Santa Clause Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 0.6" here On a side note, just had a very heavy downpour in Muncy, PA....and popping up everywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 Euro tugged a little west from what I hear....big hit for Western NY....and Western PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 Euro really crushes west/NW PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted April 21, 2012 Author Share Posted April 21, 2012 Text for AOO and UNV have over 3/4" QPF as what I would consider snow, with 2m temps in the low to mid 30s and 850 temps -3 to -5. So Euro must have a wide deform band like the GFS had. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 Just got smashed with thunderstorm. .4" of rain already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 First watches up http://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=PAZ073&warncounty=PAC129&firewxzone=PAZ073&local_place1=Mc+Chesneytown-Loyalhanna+PA&product1=Winter+Storm+Watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted April 21, 2012 Author Share Posted April 21, 2012 First watches up http://forecast.weat...ter+Storm+Watch If i were to venture a rough guess, I would say CTP will follow suit with all Laurels Counties, the north central west and northwest of IPT and the central counties of Blair, Centre, Bedford, Huntingdon, and Fulton. I can't believe that this is about to happen. This is going to play out very similar to the October snowstorm with elevation dependency (for the folks that get the snowfall). Just a couple degrees is going to make the difference between a lower location like Altoona or State College seeing a few inches of concrete on cold surfaces and folks in places like Ebensburg, Johnstown, Somerset, etc seeing 10+". Similar amounts could play out in the central high ground (7 mountains, Tussey/Bald Eagle ridges) but I would say the Laurels look to be ground zero for this event for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 If i were to venture a rough guess, I would say CTP will follow suit with all Laurels Counties, the north central west and northwest of IPT and the central counties of Blair, Centre, Bedford, Huntingdon, and Fulton. I can't believe that this is about to happen. This is going to play out very similar to the October snowstorm with elevation dependency (for the folks that get the snowfall). Just a couple degrees is going to make the difference between a lower location like Altoona or State College seeing a few inches of concrete on cold surfaces and folks in places like Ebensburg, Johnstown, Somerset, etc seeing 10+". Similar amounts could play out in the central high ground (7 mountains, Tussey/Bald Eagle ridges) but I would say the Laurels look to be ground zero for this event for sure. i can see me spending some time up on rocton mtn for this one (if it plays out as shown now) 2200'+ elev. its only about 5 miles from me to the top...one of these days i am going to live up there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 The heavens just opened in HBG. Good luck to you guys who get snow, take pictures! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PottercountyWXobserver Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 i can see me spending some time up on rocton mtn for this one 2200'+ elev. its only about 5 miles from me to the top...one of these days i am going to live up there Lol I don't blame you one bit Mike, haha I'm an elevation whore myself But I'm a valley whore during floods Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 Lol I don't blame you one bit Mike, haha I'm an elevation whore myself But I'm a valley whore during floods floods & tornadoes = scary snow = not so much-lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PottercountyWXobserver Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 0.6" here On a side note, just had a very heavy downpour in Muncy, PA....and popping up everywhere. The heavens just opened in HBG. Good luck to you guys who get snow, take pictures! Yep, its been raining decently throughout the day, steady but light, your guys rain has been a little bit more convective in nature. I'm at .41" according to my davis. And I will Chris, I'l try and post some decent pics if we do end up cashing in here, hopefully others can post some good shots also. Side note: I really need to upgrade my sig lol. I'v been busy since December and I really need to update it. I will try and do so later today, I have it written all down for coop on wxcoder, so it shouldn't be to hard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 Winter storm watch in effect from Sunday evening through tuesday morning, The NWS in state college has issued a winter storm watch, which is in effect from Sunday evening through tuesday morning. Locations, northern and western mountains of Pennsylvania, including the laurel highlands. Hazard types, heavy snow, accompanied by increasing northerly winds late Sunday night and Monday. Accumulations, in excess of 6 inches, with up to one foot possible across some of the higher terrain. Timing, Sunday night through Tuesday morning. Impacts, extremely hazardous travel from periods of heavy snow and poor visibility. There is the potential for numerous downed trees causing power outages, beginning later Sunday night. Winds, north to northeast 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 25 mph Sunday night, increasing to 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 40 mph Monday. Temperatures, 30 to 35 degrees. Visibilities, below one half of a mile at times. Precautionary/preparedness actions, A winter storm watch means there is a potential for significant snow, sleet, or ice accumulations that may impact travel. In additional, since many trees already contain near full-foliage, there is the potential for many downed trees and numerous power outages from the combined effect of the heavy wet snow and wind. Stay tuned to noaa weather radio or your favorite source of weather information for the latest updates. Additional details can also be found at, weather.gov/statecollege. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 i can see me spending some time up on rocton mtn for this one (if it plays out as shown now) 2200'+ elev. its only about 5 miles from me to the top...one of these days i am going to live up there Lol I don't blame you one bit Mike, haha I'm an elevation whore myself But I'm a valley whore during floods You guys should get some good shots - looking forward to it! For me, I'm hugging the Euro, lol I'd hate to have to forecast this for real. Damn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cfbaggett Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 18 Z NAM appears to be shifting ever so slightly east, increasing odds for central PA of receiving snow. The 1928 analog lines up well with 992 sfc low over the Delmarva. See earlier post. Also, I like ARW5 on the 15Z SREFs, which tracks the low parallel to the Hudson River Valley which also matches the 1928 analog. There's still a considerable amount of uncertainty with the track of the low after it crosses 40N. I am not completely buying into the hook east with precip all the way back to Detroit that many of the ensembles are showing. The axis of heaviest snow is by no means written in stone yet, although I do agree with most that the Laurels seem to be golden with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
