CoastalWx Posted March 29, 2012 Author Share Posted March 29, 2012 Are these snow threats just for the coastal plain or do folks in the higher elevations have a chance at seeing some snow? It seems like you guys hog all the snow and it would be nice if we got some for a change. TIA Hopefully it comes far enough north to give us all rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 As of now you'd have to go for a 2-4 or 3-6 type event for a large portion of interior SNE for Fri nite/Sat AM.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 29, 2012 Author Share Posted March 29, 2012 As of now you'd have to go for a 2-4 or 3-6 type event for a large portion of interior SNE for Fri nite/Sat AM.. It may not be all interior either...it may be like a WNW-ESE type cutoff line. We'll see what guidance does today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 I'm not sure how since the only model worth looking at is meh right now. Blizz rides the GFS/NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 BDL/MRG jackpot? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 It may not be all interior either...it may be like a WNW-ESE type cutoff line. We'll see what guidance does today. What time would this all happen? Are we still talking overnight tomorrow into Saturday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 I feel decent that it will snow here...but thats about it. SREFS look good, as well as the 6z nam and the ggem. The gfs is a little south for my liking but more concerning then that is how weak the euro is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 Well I have snow in the forecast for Fri night into Sat morning. This will be interesting since my daughters first soccer game is Saturday morning at 11am. Nothing like a soccer game in the cold, raw rain/snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 29, 2012 Author Share Posted March 29, 2012 What time would this all happen? Are we still talking overnight tomorrow into Saturday? Looks like mostly Friday Night into Saturday morning. If, it does happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 have we not seen this playout upteen times with confluence and the way it effects modeling and how the precip is alligned WNW to ESE these are W SNE systems and SW SNE systems in particular....the higher elevations in SWest interior CT to very well ...even sometimes the areas from there ESE to say SW interior elevated rhode island do just fine...not to say WSNE including the berks can't cash in...but don't look to extend the line from the berks east to include ORH and esp. not boston w/ confluence in play w confluence in play the QPF is OVER MODELED for eastern SNE almost always..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 Looks like mostly Friday Night into Saturday morning. If, it does happen. Disturbing that the Euro looks like ballz. That's my only concern. Although if I recall correctly it too looked pretty bad inititally on that Feb 29th snowfall too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 Hopefully it comes far enough north to give us all rain. This Pattern has clearly gotten to you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 Bdl has the best chance in a confluence set up for blizz to go down in a bet. and i think kev is in a decent location for this one. i think DXR above 500' feet is prime terrirtory for SNE. qpf is almost always overmodeled and confluence not accounted for enough in these types and we have ORH right on the edge of the better qpf (on the NE corner of it) not where you want to be in a confluence set up. anywhere NE of ORh -pym should not expect much at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 Disturbing that the Euro looks like ballz. That's my only concern. Although if I recall correctly it too looked pretty bad inititally on that Feb 29th snowfall too. Euro trash. Ride the Gfs/NAM. Mid 30's windy and nasty here at 2k. What happened to all torch all the time ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 Disturbing that the Euro looks like ballz. That's my only concern. Although if I recall correctly it too looked pretty bad inititally on that Feb 29th snowfall too. Euro trash. Ride the Gfs/NAM. Mid 30's windy and nasty here at 2k. What happened to all torch all the time ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 Seems Euro is all alone , see if its still DR No at 12Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 29, 2012 Author Share Posted March 29, 2012 Disturbing that the Euro looks like ballz. That's my only concern. Although if I recall correctly it too looked pretty bad inititally on that Feb 29th snowfall too. Yeah euro and ensembles are discouraging. Hopefully the guidance comes north today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 Wet snow. Intensity determines if it accumulates. In fairness this timeframe has been signaled for quite awhile. Let's see what happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 Euro is the outlier toss it for this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 Safe to take the plows back off? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 il take the srefs down here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 Safe to take the plows back off? Yes. Whatever accumulates (grass) will melt quickly. Interesting to note that so far this week is averaging above normal again despite the "cold." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 3z SREF probabilities... STA 001" 004" 008" BDL 55% 30% 05% CEF 45% 25% 05% ORH 40% 20% <5% DXR 80% 50% 20% PVD 55% 30% <5% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheCloser24 Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 The Srefs are pretty bullish for Danbury! 20% chance of 8 "+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 The Srefs are pretty bullish for Danbury! 20% chance of 8 "+. You mean the 3z srefs? I don't think 9z is out until like 9:10. But yeah, 3z srefs were really bullish. I'd like to see the euro come north. If it does, game on esp. for CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 Yes. Whatever accumulates (grass) will melt quickly. Interesting to note that so far this week is averaging above normal again despite the "cold." Yep another above normal day today......early next week looks warm, very warm should be some impressive positive departures for sure to start out April. I think its pretty obvious this event is headed north and the usual hilly interior spots will cash in. Looks like some ,more much needed rain on the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 I don't think anyone expected a high impact storm with accumulations on the road. But if this comes north like the 6z nam and the main show is 3am-9am, there def could be road accumulations. If the euro is right though it will just be some slop on the grass at most probably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 29, 2012 Author Share Posted March 29, 2012 Yep another above normal day today......early next week looks warm, very warm should be some impressive positive departures for sure to start out April. I think its pretty obvious this event is headed north and the usual hilly interior spots will cash in. Looks like some ,more much needed rain on the way. The warmth next week looks very questionable right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 Weenies gon be weenies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoob40 Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 I don't think anyone expected a high impact storm with accumulations on the road. But if this comes north like the 6z nam and the main show is 3am-9am, there def could be road accumulations. If the euro is right though it will just be some slop on the grass at most probably. MRG does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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