Mr. Windcredible! Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 Don't look now...but the last two runs of the NAM have put out a generous 0.75-1" of QPF, mostly snow, for early Saturday morning centered along the NYS Thruway. Euro had a much weaker system in terms of QPF but potentially cold enough to support flakes for what does fall. Same goes for the GFS. I wouldn't buy into the NAM at this point...it was pretty bad this year...although it did really well with the leap day event and thermal profiles were pretty good throughout the winter. Right now I think just some flakes possible, but potential is there for a light to moderate event, especially in the typical sweet spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 The NAM just shifted well south on the 12Z run. What a surprise... LOL Don't look now...but the last two runs of the NAM have put out a generous 0.75-1" of QPF, mostly snow, for early Saturday morning centered along the NYS Thruway. Euro had a much weaker system in terms of QPF but potentially cold enough to support flakes for what does fall. Same goes for the GFS. I wouldn't buy into the NAM at this point...it was pretty bad this year...although it did really well with the leap day event and thermal profiles were pretty good throughout the winter. Right now I think just some flakes possible, but potential is there for a light to moderate event, especially in the typical sweet spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted March 29, 2012 Author Share Posted March 29, 2012 The NAM just shifted well south on the 12Z run. What a surprise... LOL I knew this thread would jinx it...my bad. NAM does look much more like the GFS and Euro now...but still suggest some potential for a couple inches for some places...maybe just south of the Thruway and across the Catskills? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 Am I shovelling at 1150 ft down in Monroe on Sat? it would figure that I would wind up with almost twice as much as up in Queensbury......where my snow blower resides. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 Had a few burst of sleet today, even some flakes mixing in..Temp at 35 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 Am I shovelling at 1150 ft down in Monroe on Sat? it would figure that I would wind up with almost twice as much as up in Queensbury......where my snow blower resides. Would be nice... If your shoveling in Monroe then I will be as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 30, 2012 Share Posted March 30, 2012 The 0Z NAM continued to move back north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 30, 2012 Share Posted March 30, 2012 0z rgem is north http://collaboration...pe_gem_reg.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying MXZ Posted March 30, 2012 Share Posted March 30, 2012 Looking good for someone to get a decent snow? NWS calling for 2"-4" here, mainly on the hills. Heaviest may miss to the south, but some snow would be nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted March 30, 2012 Author Share Posted March 30, 2012 Am I shovelling at 1150 ft down in Monroe on Sat? it would figure that I would wind up with almost twice as much as up in Queensbury......where my snow blower resides. Monroe seems to be shaping up to be a bit of a sweet spot.Portions of the Catskills and Poconos should manage 2-4" easily. Likely mostly some flakes for those of us in the valley...but I could see a light coating for some though if this thing doesn't pull a complete whiff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted March 30, 2012 Share Posted March 30, 2012 18z NAM just did it's usually late-in-the-game hacking of qpf....especially to the north of the southern tier.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 fairly heavy sleet and snow at my girlfriends in west seneca. Roads are completly covered with snow from tonawanda northward judging by webcams. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 I was only about 8 miles or so northwest of Monroe today near Chester, among other places for work. Balmy day down there ...but I guess things can change fast with the cold air aloft and some dynamics. As to here ...36 at midnight and heavy virga underway. LOL ..but eventually it should start as snow and accumulate a bit. Monroe seems to be shaping up to be a bit of a sweet spot.Portions of the Catskills and Poconos should manage 2-4" easily. Likely mostly some flakes for those of us in the valley...but I could see a light coating for some though if this thing doesn't pull a complete whiff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
manhattanandcatskills Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 We did better than I thought--a little over 2" at 2/K ft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWeather Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 Maybe a few flurries is all here. Sidewalk and deck are dry. We'll wait till next year for some more snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 Steady light snow persists here with fog. 31F outside. Everything is coated white, but not much... < .5"... But it looks pretty. Maybe a few flurries is all here. Sidewalk and deck are dry. We'll wait till next year for some more snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying MXZ Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 We did better than I thought--a little over 2" at 2/K ft. You did a lot better than me. It's white here, but similar to Logan11 at <.5". