CoastalWx Posted March 30, 2012 Author Share Posted March 30, 2012 On 3/30/2012 at 1:31 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I expect nothing Could be the big ole screw job for you and I. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted March 30, 2012 Share Posted March 30, 2012 SREFS good bit south and less amped.. enjoy the light mix! Eyes turned towards Monday as the SREFS give CNE and NNE some good snows.. Can't wait to win $540,000,000 tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 30, 2012 Share Posted March 30, 2012 On 3/30/2012 at 1:35 PM, CoastalWx said: Could be the big ole screw job for you and I. I'd honestly be satisfied with some flakes in the air...probably shouldn't type that, though because now it won't happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 30, 2012 Author Share Posted March 30, 2012 SREFs went south. 12z models follow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 30, 2012 Share Posted March 30, 2012 On 3/30/2012 at 1:41 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'd honestly be satisfied with some flakes in the air...probably shouldn't type that, though because now it won't happen. On 3/30/2012 at 1:43 PM, CoastalWx said: SREFs went south. 12z models follow? Gotta love it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 30, 2012 Author Share Posted March 30, 2012 On 3/30/2012 at 1:44 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Gotta love it You and I (esp this area I think) have been the anti '10-'11 winter. I've lived in that shed of yours since 10/29. I hope I never see this again for 20 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 30, 2012 Share Posted March 30, 2012 On 3/30/2012 at 1:43 PM, CoastalWx said: SREFs went south. 12z models follow? How far south? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 30, 2012 Author Share Posted March 30, 2012 On 3/30/2012 at 1:50 PM, Brian5671 said: How far south? Maybe 20 miles or so. http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcontroller?prevPage=Param&MainPage=indexℑ=&page=Param&cycle=03%2F30%2F2012+09UTC&rname=PRECIP+MEANSPRD&pname=precip_p24&pdesc=&model=SREF&area=NAMER&cat=MODEL+GUIDANCE&fcast=Loop+All&areaDesc=North+America+-+US+Canada+and+northern+Mexico&prevArea=NAMER&currKey=model&returnToModel=&imageSize=M Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 30, 2012 Share Posted March 30, 2012 everyday 12z models have gone south I wonder why? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 30, 2012 Share Posted March 30, 2012 BOX says FU everyone: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 30, 2012 Share Posted March 30, 2012 Phil hasn't offered any of his thoughts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 30, 2012 Author Share Posted March 30, 2012 On 3/30/2012 at 2:03 PM, CT Blizz said: Phil hasn't offered any of his thoughts I love how you fish for comments. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 30, 2012 Author Share Posted March 30, 2012 Looks pretty healthy looking in MI right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 30, 2012 Share Posted March 30, 2012 On 3/30/2012 at 2:03 PM, CoastalWx said: I love how you fish for comments. Well I look forward to all the mets input..What's the sense in being on here..if you aren't going to discuss? Hopefully he will throw some ideas out. I know yours are that I see no snow lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 30, 2012 Author Share Posted March 30, 2012 On 3/30/2012 at 1:53 PM, ineedsnow said: everyday 12z models have gone south I wonder why? Well none have quite yet. NAM still looks good for CT and RI through SE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 30, 2012 Author Share Posted March 30, 2012 On 3/30/2012 at 2:06 PM, CT Blizz said: Well I look forward to all the mets input..What's the sense in being on here..if you aren't going to discuss? Hopefully he will throw some ideas out. I know yours are that I see no snow lol Nice try..lol. I think you'll see some, but it honestly could be 1" or 4"..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 30, 2012 Share Posted March 30, 2012 On 3/30/2012 at 2:07 PM, CoastalWx said: Nice try..lol. I think you'll see some, but it honestly could be 1" or 4"..lol. Gun to your head..Do any of the 4 SNE climo sites see 2 inches or more? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 30, 2012 Author Share Posted March 30, 2012 On 3/30/2012 at 2:08 PM, CT Blizz said: Gun to your head..Do any of the 4 SNE climo sites see 2 inches or more? I'm leaning to yes, but a 10-20 mile shift in a band could be the difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 30, 2012 Share Posted March 30, 2012 On 3/30/2012 at 1:44 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Gotta love it You can smoke some cirrus with us up here for this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 30, 2012 Share Posted March 30, 2012 fwiw nam doesnt really show the precip as good as it actually is in michigan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 30, 2012 Share Posted March 30, 2012 NAM supports a 1"-3" snowfall for TOL and north. South of there has issues looking at soundings and it looks like more of a mix of sleet/snow, away from the CT coast. Catskills look like the bullseye on the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted March 30, 2012 Share Posted March 30, 2012 12z NAM looks like a more reasonable solution. 1"-3" south of the pike, 4" loli in NW ct , t-1" south coast, 2.7" for KTOL would be a fair "guestimate" in my opinion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 30, 2012 Share Posted March 30, 2012 On 3/30/2012 at 2:12 PM, Dryslot said: You can smoke some cirrus with us up here for this one Maybe we can get a sunny afternoon out of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 30, 2012 Share Posted March 30, 2012 On 3/30/2012 at 2:19 PM, dendrite said: Maybe we can get a sunny afternoon out of it. Yup, Some PC skies and mid 40's.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 30, 2012 Share Posted March 30, 2012 That's a nice NAM run. 850 low scooting out S of us. Nice VVs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 30, 2012 Author Share Posted March 30, 2012 On 3/30/2012 at 2:22 PM, ETauntonMA said: That's a nice NAM run. 850 low scooting out S of us. Nice VVs. A decent banding signal on the NAM from CT right into your hood..or esp just south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 30, 2012 Share Posted March 30, 2012 On 3/30/2012 at 2:26 PM, CoastalWx said: A decent banding signal on the NAM from CT right into your hood..or esp just south. 0.5" line tickles me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 30, 2012 Author Share Posted March 30, 2012 On 3/30/2012 at 2:35 PM, ETauntonMA said: 0.5" line tickles me. Giggle like Elmo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 30, 2012 Share Posted March 30, 2012 Just looking at the model output now for mby and it spits out 0.46". Looks as though the surface is the warmest level, so if the model is correct and precip rates are heavy enough, it should snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 30, 2012 Share Posted March 30, 2012 On 3/30/2012 at 2:40 PM, CoastalWx said: Giggle like Elmo. Looks like we get the shaft again... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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