BeastFromTheEast Posted April 24, 2012 Share Posted April 24, 2012 18z weak and supressed not much in the way of precip..... Hr. 108 shows some Snow at MSP.. Waiting to see what the 0z shows.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted April 24, 2012 Share Posted April 24, 2012 12z Euro a little bit like the GFS. Not as deep with the trough though. 12Z Euro Wundeground Clown Map FWIW... Dips it as far south as the IL/WI border.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted April 24, 2012 Share Posted April 24, 2012 Snow or no snow...it looks brutal cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted April 24, 2012 Share Posted April 24, 2012 12z Euro a little bit like the GFS. Not as deep with the trough though. More importantly is the euro has been trending towards the GFS. The threat is definitely legit this go around. Alot more going for it vs the prior stuff the models showed for a day and lost/shifted north. Different pattern for one. More models showing it and not just one run either. What is really interesting is the models showing it closing off and that could play havoc with precip amounts/how fast it gets out of here. Also helps keep the colder air locked in longer. Thus this has some real potential ( for a decent event ) for many in this region. NOT saying it will happen but yeah there is a bit going for it. Right now it looks like most north of say i80 may see some flakes at the very least. See how things go over the next few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted April 24, 2012 Share Posted April 24, 2012 Apparently the aurora is faintly visible west of here in less light polluted/rural areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 24, 2012 Share Posted April 24, 2012 Apparently the aurora is faintly visible west of here in less light polluted/rural areas. I just took a look, but didn't see anything resembling the aurora. Skies here have been increasing with light pollution over the last decade. Edit: 0z NAM, 84hour looking similar to the GFS regarding the potential storm this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted April 24, 2012 Share Posted April 24, 2012 Apparently the aurora is faintly visible west of here in less light polluted/rural areas. Definitely there, but not too impressive. Pretty cool though nonetheless. Shot this just outside (west) of Erie. Can see the headlights streaking by on I-88 in the distance... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minnesota Meso Posted April 24, 2012 Share Posted April 24, 2012 18z GFS ensembles seem to be all over the place, not much agreement with the operational as far as snowfall goes. To check it out go to this link, individual ensemble members snowfall are shown on the bottom. When you pull it up the operational will be in the upper left corner. To view each individual map, right click and choose view image. http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/Members.html here is a example. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted April 24, 2012 Share Posted April 24, 2012 Monday, April 23rd: Hi: 59F Lo: 37F Overall Sky Conditions: Partly Cloudy Max Wind Gust: 32MPH Rainfall: 0.00" Snowfall: 0.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 24, 2012 Share Posted April 24, 2012 18z GFS ensembles seem to be all over the place, not much agreement with the operational as far as snowfall goes. To check it out go to this link, individual ensemble members snowfall are shown on the bottom. When you pull it up the operational will be in the upper left corner. To view each individual map, right click and choose view image. http://raleighwx.ame...ls/Members.html here is a example. Nice link! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minnesota Meso Posted April 24, 2012 Share Posted April 24, 2012 Nice link! Thanks, I used that often with the last snowfall here in the Twin Cities metro, It appeared that the Euro and the Ukie were favoring 4-7" in the North metro, GFS and Nam operational were further north, yet about half of the ensembles agreed with the Euro and Ukie, so I went with it, and it verified, most of our local mets were calling for 2-3 where 4-7 fell. I found it to be a nice tool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted April 24, 2012 Share Posted April 24, 2012 Surpressed south and dry have not seen that in the last 5 months have we? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 24, 2012 Share Posted April 24, 2012 Definitely there, but not too impressive. Pretty cool though nonetheless. Shot this just outside (west) of Erie. Can see the headlights streaking by on I-88 in the distance... looks pretty impressive to me, thanks for sharing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 24, 2012 Share Posted April 24, 2012 and lol @ the snow talk. Couple of wet flurries tops for the entire region Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted April 24, 2012 Share Posted April 24, 2012 GFS still showing mid 20Fs here this weekend.... At least the snow looks dead this far north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted April 24, 2012 Share Posted April 24, 2012 How great would it be to wake up Saturday morning to a couple inches of powder (well, prob slush). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted April 24, 2012 Share Posted April 24, 2012 How great would it be to wake up Saturday morning to a couple inches of powder (well, prob slush). Yesterday at this time it looked like there was at least a chance. Looking less likely at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted April 24, 2012 Share Posted April 24, 2012 MOS shows temps above freezing all weekend, while GFS drops us into the 20Fs.. The Euro keeps the coldest temps east (850 temps) ... High pressure/calm winds/clear skies may be in the cards with high pressure around...but records are upper 20Fs, so lets hope we stay above 28F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted April 24, 2012 Share Posted April 24, 2012 April will be colder than March (56.6) at IND most likely. Current average temp is 54.6, through yesterday, and the rest of April looks to average below normal. April being colder than March has only happened once in Indy's recorded history (beginning in 1871)...1907 with March having an average temp of 48.0 and April 43.3. At the time, that March was the warmest on record. April 1907 is still the coldest on record (by 2.3 over second place). Of course the amazing warmth of March 2012 made it "easier" for this to happen. To put it into perspective, there have only been 16 Aprils for Indianapolis that were as warm or warmer than March 2012. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted April 24, 2012 Share Posted April 24, 2012 What is sad is that April is still running above normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted April 24, 2012 Share Posted April 24, 2012 What is sad is that April is still running above normal. Yep. Going by decade for April at Indianapolis, the 2000's had the warmest average temperature (54.5º versus the longterm average of 52.4º). If we do the last 10, 2002 to 2011, it is 55.1º. So one could say this April will end up right around average, or even below average, of the past 10-12. The April 1981-10 normal average temperature at IND is 53.2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted April 24, 2012 Share Posted April 24, 2012 What is sad is that April is still running above normal. Thats a good thing. The weather has been beautiful and mostly warm/seasonable, its been a great April for outdoor activities. Not much rain and snow has also helped. Looks like we coast into May on the cool side (50s-low60s). Ill take it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted April 24, 2012 Share Posted April 24, 2012 Yesterday at this time it looked like there was at least a chance. Looking less likely at the moment. Most of the ensembles still look interesting for some in the region. What the OP does is almost meaningless if the big picture is not viewed. That said, an inch or two is probably the best most can hope for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minnesota Meso Posted April 24, 2012 Share Posted April 24, 2012 check this time lapse video shot near Fergus Falls, MN......Holy Aurora's batman...cool stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted April 24, 2012 Share Posted April 24, 2012 Most of the ensembles still look interesting for some in the region. What the OP does is almost meaningless if the big picture is not viewed. That said, an inch or two is probably the best most can hope for. Dont necessarily disagree with you, my only point is that the most recent runs are not as promising as previous runs. Lots of dry air is going to be feeding into the northern precip it looks like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted April 24, 2012 Share Posted April 24, 2012 Nice.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 24, 2012 Share Posted April 24, 2012 how is six wet flurries "nice"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted April 24, 2012 Share Posted April 24, 2012 how is six wet flurries "nice"? It's called "April expectations"; they are definitely low. Whereas normally a few inches would be needed for a satisfying storm, a slushy inch would be great in late April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted April 24, 2012 Share Posted April 24, 2012 how is six wet flurries "nice"? 1 Wet Flurry is "nice" for me, especially in late April Which all i'm really hoping for with this.. Some last flakes that's all.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted April 24, 2012 Share Posted April 24, 2012 Impressed with the videos and pics of the northern lights. Its an added plus when you see them south of the 45. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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