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 .5" or so.... still a light fine snow filtering down though and 30.2F. The best stuff must have gone through the southern/central Catskills. Last night I decided to take the "western" route home from Goshen....up 17 to Roscoe and then 206 to 30 and all the way north to my neighborhood up here. That area toward Roscoe probably did pretty good. You did a lot better than me. It's white here, but similar to Logan11 at <.5". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying MXZ Posted April 1, 2012 Share Posted April 1, 2012 Crappy rainy day turned into a nice snowy wintry day around 3:30. It has snowed hard at times since then but has had trouble sticking but the grass is starting to turn white. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Catskills Posted April 1, 2012 Share Posted April 1, 2012 Crappy rainy day turned into a nice snowy wintry day around 3:30. It has snowed hard at times since then but has had trouble sticking but the grass is starting to turn white. Seems to be quite elevation-dependent. Friends in Bovina at 2000+ reported snow earlier -- but not down here at 1500'. Now it is snowing nicely with large, composite flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roady Posted April 1, 2012 Share Posted April 1, 2012 Crappy rainy day turned into a nice snowy wintry day around 3:30. It has snowed hard at times since then but has had trouble sticking but the grass is starting to turn white. Snow all day here with leftovers from yesterday still on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
manhattanandcatskills Posted April 2, 2012 Share Posted April 2, 2012 Crappy rainy day turned into a nice snowy wintry day around 3:30. It has snowed hard at times since then but has had trouble sticking but the grass is starting to turn white. That is so funny because it started out as a little snow/sleet around 1:30 in Andes but then went over to rain. I left at 2:30, but when I got to the highest elevation on 206 there were flakes mixed in. When I got to NJ to have Palm Sunday dinner with family, up in the "high" areas of Bergen it almost seemed like it was about to mix, and I had wondered about what was happening Upstate. So it did turn back over...interesting...I thought it was only getting warmer. Regardless, the precip. all the way back was very heavy, which, of course, makes it easier to support snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted April 2, 2012 Share Posted April 2, 2012 Postscript on Saturday's event.... The southern Catskills got the most ...if you want to call 3 inches a lot. The Slide Mountain obs isn't literally at the summit. The summit is a good 1500 ft higher and probably got more. That's a great hike I would recommend. It's a good trail and gradual enough that most people in reasonable shape can do it. NOUS41 KALY 311328 PNSALY CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066-082>084- VTZ013>015-010128- PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT SPOTTER REPORTS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 928 AM EDT SAT MAR 31 2012 THE FOLLOWING ARE UNOFFICIAL OBSERVATIONS TAKEN DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS FOR THE STORM THAT HAS BEEN AFFECTING OUR REGION. APPRECIATION IS EXTENDED TO HIGHWAY DEPARTMENTS...COOPERATIVE OBSERVERS...SKYWARN SPOTTERS AND MEDIA FOR THESE REPORTS. THIS SUMMARY IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON OUR HOME PAGE AT WEATHER.GOV/ALBANY ********************STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL******************** LOCATION STORM TOTAL TIME/DATE COMMENTS SNOWFALL OF /INCHES/ MEASUREMENT CONNECTICUT ...LITCHFIELD COUNTY... NORFOLK 3.4 800 AM 3/31 CO-OP OBSERVER WINSTED 2.0 819 AM 3/31 SPOTTER BAKERSVILLE 1.2 830 AM 3/31 CO-OP OBSERVER MASSACHUSETTS ...BERKSHIRE COUNTY... ALFORD 0.2 737 AM 3/31 WEATHERNET6 NEW YORK ...ALBANY COUNTY... SOUTH BERNE 0.5 505 AM 3/31 WEATHERNET6 ...DUTCHESS COUNTY... RHINEBECK 0.5 904 AM 3/31 GENERAL PUBLIC 4 SE RHINEBECK 0.5 730 AM 3/31 CO-OP OBSERVER RED HOOK 0.5 700 AM 3/31 CO-OP OBSERVER ...FULTON COUNTY... 7 NW GLOVERSVILLE 0.5 800 AM 3/31 CO-OP OBSERVER ...GREENE COUNTY... ELKA PARK 2.3 547 AM 3/31 WEATHERNET6 HALCOTT CENTER 1.7 601 AM 3/31 WEATHERNET6 EAST JEWETT 1.4 650 AM 3/31 CO-OP OBSERVER GREENVILLE CENTER 1.2 600 AM 3/31 WEATHERNET6 ASHLAND 1.0 738 AM 3/31 WEATHERNET6 ...HAMILTON COUNTY... 2 SW INDIAN LAKE 1.0 830 AM 3/31 CO-OP OBSERVER INLET 1.0 719 AM 3/31 SPOTTER ...RENSSELAER COUNTY... TROY T 700 AM 3/31 CO-OP OBSERVER ...SARATOGA COUNTY... BALLSTON LAKE 0.2 738 AM 3/31 WEATHERNET6 ...SCHENECTADY COUNTY... DELANSON 0.5 904 AM 3/31 GENERAL PUBLIC SCOTIA 0.5 629 AM 3/31 WEATHERNET6 ...SCHOHARIE COUNTY... JEFFERSON 1.0 827 AM 3/31 WEATHERNET6 CHARLOTTEVILLE 0.2 521 AM 3/31 WEATHERNET6 ...ULSTER COUNTY... PHOENICIA 3.0 725 AM 3/31 CO-OP OBSERVER GLENFORD 3.0 800 AM 3/31 SPOTTER WEST SHOKAN 2.3 651 AM 3/31 WEATHERNET6 ASHOKAN 2.3 904 AM 3/31 GENERAL PUBLIC SLIDE MOUNTAIN 2.0 700 AM 3/31 CO-OP OBSERVER WOODSTOCK 2.0 904 AM 3/31 GENERAL PUBLIC ULSTER PARK 1.2 600 AM 3/31 WEATHERNET6 BEARSVILLE 0.7 700 AM 3/31 CO-OP OBSERVER SAUGERTIES 0.5 709 AM 3/31 WEATHERNET6 ...WASHINGTON COUNTY... HEBRON 0.2 628 AM 3/31 WEATHERNET6 VERMONT ...BENNINGTON COUNTY... LANDGROVE 0.2 1131 AM 3/30 WEATHERNET6 POWNAL T 830 AM 3/31 CO-OP OBSERVER $$ LFM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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