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April 2012 General Discussion


Guru Of Reason

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Days like this are why living near the lake sucks; even NW Wisconsin is generally in the mid 50s but we're stuck in the upper 40s.

At least it is sunny today!

... Yeah Tropical those maps do look familiar.

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The summer of '09 was pretty crappy. Never seen a summer even close to as cool as that was. Felt like a once in a lifetime kind of thing. Sure hope that doesn't happen again.

Pushing 70 here under full sun.

I think 2009 summer was the one I reached 90 only twice.

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Hmmm.... 2009 redo? Really thinking we pay big time soon. June - September is starting to look ugly. If a strong nino develops, lock this in ... with moderating temperatures by November 1st in time for another mild nino winter. June and July look like -NAO / +PNA

post-5896-0-12698500-1333388001.gif

Does the map above look familiar for June and July? Step back 3 years.

post-5896-0-98765900-1333387892.gif

Total waste of a pattern, save this for November-April.

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I just realized we have a whole lot of seagulls along the shoreline of Lake Mendota already. My neighborhood sounds like the beach.

Already!? They never leave the Lake Michigan shoreline to speak of. Enjoy the Florida weather!

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-10 850's down to MKE :shiver: And even Ohio/Indiana the next frame :shiver:

I guess GRB wasn't on crack with that AFD a few days ago when they were taking about a possible polar vortex visit..

:wub:

f192.gif

Why the hell would they use oranges/reds for cool weather while using blue for warm weather? Seems kinda counter-intuitive.

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Why the hell would they use oranges/reds for cool weather while using blue for warm weather? Seems kinda counter-intuitive.

Those colors represent 24 hour changes in forecast 500mb heights...warm colors for lower heights and cool colors for higher heights than what the model forecasted for the timeframe 24 hours previous to the image.

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Love it when its 70 in La Crosse and 50 in Suckville.

Eh, after this area was a winner all of March, I really don't care for these kind of days. In fact, they are downright crappy. On the other hand, if next week's cold outbreak could coincide with any precip, there'd be some happy campers.

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Eh, after this area was a winner all of March, I really don't care for these kind of days. In fact, they are downright crappy. On the other hand, if next week's cold outbreak could coincide with any precip, there'd be some happy campers.

Meh, at this point even for a cold and snow lover like me it's just a nuisance and hurts a lot of folks who have stuff in the ground.

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Quad Cities talking about next week's possible cold.

WEEK OF APRIL 9 THROUGH 13...HARD FREEZE POSSIBLE NEXT WEEK. ECM

CONSISTENT AND THE GFS NOW COMING AROUND TO THE ECM IN CARVING OUT A

SUBSTANTIAL TROUGH IN THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. WITH THE ARCTIC

OSCILLATION/NORTH ATLANTIC OSCILLATION FORECAST TO TREND NEGATIVE

THE GATES ARE OPEN FOR MUCH COLDER WEATHER FOR MUCH OF THE COUNTRY

EAST OF THE ROCKIES. 850 MB TEMPS ARE PROGGED BELOW ZERO CELSIUS FOR

MUCH OF NEXT WEEK AND AS COLD AS -8C IN THE DVN CWA. MINIMUM

TEMPERATURES MAY DROP IN THE 20S WITH A HARD FREEZE FOR AT LEAST A

COUPLE OF NIGHTS NEXT WEEK. GARDENING INTERESTS WILL WANT TO MONITOR

THIS DRAMATIC WEATHER CHANGE.

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Quad Cities talking about next week's possible cold.

WEEK OF APRIL 9 THROUGH 13...HARD FREEZE POSSIBLE NEXT WEEK. ECM

CONSISTENT AND THE GFS NOW COMING AROUND TO THE ECM IN CARVING OUT A

SUBSTANTIAL TROUGH IN THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. WITH THE ARCTIC

OSCILLATION/NORTH ATLANTIC OSCILLATION FORECAST TO TREND NEGATIVE

THE GATES ARE OPEN FOR MUCH COLDER WEATHER FOR MUCH OF THE COUNTRY

EAST OF THE ROCKIES. 850 MB TEMPS ARE PROGGED BELOW ZERO CELSIUS FOR

MUCH OF NEXT WEEK AND AS COLD AS -8C IN THE DVN CWA. MINIMUM

TEMPERATURES MAY DROP IN THE 20S WITH A HARD FREEZE FOR AT LEAST A

COUPLE OF NIGHTS NEXT WEEK. GARDENING INTERESTS WILL WANT TO MONITOR

THIS DRAMATIC WEATHER CHANGE.

This predicted cold snap correlates well with the dip in the NAO. Little lag period by the looks of it.

nao.sprd2.gif

Topped at 52° today.

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Nina basically gone now...could have ramifications especially farther down the road. It would take an act of God for meteorological spring to not be above average.

Still only April but based on current data and indications of further warming across the ENSO regions thru mid month, it would be logical to assume a possible neutral or Nino anomaly next winter but its still quite early. IMO, I'd rather wait till late May-June before coming to any conclusions.

I personally wouldn't mind a Nino next Winter (Weak one)....after seeing this dreaded La Nina Winter. Everything this past Winter flopped, f*cking sad. Despite huge records in March, and the AGW "crew" screaming out aloud....I didn't mind it at all, bring on Summer :D. A summer of perhaps 08 or 09 would be nice after seeing two extremely hot summers in a row lol.

More or less.....seasonal this week in terms of temps.

http://www.weatherof...l?on-143&unit=i

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