gosaints Posted April 14, 2012 Share Posted April 14, 2012 NAM continues to say not much rain around here. Isolated areas will get a good blasting tomorrow afternoon, but not the drought buster it once looked like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted April 14, 2012 Share Posted April 14, 2012 classic models were too far north with MCS activity scenario last night...same thing will happen tonight. Then that should also mean they're too far north w/ tomorrow's severe weather threat, and it will be more of a Madison-Rockford-Milwaukee-Chicago deal rather than C Wisconsin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guru Of Reason Posted April 14, 2012 Author Share Posted April 14, 2012 We have been getting slammed with heavy rain for the past 24 hours. Keep the drought away! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted April 14, 2012 Share Posted April 14, 2012 Not the soaking type of rain we need. This mornings precip won't even make a dent in the dryness. Waiting on round 2. If that duds out its back to the mini dust bowl. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 14, 2012 Share Posted April 14, 2012 New GFS is a more generous with rainfall around here. Hopefully it can trend a little further north. A pleasant 61° at noon here, cloudy though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted April 14, 2012 Share Posted April 14, 2012 Filtered sun and mid 60s FTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted April 14, 2012 Share Posted April 14, 2012 I'm interested in seeing where the MCS ends up tracking overnight. Consensus seems to be right near the WI/IL border counties. Some of the short term models and the GGEM favor S Wisconsin, but the 12z GFS favors N Illinois. Hopefully it blows through sooner rather than later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 14, 2012 Share Posted April 14, 2012 I'm interested in seeing where the MCS ends up tracking overnight. Consensus seems to be right near the WI/IL border counties. Some of the short term models and the GGEM favor S Wisconsin, but the 12z GFS favors N Illinois. Hopefully it blows through sooner rather than later. I think it was 2 summer/springs ago that several MCS's tracked across the area. They ended up coming through twice a week for awhile! Waiting to see the new 18z NAM maps come out. A pleasant 69° out right now! HRRR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted April 14, 2012 Share Posted April 14, 2012 lock in the 12z GFS...accumulating snow for SE MI on Friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted April 14, 2012 Share Posted April 14, 2012 lock in the 12z GFS...accumulating snow for SE MI on Friday 6z BUFKIT showed 6" for kptk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted April 14, 2012 Share Posted April 14, 2012 lock in the 12z GFS...accumulating snow for SE MI on Friday Josh's last stand before he retreats to Comerica park in the shade. It would be neat to get a plastering of cement although it would cause incredible damage considering the foliage. Snapping tree limbs and wires. I'm gonna bank on a 47 degree cold rain while northern MI gets nailed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropical Posted April 14, 2012 Share Posted April 14, 2012 One more week of crap weather to get through and then it looks like summer kicks in. Will be planting all my tropicals next Sunday if the models hold their forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted April 14, 2012 Share Posted April 14, 2012 One more week of crap weather to get through and then it looks like summer kicks in. Will be planting all my tropicals next Sunday if the models hold their forecast. This. Getting my garden beds ready this weekend. May 1st is right around the corner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted April 14, 2012 Share Posted April 14, 2012 Temps came up well short of forecast today... mid 60s vs. low 70s. There is little wind, though, so it's very pleasant. We should get some nice rain tonight. Maybe there will be a severe storm on the southern end of the complex, but mostly it appears to be just a big blob of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 14, 2012 Share Posted April 14, 2012 18z run of the NAM doesn't look nearly as impressive with the rain tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropical Posted April 14, 2012 Share Posted April 14, 2012 This. Getting my garden beds ready this weekend. May 1st is right around the corner. What kind of plants you putting in? I'm planting various banana plants, cannas, elephant ears and a few other things. My windmill palms are already in their summer growth mode. Soil temperature is 60 today. Usually I put everything in when we reach that soil temperature, but with next week looking like a turd I'm gonna hold off for another week. Usually the soil temperature reaches 60 between May 1 and May 7 here. Sent from my iPad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted April 14, 2012 Share Posted April 14, 2012 lock in the 12z GFS...accumulating snow for SE MI on Friday I can deal with that, because summer arrives just after that (massive heat wave). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropical Posted April 14, 2012 Share Posted April 14, 2012 I can deal with that, because summer arrives just after that (massive heat wave). It's been very consistent on the models. The CFS v2, CPC and NAEFS concur also! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted April 15, 2012 Share Posted April 15, 2012 It's been very consistent on the models. The CFS v2, CPC and NAEFS concur also! we will see. i certainly wouldnt call it a massive heatwave lol. anyway first things first, someone in this region looks ripe to get a very late season snow friday/friday night. The euro says northern WI/MI, GFS says southern MI, and DGEX says southern MI and northern IN/OH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 15, 2012 Share Posted April 15, 2012 Pretty decent day today- near 70, mostly cloudy. Dry so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnweather Posted April 15, 2012 Share Posted April 15, 2012 we will see. i certainly wouldnt call it a massive heatwave lol. anyway first things first, someone in this region looks ripe to get a very late season snow friday/friday night. The euro says northern WI/MI, GFS says southern MI, and DGEX says southern MI and northern IN/OH. FWIW, it looks like the 12Z CMC is looking more like the Euro. 12Z Ukie in Oklahoma at 144 hrs. Pretty big differences between the 4 main globals. I guess that is to be expected though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted April 15, 2012 Share Posted April 15, 2012 we will see. i certainly wouldnt call it a massive heatwave lol. anyway first things first, someone in this region looks ripe to get a very late season snow friday/friday night. The euro says northern WI/MI, GFS says southern MI, and DGEX says southern MI and northern IN/OH. I used massive relatively. For Detroit in April, that would be a massive heatwave (of course, it would be typical summertime warmth in late June). But of course, that far out, it's no more likely than the accumulating snow showed on some of the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted April 15, 2012 Share Posted April 15, 2012 I used massive relatively. For Detroit in April, that would be a massive heatwave (of course, it would be typical summertime warmth in late June). But of course, that far out, it's no more likely than the accumulating snow showed on some of the models. This.. Even though a number of models shows the snow threat and heat afterwards i would not get excited just yet about either. However that sort of thing is how i saw this spring playing out with the wild temp swings like that. Thus it would not surprise me to see both verify. Again that 76 analog sorta played out like that. Again not saying it will happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted April 15, 2012 Share Posted April 15, 2012 Hopefully Don S comes through and gets us a hot summer... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 15, 2012 Share Posted April 15, 2012 classic models were too far north with MCS activity scenario last night...same thing will happen tonight. saw this coming a mile away, sorry for stealing your MCS cromartie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted April 15, 2012 Share Posted April 15, 2012 saw this coming a mile away, sorry for stealing your MCS cromartie Not so fast, first of all, the squall line is weakening, second of all, we're still going to be getting some thunder, lightning and heavy rain. Cromartie will not need sympathy anyway. He will enjoy his upper 70s tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 15, 2012 Share Posted April 15, 2012 Not so fast, first of all, the squall line is weakening, second of all, we're still going to be getting some thunder, lightning and heavy rain. Cromartie will not need sympathy anyway. He will enjoy his upper 70s tomorrow. tonights best action, heaviest rain and storms will end up south of what model guidance was showing for days...just like i said it would. tomorrow does look interesting up your way and especially further west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted April 15, 2012 Share Posted April 15, 2012 tonights best action, heaviest rain and storms will end up south of what model guidance was showing for days...just like i said it would. tomorrow does look interesting up your way and especially further west. All I'm saying is Tropical will be fine. The warm front will still easily clear him, and he is already playing with house money this year, so to speak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted April 15, 2012 Share Posted April 15, 2012 All I'm saying is Tropical will be fine. The warm front will still easily clear him, and he is already playing with house money this year, so to speak. Not so fast, first of all, the squall line is weakening, second of all, we're still going to be getting some thunder, lightning and heavy rain. Cromartie will not need sympathy anyway. He will enjoy his upper 70s tomorrow. Just saying but no one really gives a **** about how Torchartie is feeling.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 15, 2012 Share Posted April 15, 2012 it's cromartie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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