ctsnowstorm628 Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 Oh yeah... but this is a "Early April Winter Pattern" thread and that's a winter set-up right there. I'll still take a couple/few inches to pad the seasonal totals... plus with the ski resort closing, it'll be awesome for skinning/hiking and skiing untracked powder all day long. Agreed. This would happen in 2012; a classic -NAO blocking pattern, just two months too late! For you guys, it is a sweet deal for hiking and stuff..at least for the day it actually snows lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 snowing most of the day in stowe.....decided against sking today......conditions ...ehhh not so good . looks like another lil lobe of moisture may touch of another period of snow for N greens right about now Yeah mood flakes... only picked up a dusting at 1,500ft after 12 hours of light snow. And good call on the skiing... like skiing down a highway rumble strip. This is why the place is closing on April 1st because folks are here, and deciding not to ski. Can you say "lost interest"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 exactamundo! LOL cannot wait until May 10 when I return to CT for the summer. Damn, those summer 80s will be sweet by later in May and throughout the summer! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 Agreed. This would happen in 2012; a classic -NAO blocking pattern, just two months too late! For you guys, it is a sweet deal for hiking and stuff..at least for the day it actually snows lol Well I'm all for it because I'd rather it snowing than just being 35F and windy. It looks like the next two weeks will be pretty brutal with highs 35-45F and generally cloudy with light precip events... so if its going to be cold and raw, it might as well snow. Who cares if it melts in a day? It'll at least make that day more interesting. Plenty of months coming up of warm weather... I'll take all the flakes in the air I can get right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 Well I'm all for it because I'd rather it snowing than just being 35F and windy. It looks like the next two weeks will be pretty brutal with highs 35-45F and generally cloudy with light precip events... so if its going to be cold and raw, it might as well snow. Who cares if it melts in a day? It'll at least make that day more interesting. Plenty of months coming up of warm weather... I'll take all the flakes in the air I can get right now. Lol typical mountain man but yeah I'm right there with you. This 32-35F and raw is boring as hell. Either snow or warm the eff up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 powderfreak were things a bit "faster" today than yesterday. (i was crossing my fingers the mtn. could have scored a couple inches at 2k and up today but guess not. and i had the interest to ski today as did my gf but i did one run and said ....i'll take a voucher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 That is a good time, Maybe we can hookup for that Steve Yea sounds good, our friends convinced us to go, lobster and all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 I think you guys need to create a subforum for mountain meteorology because the tone of these threads gets confused between those that live at or above 1,000 ft, who experience weather that at times has no comparison to everyone else. For the former, they are all giddy for the upcoming pattern and their posting is subjective around upslope this, or cut-off instability bursting that... Meanwhile, the latter finds this all repulsive because it's annoying cold but not enough for snow, and their post are subjected to THOSE attitudes... I mean, seeing as no one is objective - haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 <p> I think you guys need to create a subforum for mountain meteorology because the tone of these threads gets confused between those that live at or above 1,000 ft, who experience weather that at times has no comparison to everyone else. For the former, they are all giddy for the upcoming pattern and their posting is subjective around upslope this, or cut-off instability bursting that... Meanwhile, the latter finds this all repulsive because and their post are subjected to THOSE attitudes... I mean, seeing as no one is objective - haha HUH? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 I think you guys need to create a subforum for mountain meteorology because the tone of these threads gets confused between those that live at or above 1,000 ft, who experience weather that at times has no comparison to everyone else. For the former, they are all giddy for the upcoming pattern and their posting is subjective around upslope this, or cut-off instability bursting that... Meanwhile, the latter finds this all repulsive because it's annoying cold but not enough for snow, and their post are subjected to THOSE attitudes... I mean, seeing as no one is objective - haha The tone gets confusing? This is an Early April Winter Pattern thread, John, but maybe we should start a thread about those who are depressed about the cold We are talking about New England winter weather right? Is this about emotions and feelings or weather? lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 Box likes interior SNE and south of pike for accumulating snow SAT INTO SAT NIGHT... NEARLY ZONAL FLOW WITH OPEN WAVE WILL LEAD TO LOW PRES PASSING S OF THE REGION. GENERALLY FROM THE DELMARVA DUE E OUT TO SEA...AND THEREFORE S OF THE 40/70 BENCHMARK. H85 DEFORMATION BANDING IS CLOSER TO THE LOW CENTER...S OF THE S COAST AND THROUGH NYC METRO AREA. HOWEVER...FURTHER ALOFT AT H7...INITIAL NE QUADRANT BAND EXTENDS FROM SE MA THROUGH RI AND CT...FOLLOWED BY A SECONDARY NW QUADRANT BAND AS THE LOW EXITS SAT EVENING OVER ERN COASTAL LOCATIONS. GIVEN THE CONFLUENT ZONAL FLOW...THERE WILL LIKELY BE A SHARP QPF GRADIENT SOMEWHERE OVER SRN NEW ENGLAND...BUT THIS IS STILL UNCERTAIN DUE TO THE DIFFERENCE IN DYNAMICS BASED ON THE STRENGTH OF THE WAVE. THE ECMWF/CMC BLEND USED AS A BASELINE...HOWEVER...DOES SUGGEST AT LEAST SOME WETTING PRECIPITATION INTO SRN NH AT THIS TIME. THERMAL PROFILES ARE ALSO STILL SOMEWHAT IN QUESTION DUE TO DIFFERENCE IN FINAL WAVE DEPTH. HOWEVER...AS STATED IN PREVIOUS AFD...SOUNDINGS DUE FAVOR SFC TO H85 WETBULB ARE NEAR TO JUST BELOW 0C ON ALL MODELS INTO THE MID MORNING SAT. THEREFORE...WHERE PRECIP DOES FALL /PARTICULARLY SRN MA...CT...AND PORTIONS OF RI/ IT WILL LIKELY START AS A PERIOD OF LIGHT...BUT WET SNOW. THE LIKELY CAVEAT WILL BE THE NEAR SHORE LOCATIONS OF THE S COAST AND ERN COAST...WHERE A SLIGHT ONSHORE COMPONENT OF THE WIND /WITH E TO SE FLOW EXPECTED/ WILL BRING IN MARITIME AIR WITH WATER TEMPS NEAR +8C. THESE AREAS ARE LIKELY TO STAY RAIN. EXPECT THAT ALL LOCATIONS WILL LIKELY SHIFT TO RAIN BY MID DAY AS THE SFC WARMS. DUE TO THE DIFFERENCES AND UNCERTAINTY IN QPF CUTOFF...FINAL SNOW TOTALS ARE LIKELY TO CHANGE IN UPCOMING FORECASTS. DRY CAA AND HIGH PRES SHOULD ALLOW PRECIP TO COME TO AN END TOWARD SAT EVENING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 18z nam says i was just joking at 12z lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobbieL241 Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 18z NAM's a weenie run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 29, 2012 Author Share Posted March 29, 2012 What a joke the NAM is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 CT special... sharp cut-off between TOL and ORH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 NAM is sweet for CT. Still not much up here...and its kind of alone on that solution anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 29, 2012 Author Share Posted March 29, 2012 This is probably a DXR and points southwest special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 Verbatim its like 4-5" for TOL and not even a flurry for ORH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 Cut-off from hell...5" for Pete and 0" for MPM on the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 congrats LL and GON Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 What a joke the NAM is. seems that the 6z and 18z runs feed the weenies while 0z and 12z are reality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 29, 2012 Author Share Posted March 29, 2012 seems that the 6z and 18z runs feed the weenies while 0z and 12z are reality. The NAM in general feeds the weenies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 0z was good last night but yeah that usually is the case seems that the 6z and 18z runs feed the weenies while 0z and 12z are reality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 yup DXR and points SW special. i mean how many times we gotta see the confluence underplayed on gfs/nam QPF (maybe euro too but i wasn't privvy to those maps other years) before taking .5 qpf verbatim on the NE portion of the better qpf and not callin bull. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 SREFs were a little north so maybe we can wishcast a north trend here? If i was in CT I wouldn't give up...about over here though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 Really hope we can get some qpf out of this, yesterday was a drop in the bucket Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 You figure SW Ct will be too warm to stick except above 600 feet so I'd go with 1-3 south of the pike with maybe someone getting 3-4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 Really hope we can get some qpf out of this, yesterday was a drop in the bucket SREF's say 6-8" of snow incoming for you, congrats! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 You figure SW Ct will be too warm to stick except above 600 feet so I'd go with 1-3 south of the pike with maybe someone getting 3-4 South of the Pike winter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 Really hope we can get some qpf out of this, yesterday was a drop in the bucket Congrats LL, had .30 here yesterday, thankfully no forest fires today AMNAKT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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