daddylonglegs Posted April 12, 2012 Share Posted April 12, 2012 Topped off at 56F here....after 26F, so a nice climb. A gorgeous evening with no wind and perfectly clear skies...took a nice long bike ride... Could use a couple inches of rain around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted April 12, 2012 Share Posted April 12, 2012 As to be expected, late intrahour bump to 56. Double digit departure cancel. Stupid LAF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted April 12, 2012 Share Posted April 12, 2012 yawn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted April 12, 2012 Share Posted April 12, 2012 Pretty cool: SHAWANO, Wis. (AP) — The state Department of Natural Resources has tagged a 125-year-old sturgeon that's bigger than a linebacker and is the largest on record in Wisconsin. Officials found the 7-foot-3-inch long, 240-pound female sturgeon in the Wolf River near Shawano on Tuesday, said DNR sturgeon biologist Ron Bruch. He estimated the fish was born around 1887, when Grover Cleveland was president. Read more: http://lacrossetribu...l#ixzz1rn1USd00 MSP still mentioning a possibility of snow next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 12, 2012 Share Posted April 12, 2012 Pretty cool: Read more: http://lacrossetribu...l#ixzz1rn1USd00 MSP still mentioning a possibility of snow next week. No picture! Haha, Wisconsin's oldest resident! Incredible. I noticed the snow shower/flurry activity around 144 hours on the 18z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted April 12, 2012 Share Posted April 12, 2012 The convection this weekend is going to wreak havoc on warm front placement, and subsequent temperatures in many locations. Could be one of those situations where it's in the 50s here and the mid-80s around Fort Wayne and Indianapolis (just awful). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted April 12, 2012 Share Posted April 12, 2012 The convecfion this weekend is going to wreak havoc on warm front placement, and subsequent temperatures in many locations. Could be one of those situations where it's in the 50s here and the mid-80s around Fort WAyne and Indianapolis (just awful). Yeah I think the convective complex train will keep the warm front in check compared to what some of the models are showing. Very typical for this early in the Spring though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 12, 2012 Share Posted April 12, 2012 Probably end up with one of those infamous I-80/88 warm fronts. The ones that deluge this area, but with little in the way of thunder or lightning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted April 12, 2012 Share Posted April 12, 2012 As to be expected, late intrahour bump to 56. Double digit departure cancel. Stupid LAF. Lol, we went from 54 at 3 PM to 52 at 4 PM then up to 56 after that. Technically a -9.5 departure for the day...can we round down? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted April 12, 2012 Share Posted April 12, 2012 The convection this weekend is going to wreak havoc on warm front placement, and subsequent temperatures in many locations. Could be one of those situations where it's in the 50s here and the mid-80s around Fort Wayne and Indianapolis (just awful). It won't be awful, we need the rain and I would like some interesting weather for work. Both ++ IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted April 12, 2012 Share Posted April 12, 2012 Tuesday, April 10th: Hi: 45F Lo: 30F Overall Sky Conditions: Partly Cloudy Max Wind Gust: 30MPH Rainfall: 0.00" Snowfall: 0.0" Wednesday, April 11th: Hi: 55F Lo: 30F Overall Sky Conditions: Partly Cloudy Max Wind Gust: 21MPH Rainfall: 0.00" Snowfall: 0.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted April 12, 2012 Share Posted April 12, 2012 Interesting: SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT...THE MODELS ARE STILL STRUGGLING ON HOW FAR NORTH THE WARM FRONT WILL GET. THE NAM/WRF MOVES THIS FRONT AS FAR NORTH AS WISCONSIN 29. MEANWHILE THE GFS...GEM...AND ECMWF SUGGEST THAT THIS FRONT WILL BE LOCATED SOMEWHERE SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE 90 CORRIDOR. SOUTH OF THIS FRONT...THE ML CAPES CLIMB INTO THE 1000 TO 2000 J/KG RANGE. IN ADDITION TO THIS INSTABILITY...THERE WILL THE 0-6 KM BULK SHEAR WILL BE IN THE EXCESS OF 50 KNOTS. AS A RESULT...THERE WILL BE PLENTY OF SHEAR TO ORGANIZE THE THUNDERSTORMS INTO SUPERCELLS. WITH THE 0-1 KM HELICITY RUNNING BETWEEN 200-300 M2/S2 AND THE SIG TORNADO PARAMETER USING MLCIN IS IN THE EXCESS OF 5...WE WILL HAVE TO WATCH FOR THE POTENTIAL OF TORNADOES ALONG THE WARM FRONT. ONE THING INTERESTING THAT SHOWED UP IN THE CIPS WARM-SEASON ANALOG WAS THAT THE NUMBER 1 ANALOG WAS MAY 25 2008. THIS WAS THE DAY IN WHICH THE PARKERSBURG IOWA TORNADO OCCURRED. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted April 12, 2012 Share Posted April 12, 2012 Probably shouldn't have thrown away the shovel .THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT THERE WILL BE A STRONG CANADIAN HIGH. THIS PATTERN IS RATHER SIMILAR TO APRIL 9-10 1973. HOWEVER THE LOW TRACK WAS JUST A BIT FURTHER SOUTH....THUS...EVEN COLDER AIR ACROSS THE REGION. IN THAT STORM...LA CROSSE RECEIVE 16 INCHES OF SNOW AND ROCHESTER RECEIVED 6.4 INCHES. THIS HIGH WILL BEGIN TO BRING UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR INTO THE REGION BEGINNING ON MONDAY MORNING AND THEN RAPIDLY COOL THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE ONE QUESTION IS WHETHER THE TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL BECOME COLD ENOUGH FOR THE RAIN TO CHANGE OVER TO SNOW PRIOR TO THE PRECIPITATION COMING TO AN END. LOOKING AT THE BUFKIT SOUNDINGS...THEY WERE CLOSE ENOUGH THAT THEY WARRANTED THE ADDITION OF SNOW TO THE FORECAST NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 90 CORRIDOR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 12, 2012 Share Posted April 12, 2012 My weekend temperatures keep trending down. Down to 64/63 as opposed to upper 60s, 70ish. I'll bet that warm front stalls out around here somewhere. Very typical of spring warm fronts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted April 12, 2012 Share Posted April 12, 2012 Lol, we went from 54 at 3 PM to 52 at 4 PM then up to 56 after that. Technically a -9.5 departure for the day...can we round down? Shenanigans. Interestingly, the 56 came at 4:02pm per the climate report, yet the 3:54pm temp was 52...though I guess the clouds were breaking up/sun was in and out around that time. Then of course 54 at 4:54pm, 55 at 5:54pm. Moral of the story, never say never at LAF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted April 12, 2012 Share Posted April 12, 2012 I'm really looking forward to this weekend. The freeze watch stuff is mildly interesting for a night or two, but I'm getting bored. Getting into the warm sector and watching for thunderstorms and possibly some severe weather on Saturday is going to be a nice change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted April 12, 2012 Share Posted April 12, 2012 I'm concerned about leaving to Florida again Saturday since that's when all the thunderstorm action starts. Aside from being lame since I'll miss it, my car is going to be a sitting duck. Goddamn traveling... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropical Posted April 12, 2012 Share Posted April 12, 2012 Interesting. 6z and now 12z GFS show 3 day warm sector here this weekend. Previously it was one day and out. Trend or anomaly? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 12, 2012 Share Posted April 12, 2012 Interesting. 6z and now 12z GFS show 3 day warm sector here this weekend. Previously it was one day and out. Trend or anomaly? My forecast shows 65 tops this weekend. Only 2 days above 60 in the 7day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted April 12, 2012 Share Posted April 12, 2012 Looks like into the mid 70Fs here both Sat and Sun... and then back into the freezer... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted April 12, 2012 Share Posted April 12, 2012 Looks like into the mid 70Fs here both Sat and Sun... and then back into the freezer... lots of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trapperman Posted April 12, 2012 Share Posted April 12, 2012 lots of rain. yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropical Posted April 12, 2012 Share Posted April 12, 2012 My forecast shows 65 tops this weekend. Only 2 days above 60 in the 7day. I said latest model runs and not point and click. Also, stop clicking at the lakeshore. MOS agrees. 3 days of warmth. MILWAUKEE KMKE GFSX MOS GUIDANCE 4/12/2012 1200 UTC FHR 24 36| 48 60| 72 84| 96 108|120 132|144 156|168 180|192 FRI 13| SAT 14| SUN 15| MON 16| TUE 17| WED 18| THU 19|FRI CLIMO N/X 39 61| 48 66| 56 75| 53 66| 35 47| 34 53| 39 56| 40 38 55 TMP 42 56| 51 62| 58 67| 55 58| 37 42| 37 48| 42 50| 42 DPT 32 35| 44 52| 52 52| 45 36| 27 24| 27 30| 34 35| 35 WND 5 18| 14 14| 18 23| 22 23| 19 13| 11 13| 10 16| 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 12, 2012 Share Posted April 12, 2012 Interesting. 6z and now 12z GFS show 3 day warm sector here this weekend. Previously it was one day and out. Trend or anomaly? you know damn well that rounds of convection will keep the front well south of you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropical Posted April 12, 2012 Share Posted April 12, 2012 you know damn well that rounds of convection will keep the front well south of you. LOL. No. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 12, 2012 Share Posted April 12, 2012 LOL. No. enjoy your cold rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 12, 2012 Share Posted April 12, 2012 I said latest model runs and not point and click. Also, stop clicking at the lakeshore. MOS agrees. 3 days of warmth. MILWAUKEE KMKE GFSX MOS GUIDANCE 4/12/2012 1200 UTC FHR 24 36| 48 60| 72 84| 96 108|120 132|144 156|168 180|192 FRI 13| SAT 14| SUN 15| MON 16| TUE 17| WED 18| THU 19|FRI CLIMO N/X 39 61| 48 66| 56 75| 53 66| 35 47| 34 53| 39 56| 40 38 55 TMP 42 56| 51 62| 58 67| 55 58| 37 42| 37 48| 42 50| 42 DPT 32 35| 44 52| 52 52| 45 36| 27 24| 27 30| 34 35| 35 WND 5 18| 14 14| 18 23| 22 23| 19 13| 11 13| 10 16| 13 Ok... I was clicking 4 miles inland where I live! A lot of convection would keep things as Forecast here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted April 12, 2012 Share Posted April 12, 2012 NAM on board... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted April 12, 2012 Share Posted April 12, 2012 meh..a little rain wont hurt much. You can see where the death ridge this summer will set-up though.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 12, 2012 Share Posted April 12, 2012 Along the east coast? Looks like over the plains! You have a ring of drought conditions developing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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