ORH_wxman Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 That sneaky Scooter system on Monday keeps showing up on some of the model runs...18z GFS tries to form something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 29, 2012 Author Share Posted March 29, 2012 That sneaky Scooter system on Monday keeps showing up on some of the model runs...18z GFS tries to form something. I know. The euro lost it, but some of the models have it. Then there is whatever that thing is later in the week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 Wonder how much it will take to start tearing down some of the trees/limbs/shrubs that have leafed out. How many leaves do you have on trees down there? Gotta think all the weak stuff was ripped down in October so you're probably good no matter how heavy and wet the snow is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 29, 2012 Author Share Posted March 29, 2012 I wonder if CT will look like Kansas after this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 Wonder how much it will take to start tearing down some of the trees/limbs/shrubs that have leafed out. Full leaf out by 4/1 now appears likely. You can almost hear the flora growing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 Remember that event at the end of the January 2004? I think it gave BDL 10", ORH about 5" and BOS had an inch or less and the north shore got nothing. Ridiculous NE to SW gradient in that. I think it was 1/27/04. This one looks like its got a decent chance of something similar to that... like a 6" at BDL and 1", maybe 2" ORH and trace for BOS. That would be fitting this winter for Boston... man they are racking up the karma points. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 How many leaves do you have on trees down there? Gotta think all the weak stuff was ripped down in October so you're probably good no matter how heavy and wet the snow is. There is almost nothing on most trees...the valleys have a lot of flowers and buds, but nothing even close to the weight of the leaves that were on the trees in October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 How many leaves do you have on trees down there? Gotta think all the weak stuff was ripped down in October so you're probably good no matter how heavy and wet the snow is. It's like mid July down in Blizz land. If Kev let his kids play on the lawn they'd be running through the sprinkler right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 How many leaves do you have on trees down there? Gotta think all the weak stuff was ripped down in October so you're probably good no matter how heavy and wet the snow is. In the CT valley most of the trees have tiny leaves on them..some moreso than others depending on species..so it may cause some problems . There's also plenty of danglers still hanging that need to come down all over the place. If we get 3-6 I suspect there could be some moderate issues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 What's the high end amounts we could possibly see from this? Is 4-6 the high end? Bump for answer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 29, 2012 Author Share Posted March 29, 2012 In the CT valley most of the trees have tiny leaves on them..some moreso than others depending on species..so it may cause some problems . There's also plenty of danglers still hanging that need to come down all over the place. If we get 3-6 I suspect there could be some moderate issues So are you locking in 2-4 after saying how all the models would follow the euro this morning? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 It will be funny if I end up winning the bet because of BDL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 There is almost nothing on most trees...the valleys have a lot of flowers and buds, but nothing even close to the weight of the leaves that were on the trees in October. zero leafout, according to Joshua, ct is in full leaf out right now despite pics. Tree leaf out is influenced much more by amount and duration of sunlight than anything else, very very hard to pop trees super early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allenson Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 I like the pund ridge ny area, ridgefield ct area, some areas up and over 700ft, they should clean up if the nam is close to being correct My in-laws are in Ridgefield, fairly high up at 800' on the west side of town. May their future be white! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 zero leafout, according to Joshua, ct is in full leaf out right now despite pics. Tree leaf out is influenced much more by amount and duration of sunlight than anything else, very very hard to pop trees super early. Sunlight and soil temperature. Two biggest factors right there. Sunlight obviously isn't going to change no matter what the weather does as the sun angle is the same from year to year. Soil temperature could get them to go a lot earlier than normal depending on the species. But of course it all ends up "happening" pretty close to the same date each year due to the sun angle not changing from year to year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 29, 2012 Author Share Posted March 29, 2012 Hopefully Stowe gets upslope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 Euro really backed off the cutoff idea, major differences as we head into easter and beyond. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 Bump for answer Will keep bumping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 29, 2012 Author Share Posted March 29, 2012 Bump for answer Unless there is an very narrow weenie band, I don't see how it could produce more than 4" and even then..most of any snow that falls would probably be on a 15-20 mile wide band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 Lock in the 18z GFS for 4/10. 16 year anniversary of 4/10/96. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 29, 2012 Author Share Posted March 29, 2012 Lock in the 18z GFS for 4/10. 16 year anniversary of 4/10/96. HAHA just did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 Probalby I'm too far north for this. But, since I removed my snows last weekend and brought the snowblower back to the shed, I might have jinxed myself in a good way to get a little something. Don't expect, but it would be nice. As Fat Sam says, "when it comes, it comes". 37.5/28 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 It will be funny if I end up winning the bet because of BDL. Better yet... BDR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 ginx's freezing march day for me yielded a +10 , just another well above normal day in the 13 months of fire and counting....ho hum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 Better yet... BDR BDR isn't part of the bet. They are NYC..It has to be one of the 4 SNE climo sites Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 29, 2012 Author Share Posted March 29, 2012 Better yet... BDR I'm hoping he does lose either way because once again...it will be those that know climo FTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 LOLOLOL and everyone is back on board hahaha. Called it!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 BDR isn't part of the bet. They are NYC..It has to be one of the 4 SNE climo sites BDR is in SNE like it or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 BDR is in SNE like it or not. Technically yes..but their climo is not. It's like NYC..and is not part of our bet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 Home at 1k will find a way go squeeze out 5" ait Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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