michsnowfreak Posted April 1, 2012 Share Posted April 1, 2012 Damn right I'm loving this Stebooo! Me too. Screw it, some people like things that arent with the majority. Yes, most non-weather hobbyists would think we are crazy, but no more so than they think of someone who roots on a severe outbreak, which just ends up destroying some peoples lives. I admit it was funny that the last day of the warmest March on record had a high temp almost 10 degrees below normal under a thick overcast Ma Nature is playing an April Fools on weather forecasters. Two days ago our projected high for today was 68F, yesterday, it was 66F. This mornings forecast issuance dropped the forecasted high to 58F, and the latest update has dropped it to 54F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 1, 2012 Share Posted April 1, 2012 Pretty big differences in the forecast for tomorrow compared to a few days ago for many areas. Especially southern WI/northeast IL. This is the forecast for 21z tomorrow afternoon... Fri morning's 12z NAM And today's 12z run for the same 21z time period. Went from mid 80s to low 60s. Would probably be even cooler than this if there's thick stratus again... Kind of depressing for those who were looking forward to some more early season heat. The extensive sunshine has allowed it to warm up to 69 here. The backdoor cold front is just northeast of here though and heading this way. Don't think the clouds will make it in, but the front will likely stop the temp rise here in a bit. Tomorrow now looks like we may be stuck in the 50s with thick stratus if these new 12z runs are correct. The trend is heading in that direction so I'm sure they are. If that indeed works out it could be in the 50s here, with 80s just a county or two south. If that happens I may jump in the truck and blast into that heat to shoot a video of the temp increase on the truck's temp display. 59° is forecast for here tomorrow. But with the east wind, I'm not so sure it will be mostly sunny as LOT is predicting. This is about the warmest temperatures for today according to the 12z NAM. FYI - not complaining about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted April 1, 2012 Share Posted April 1, 2012 lol to the complainers who have to suffer through a day or two of near "normal" weather. You just experienced the warmest March, by far, on record. Anyways, +1 to the "real heat" looking to be a fail here for Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted April 1, 2012 Share Posted April 1, 2012 Pretty cool live wind map... http://hint.fm/wind/index.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted April 1, 2012 Share Posted April 1, 2012 Temp up to 69. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 1, 2012 Share Posted April 1, 2012 Pretty cool live wind map... http://hint.fm/wind/index.html Yeah that is pretty cool! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted April 1, 2012 Share Posted April 1, 2012 Up to 71 here. Front is right on top of us. Quite the range over the DVN area. Only 50 in Dubuque, to 72 at Moline, and 81 in Galesburg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted April 1, 2012 Share Posted April 1, 2012 Ha. Models fail under 48 hrs. So looking ahead into the med range and even teleconection projections...not even worth it. One day at a time. BTW. Last year sucked compared to this April IMO. Getting a temp over 50 on April 1st should be considered a plus aroun the lakes. We never really get hot around here until June anyways. Enjoy your hooded sweatshirts and sunglasses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted April 1, 2012 Share Posted April 1, 2012 Clouds are dying quickly now...should go clear here soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trapperman Posted April 1, 2012 Share Posted April 1, 2012 Sun busted out here. Should be a top-shelf afternoon with perhaps a lightning show tonight. Perfect day. Perfect early spring week in store as well. Now THIS is what I expect of "above normal" in early April. This Afternoon: Mostly sunny, with a high near 64. East southeast wind between 10 and 13 mph. Tonight: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50. Southeast wind between 9 and 13 mph. Monday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 65. East southeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming north northeast. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Monday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1am, then a slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 42. North northwest wind between 5 and 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 61. North wind between 7 and 9 mph. Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 39. Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 60. Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 38. Thursday: Sunny, with a high near 59. Thursday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 40. Friday: Sunny, with a high near 60. Friday Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 44. Saturday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 58. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted April 1, 2012 Share Posted April 1, 2012 Went clear about 10 minutes ago....gorgeous now. Thinking back..this is exactly what happened last Sunday... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted April 1, 2012 Share Posted April 1, 2012 Can watch it die on the skycam loop from the NWS http://www.crh.noaa.gov/arx/skycam.