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April 2012 General Discussion


Guru Of Reason

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Moderate to heavy rain band coming through right now. Lo and behold, MKX issued a statement explaining the tornado siren test since they had some complaints about not knowing whether to take it seriously.

:weenie:

I had forgot about it and it woke me up from my nap.. Yeah, I figured it out after I came to my senses of being woken up while walking to the PC.

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Woke up to Upper 40s this morning, but has fallen since. Down to 41° (Wind Chill low to mid 30s). Picked up 0.33" of rain today so far. Little better then I expected.

Edit:...The NAM has been off with temperatures today and timing. And really off with precipitation placement.

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Incredible temp contrast over the DVN area. Upper 40s in the north near Dubuque, and 70 in the QC. We've cooled to 57. About 10-15 miles south it's near 70. The thermal ridge should move through briefly in the next few hours as the WF gets a slight bump northward. Wouldn't be surprised to see it jump back close to 70 later this eve.

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SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP

OVER NORTHWEST OHIO FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND SPREAD INTO THE CENTRAL AND

EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE AREA FRIDAY EVENING AND NIGHT. THE STRENGTH

OF THE COLD FRONT IS FAIRLY IMPRESSIVE AND MY INITIAL THOUGHT WERE

FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE WEATHER. HOWEVER AFTER LOOKING AT THE BUFKIT

SOUNDING THE INSTABILITY IS VERY LIMITED. I BELIEVE THIS WILL BE A

LIMITING FACTOR IN THE SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL. THE 18Z SPC OUTLOOK

PLACES MOST OF THE AREA IN "SEE TEXT" FOR DAY TWO. THERE IS A

THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING BUT IT

IS LIMITED. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE FRIDAY NIGHT AS

THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION.

Area Forecast Discussion from the NWS in Cleveland earlier this evening.

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tomorrow morning will mark the 13th night with lows below 40 for april so far.. Last March only had 10 through the 24th.

This month is turning out more typical. Slightly warm. +2.4°

:lmao: average March temperature here: 48.71°, April 1st - 18: 46.64°

.35" of rain today

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SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP

OVER NORTHWEST OHIO FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND SPREAD INTO THE CENTRAL AND

EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE AREA FRIDAY EVENING AND NIGHT. THE STRENGTH

OF THE COLD FRONT IS FAIRLY IMPRESSIVE AND MY INITIAL THOUGHT WERE

FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE WEATHER. HOWEVER AFTER LOOKING AT THE BUFKIT

SOUNDING THE INSTABILITY IS VERY LIMITED. I BELIEVE THIS WILL BE A

LIMITING FACTOR IN THE SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL. THE 18Z SPC OUTLOOK

PLACES MOST OF THE AREA IN "SEE TEXT" FOR DAY TWO. THERE IS A

THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING BUT IT

IS LIMITED. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE FRIDAY NIGHT AS

THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION.

Area Forecast Discussion from the NWS in Cleveland earlier this evening.

What will likely happen is that we get a narrow line of strong showers late Friday Afternoon that produces advisory-type winds.

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39 °F in Madison with 0.86" of rain today so far. Doesn't look like it'll get cold enough to snow so I'm only missing a cold rain.

Sunday is starting to look very interesting as far as winter precip chances go.

Like in the morning? Mid 50s predicted during the day.

Really fogging up here. 41.7°.

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66 with a gusty south wind now here. Amazing temp contrast over northern IL. WF is probably only a few miles north of here. Only 52 in Clinton.

Yeah, it's cool seeing the wavy front laid out with the influence from Lake Michigan. 51° up 88 in Dixon. Looks like the front has made it all the way to Peotone south of Chicago - only 46° there now. Yet 67° at Kankakee airport! 21°/18miles.

Speaking of boundaries... the GFS is showing the lower lakes being near the dividing line between warm and cool air next week - especially the last half. Could get interesting.

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Got about 0.30" of rain earlier from a couple batches of light to moderate rain. It looked like we might not get much more this evening, but right before the back edge moved in it intensified and quickly dropped another 0.54". That puts us over 2 inches in the last week.

The Euro consistently had the warm front lifting north through CR today with highs in the 60s, but it never made it.

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