CT Rain Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 surprised its not warned Can't see how it's producing 1" hail. Maybe 1/2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 nickels and dimes reported in southern Dutchess County FYI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 CTZ013-NYZ065-066-281615- SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD CT-WESTERN DUTCHESS NY-EASTERN DUTCHESS NY- 1128 AM EDT WED MAR 28 2012 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM IN LITCHFIELD COUNTY IN NORTHERN CONNECTICUT... DUTCHESS COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK... AT 1126 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING...AROUND HALF INCH HAIL...WINDS AROUND 50 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AND HEAVY RAIN. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR HOPEWELL JUNCTION...OR ABOUT 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF LAKE CARMEL...AND MOVING EAST AT 65 MPH seems to be getting stronger since then Can't see how it's producing 1" hail. Maybe 1/2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 we had around dime size here about a half hour ago nickels and dimes reported in southern Dutchess County FYI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 Light snow here! !!! Hahaha Now hail!!!!!!maybe sleet.. Back to.snow!!! Yahooooooooooo Now sunny!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 I can't get over how nice this pattern really does look on the EURO. Low after low retrograding into NE Canada, with whatever cold we have left getting dumped into the eastern CONUS and north Atlantic. If only it were December,January, hell even February and March! FYP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 This rain will help a little. Nice to see something other than dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 GFS is a whiff to the south for the Saturday AM wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 GFS is a whiff to the south for the Saturday AM wave. Usually that's good..but I think if we see the Euro go south today..that threat might be done Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 are you ok? Light snow here! !!! Hahaha Now hail!!!!!!maybe sleet.. Back to.snow!!! Yahooooooooooo Now sunny!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 Yeah, I recall posting about this sneaky convective signal for today, 3 or 4 days ago in a previous thread. It's cold in the lower thicknes with a ton of elevated instability assisted along by jet streak.. Also - folks should keep in mind that the mid level charts are not the whole story for any potentials in "Aprils". In the middle of winter, you can count on the baroclinic zones to be well defined; not so much in April. Despite an impressive cutting off appeal aloft, if there is not a fairly fresh accompanying CAA beneath, the ambient baroclinicity gets difused by increased insolation unilaterally heating on the both sides of boundaries. This adversely affects cyclogenesis potential, and you wind up with comparatively weaker lower atmospheric results from dynamics aloft. If you go back and really study your 1982 type events, there was leading anomalously cold CAA events that were almost collocated in time with the passage of the deeper layer dynamics. The 00z Euro shows this with a beaut of a close low aloft in its extended, but a weak surface reflection and more at drab over anything better organized. If you don't take neutralization of lower level thermal gradients in the spring into consideration, you may find your self disappointed if you are hoping for a bigger event. just fyi - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 Light snow here! !!! Hahaha Now hail!!!!!!maybe sleet.. Back to.snow!!! Yahooooooooooo Now sunny!!!! good description.. same thing up this way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 Whiff goes the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 as usual waiting for the euro Whiff goes the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 uber fast flow regimes haulin' arse off the Pac typically have timing and amplitude consistency issues, particularly in the GFS with its comparatively inferior initialization schemes... That said, sometimes it gets to the right solution however wrong for it's method. I bet the Euro holds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 Not sure if this is entirely the right thread but at 48 degrees we just had a full blast of sleet here for about 10 minutes that briefly covered the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 Satellite shows clearing flying in this afternoon. Sun should be out for most by 2:00 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 28, 2012 Author Share Posted March 28, 2012 Man the pattern could deliver for this weekend...if only it weren't suppressed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 if only Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 28, 2012 Author Share Posted March 28, 2012 Satellite shows clearing flying in this afternoon. Sun should be out for most by 2:00 TSTM along CT south coast and jackpot south of the Pike today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 still has time.. Man the pattern could deliver for this weekend...if only it weren't suppressed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 28, 2012 Author Share Posted March 28, 2012 still has time.. Yeah, but if the euro slides south, we may be cooked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 TSTM along CT south coast and jackpot south of the Pike today. Dry, sunny,NW flow weekend with temps in the 50's.. Doody FTW?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 2011-12 winter rages on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 UK is less sheared than the previous run and slighty slower...looks like maybe a 2-4...5" possible deal for the hills of NW CT and the southern Berks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 Man the pattern could deliver for this weekend...if only it weren't suppressed. Ray would be a girl..if only he didn't have a weenie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 UK is less sheared than the previous run and slighty slower...looks like maybe a 2-4...5" possible deal for the hills of NW CT and the southern Berks. That's the first piece of good news we've had all day. Usually that things is way south and supressed, even when it shouldn't be. I'm sure that snow would extend over most of interior SNE extrapolated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 28, 2012 Author Share Posted March 28, 2012 Dry, sunny,NW flow weekend with temps in the 50's.. Doody FTW?? Well we told you that it wasn't the best idea to put snow or rain in the forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 UKIE and GGEM are well north of the Amercican suite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 Ray would be a girl..if only he didn't have a weenie Well we told you that it wasn't the best idea to put snow or rain in the forecast. UKIE and GGEM are well north of the Amercican suite. Doody FTL?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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