irvingtwosmokes Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 Winter Storm Watch PAZ004>006-010-011-017-024-033-037-221000- /O.NEW.KCTP.WS.A.0002.120423T0200Z-120424T1600Z/ WARREN-MCKEAN-POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-CLEARFIELD-CAMBRIA-SOMERSET- TIOGA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARREN...BRADFORD...COUDERSPORT... ST. MARYS...RIDGWAY...EMPORIUM...DUBOIS...CLEARFIELD... JOHNSTOWN...SOMERSET...MANSFIELD...WELLSBORO 417 PM EDT SAT APR 21 2012 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. * LOCATIONS...NORTHERN AND WESTERN MOUNTAINS OF PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE LAUREL HIGHLANDS. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW...ACCOMPANIED BY INCREASING NORTHERLY WINDS LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. * ACCUMULATIONS...IN EXCESS OF 6 INCHES...WITH UP TO ONE FOOT POSSIBLE ACROSS SOME OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN. * TIMING...SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS...EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL FROM PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW AND POOR VISIBILITY. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR NUMEROUS DOWNED TREES CAUSING POWER OUTAGES...BEGINNING LATER SUNDAY NIGHT . * WINDS...NORTH TO NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH SUNDAY NIGHT...INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH MONDAY. * TEMPERATURES...30 TO 35 DEGREES. * VISIBILITIES...BELOW ONE HALF OF A MILE AT TIMES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 18Z NAM is just wow. 3-3.5" of rain for central and east pa and tons of snow west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 Holy goodness for us in WPA... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 New HPC is out. 70% chance of 12 inches + for Potter? http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wwd/day2_composite.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 New HPC is out. 70% chance of 12 inches + for Potter? http://www.hpc.ncep....2_composite.gif On April 22nd! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Billabong Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 18 Z NAM appears to be shifting ever so slightly east, increasing odds for central PA of receiving snow. The 1928 analog lines up well with 992 sfc low over the Delmarva. See earlier post. Also, I like ARW5 on the 15Z SREFs, which tracks the low parallel to the Hudson River Valley which also matches the 1928 analog. There's still a considerable amount of uncertainty with the track of the low after it crosses 40N. I am not completely buying into the hook east with precip all the way back to Detroit that many of the ensembles are showing. The axis of heaviest snow is by no means written in stone yet, although I do agree with most that the Laurels seem to be golden with this one. Seems to keep the sfc low 80 miles further southeast and a few mb deeper. Close call for this one... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dcfox1 Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 Weird that were talking snow in pa. Here in Lancaster co. its mid 70's and house is near 80 inside, thinking about turning on the Air. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 New HPC is out. 70% chance of 12 inches + for Potter? http://www.hpc.ncep....2_composite.gif random fu to BUF when we've been in the high probabilities all along. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 The heavens just opened in HBG. Good luck to you guys who get snow, take pictures! They definitely opened up here an hour ago. Picked up 1.00" of rain in about an hour's time with slow moving thunderstorms. First inch-plus precip day of 2012. Looks like the second one isn't going to be too far behind. I initially thought (before looking at the radar) that this was the leading edge of the cold front coming through. However, it turned out to be a line of convection developing out ahead of the main front that happened to sit right over Cumberland county for a while. Temp cooled from 77 down to 60. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 Yeah, temp plummeted in about 10 minutes. Our car thermostat went from 71 to 62 in eight minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 *Sigh* and the storms are again are close to us but general movement is away from our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PottercountyWXobserver Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 New HPC is out. 70% chance of 12 inches + for Potter? http://www.hpc.ncep....2_composite.gif Meh moreso McKean county, but I like seeing it like that, because I think this will shift ever so slightly back to the east some. Regardless, areas seeing close to a foot of snow is sooooooo epic right now. This map basically solidifies my chase to the Bradford area, I have family there so I def think I will be there for the duration. Already called in to work, basically said I need time off for science lollolol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 Weird that were talking snow in pa. Here in Lancaster co. its mid 70's and house is near 80 inside, thinking about turning on the Air. Lol was thinking the same thing. It's been mostly sunny and near 80 all day so far, with a light breeze blowing. Every window in the house is open right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 GFS headed east??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted April 21, 2012 Share Posted April 21, 2012 So much for the storms trailing away from the area...they expanded/shifted east and now we're getting poured on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.