll listen, if you'll report! And I'll even sign a hold harmless, lol. T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted April 20, 2012 Share Posted April 20, 2012 RAH says "What rain"? The 00z trends north, as usual. The models do this every time, and RAH follows them almost unquestioningly. It's a bit concerning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted April 20, 2012 Share Posted April 20, 2012 Van Denton FOX8 WGHP TV Sunday-Tuesday.......Turning Colder....threat of Frost again Monday night and our Mtns may see some SNOW Sunday and Monday. Talked about this at 10pm on Thursday night....latest models are even more impressive for this scenario. Remember, this is the 20 year anniversary of the 57 inch snowfall on Mt Pisgah.....in early May 1992. Like · · Share · 78 · 24 minutes ago · Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted April 20, 2012 Share Posted April 20, 2012 The 00z trends north, as usual. The models do this every time, and RAH follows them almost unquestioningly. It's a bit concerning. And RAH brings the rain back AS MENTIONED THURSDAY... THE OPERATIONAL MODELS QPF (VERIFICATION STORM TOTAL WITH THE EXPECTED STORM ITSELF SAT NIGHT INTO SUN NIGHT)... HAVE BEEN ALL OVER THE PLACE... WITH THE GFS OUTPUT IN PARTICULAR... THE MOST VARIED... RANGING FROM ZERO (THE 00Z/19 GFS RUN) FOR RALEIGH... TO NEARLY 3 INCHES (00Z/20 APRIL GFS RUN). WE CONCEDED THURSDAY THAT WE WOULD TAKE A SIMPLISTIC APPROACH TO THE MODELS FORECAST OF THIS SYSTEM FOR VARIOUS REASONS. A BLEND OF THE PREFERRED MODELS TRACK/STRENGTH/TIMING SUPPORTS QPF RANGING FROM A QUARTER TO A HALF INCH ALONG THE YADKIN RIVER RANGING TO 2-3 INCHES ALONG THE COASTAL PLAIN. A GOOD SOAKING OF 1-2 INCHES IS EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE PIEDMONT WITH LESSER AMOUNTS OVER THE WESTERN TRIAD REGION. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted April 20, 2012 Share Posted April 20, 2012 Van Denton FOX8 WGHP TV Sunday-Tuesday.......Turning Colder....threat of Frost again Monday night and our Mtns may see some SNOW Sunday and Monday. Talked about this at 10pm on Thursday night....latest models are even more impressive for this scenario. Remember, this is the 20 year anniversary of the 57 inch snowfall on Mt Pisgah.....in early May 1992. Like · · Share · 24 minutes ago · I understand that people are getting excited about this storm, but I see no unique characteristics about it. The Euro, GFS, and NAM do not project snow for the NC mountains. While that may be a interesting historical fact, it does not correlate with this system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted April 20, 2012 Share Posted April 20, 2012 Folks, The 6z Goofy has the 0 C 850 line down to Savannah on 4/24, the furthest south yet for a Goofy run. KATL is now projected by MeteoStar to get all the way down to 36 on Tuesday, 4/24, while the 859 is -1 C. Exciting times. Stay tuned to this BB for further updates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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