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Central PA Late Spring 2012


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we need the warm front to get to our north to turn the flow more southerly... the east/southeasterly wind is a killer when it comes to instability here... more often than not locks in cloud cover and keeps temps cooler... southeast VA is looking good right now with temps climbing into 80s and dew points up into the 60s... hopefully some of that can end up further north... just how far north it will end up remains to be seen

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Hey Jamie,

here is my rabbit control for the garden. This is one of the babies from the redtail hawks in our big pine trees. Pic taken yesterday, they really can't fly yet. The 2 mature birds, sit close by in other trees watching over them. Yesterday they were calling youngins, i think to coax them to fly over to them

post-1291-0-21017700-1338569176_thumb.jp

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Yeah we'll not see the major severe stuff here methinks. Gotta get down on S MD /N VA I'd guess for that. The warm front doesn't look like it'll make iypt this far north, hurting our chances.

We will see heavy rain and strong wind gusts though later.

I wouldn't rule anything out quite yet. A pretty nasty squall like looks like it will take shape through southern PA, and especially central MD, later on this afternoon... likely producing some pretty significant winds in places.

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SPC upgraded SC PA.

PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

1140 AM CDT FRI JUN 01 2012

..SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF EXTREME SRN PA

ERN

WV PANHANDLE...NRN VA...PORTIONS OF MD THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING

INCLUDING THE D.C...

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS FORECASTING THE

DEVELOPMENT OF TORNADOES OVER PARTS OF EXTREME SRN PA...ERN WV

PANHANDLE...NRN VA...AND PORTIONS OF MD THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING

INCLUDING THE D.C.

THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDE

WASHINGTON DC

MUCH OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL MARYLAND

EXTREME SOUTHERN PENNSYLVANIA

NORTHERN VIRGINIA

EXTREME EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA PANHANDLE

ELSEWHERE...SEVERE STORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE SURROUNDING THE ENHANCED

RISK AREA FROM CENTRAL PA SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE CAROLINAS INTO NRN

FL.

STRONG UPPER TROUGH IS PROGRESSING ACROSS THE OH VALLEY EARLY THIS

AFTERNOON AND LARGE SCALE ASCENT WITH THIS FEATURE SHOULD OVERSPREAD

THE UPPER OH VALLEY INTO THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC REGION INTO THE EARLY

EVENING HOURS. FOCUSED AND STRONGLY FORCED COLD FRONT WILL INDUCE A

LINE OF POTENTIALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING

DAMAGING WINDS AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS INTO THE

MIDDLE ATLANTIC REGION THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING. STRONG SHEAR MAY

INDUCE EMBEDDED SUPERCELL STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF SPAWNING A FEW

TORNADOES WITH THIS FRONTAL CONVECTION.

ADDITIONALLY...ISOLATED DISCRETE SUPERCELLS MAY ALSO DEVELOP WELL

AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT ACROSS VA...NORTHWARD INTO SOUTHERN PA ALONG

A WARM FRONT. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THESE

STORMS.

STATE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGERS ARE MONITORING THIS DEVELOPING

SITUATION. THOSE IN THE THREATENED AREA ARE URGED TO REVIEW SEVERE

WEATHER SAFETY RULES AND TO LISTEN TO RADIO...TELEVISION...AND NOAA

WEATHER RADIO FOR POSSIBLE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND STATEMENTS LATER

TODAY.

..DARROW.. 06/01/2012

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715

WWUS30 KWNS 011725

SAW2

SPC AWW 011725

WW 332 TORNADO MD NC PA VA WV 011730Z - 020100Z

AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..

40NE AOO/ALTOONA PA/ - 40W GSO/GREENSBORO NC/

..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /17SE PSB - 32W GSO/

HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.

MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22035.

LAT...LON 40687662 36097956 36098172 40687891

THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A

COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS

FOR WOU2.

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I don't understand how that storm would keep it's integrity all the way through Adams into Dauphin and NW Cumberland counties.

didn't say it would, just said if

there is one in Adams/Franklin County area Heading north and East, Then there is the one around Balt area which has a Tornado warning heading north and East.. so i think you guys are talking about 2 different things?

Edited- West/East

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Here's the look at the warned cell lurking under the mason-dixon (turned warnings off for better view). Pretty decent hook echo on it for sure. Outbound velocities pretty feisty (bout 65-70knots) on storm relative but not showing up very strong inbound. Still pretty nice couplet, good chance this is dropping some kind of a weaker tornado.

post-1507-0-24004000-1338576365_thumb.pn

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That Carrol County cell looking less impressive with the most recent scans.

The cell to the south (near Damascus, MD) just popped a warning, so pretty much some of the same folks that were in the warning for that cell are in another one. Does have a bit of a hook with it and another half decent velocity couplet. Looks similar to the lead storm. Def would watch in the York/Lancaster areas as this is the region these storms could emerge into PA or new ones end up forming.

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