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guru Of Reason Posted April 1, 2012 Author Share Posted April 1, 2012 Temps: http://www.cpc.ncep....es/Temperature/ Precip: http://www.cpc.ncep..../Precipitation/ Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted April 1, 2012 Share Posted April 1, 2012 The stratus deck stopped its sw'ward progression before reaching Cedar Rapids. We are north of the front, but it's sunny and pleasant with a temp in the upper 60s. Everyone south of the front is already in the 80s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted April 1, 2012 Share Posted April 1, 2012 86 in central IL and 46 in extreme northeast IL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted April 1, 2012 Share Posted April 1, 2012 Still in the soup but satellite imagery and warming sfc temps suggest this will be over soon. Haven't seen the sun in days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 1, 2012 Share Posted April 1, 2012 86 in central IL and 46 in extreme northeast IL. Even some low 40s within a mile of the lake up here. Was in downtown Zion and fog was trying to get organized. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted April 1, 2012 Share Posted April 1, 2012 73 and sunny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted April 1, 2012 Share Posted April 1, 2012 Sun busted out here. Should be a top-shelf afternoon with perhaps a lightning show tonight. Perfect day. Perfect early spring week in store as well. Now THIS is what I expect of "above normal" in early April. This Afternoon: Mostly sunny, with a high near 64. East southeast wind between 10 and 13 mph. Tonight: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50. Southeast wind between 9 and 13 mph. Monday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 65. East southeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming north northeast. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Monday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1am, then a slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 42. North northwest wind between 5 and 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 61. North wind between 7 and 9 mph. Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 39. Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 60. Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 38. Thursday: Sunny, with a high near 59. Thursday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 40. Friday: Sunny, with a high near 60. Friday Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 44. Saturday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 58. Dang! That's almost a carbon copy of my forecast down here. The only difference is about 10 degrees warmer Tuesday and the chances of rain are about 12 hours later here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted April 1, 2012 Share Posted April 1, 2012 How long will it roll into neutral? Long duration or jumping back into Nina or right into a weak niño ? Most seem to think we are gonna roll into weak nino by summer. A bit depends on this MJO progression. Thus we could roll into Nino before May and end up with a stronger Nino at that. My worry is the stronger nino ( sucks for winter for one) playing out because the MJO has begun to pick up steam again. Basically it is gonna be hold your breath till this thing gets past phase 1. Climo says we are due for a weak nino ( not mod/strong ) but yeah you know how that usually works. lol Chances of returning back to Nina are very very slim. As you can see here the water just below the surface has been in warming mode for a while now. Here is the latest 7 day change map. Note the PDO region as well which tends to follow along ( or tries to ) with enso and vice versa. For now i am going with a weak Nino and will say there is a chance it ends up stronger. See what happens over the next couple of weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trapperman Posted April 1, 2012 Share Posted April 1, 2012 I'm too lazy to post the 240 Euro but... if anything it's more extreme than the GFS... total vegdev to the east 1/3rd... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted April 1, 2012 Share Posted April 1, 2012 Yummy! April colder then March? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted April 1, 2012 Share Posted April 1, 2012 Pretty strong east winds are killing temps here today... Sioux Falls is once again around 90F... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 1, 2012 Share Posted April 1, 2012 Probably peak at 47° today. ~unless the sun breaks out, which is not likely. Clouds lightened up about 3pm, but darkened right back up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted April 1, 2012 Share Posted April 1, 2012 Another late day high. Temp sitting at 78 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted April 1, 2012 Share Posted April 1, 2012 It must be wonderful in St. Louis right now. I wonder what the temperature are like there... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted April 1, 2012 Share Posted April 1, 2012 Oh, I did finally see the sun for a total of 30 minutes today, as before today the last time anyone in Detroit saw the sun was 2 PM Wednesday (10 mintues this afternoon, 20 minutes just after sunrise). Par for the course I guess, given the fact that we're cloudiest region outside the Pacific NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted April 1, 2012 Share Posted April 1, 2012 Made it to 75 today with full sun all day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted April 1, 2012 Share Posted April 1, 2012 Cyclone- Even with full sun now since 12;30 or so...we still only managed 62F. All that cold air to the east is blowing in here. Although...we sat outside all afternoon and it was wonderful...so no complaints. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 1, 2012 Share Posted April 1, 2012 Made it to 75 today with full sun all day. About 30° cooler here! Sitting at 44° now. 4th day in a row of 40s. Not going to complain, it wasn't raining all day or anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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