BeastFromTheEast Posted April 5, 2012 Share Posted April 5, 2012 I was thinking the same thing.... Quite a non-intimidating air-mass overhead now and we have 27 degrees predicted tonight. This could easily produce lows in the upper teens and high temps in the low to mid 30's. I agree with you on potential lows but not with the highs. No way in hell we stay that low during the day.. More like low 40's at the worst if air-mass depicted verifies.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted April 5, 2012 Share Posted April 5, 2012 Airmass origin is completely different. The current one has a source region over a nearby snowpack and the ice over Hudson Bay. The next one will be traveling for several days over snow and ice-free areas. Significant low-level moderation and strong mixing should take place. Some of the longer-range SREF members are even picking up on this already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted April 5, 2012 Share Posted April 5, 2012 Airmass origin is completely different. The current one has a source region over a nearby snowpack and the ice over Hudson Bay. The next one will be traveling for several days over snow and ice-free areas. Significant low-level moderation and strong mixing should take place. Some of the longer-range SREF members are even picking up on this already. Just curious don't you don't think the storm showing up around day3/4 in CA will lay down some type of snowpack? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted April 5, 2012 Share Posted April 5, 2012 I agree with you on potential lows but not with the highs. No way in hell we stay that low during the day.. More like low 40's at the worst if air-mass depicted verifies.. We will most likely have lake clouds here, that knocks off some degrees. Its impossible to nail anything down this far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted April 5, 2012 Share Posted April 5, 2012 Air mass right now: We should be near 30F tonite with this in place... Next week is all out total destruction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nic Posted April 5, 2012 Share Posted April 5, 2012 Dude you are getting a frost/freeze tonight and tomorrow night in your area with nowhere the airmass shown for next week.. IF the ECMWF/GFS verify you are in for a hard freeze.. And LOL at the Sun.. We are talking frost/freezes here not daytime highs... Not tonight the wind is staying up , it will be a light frost tomorrow. Next week is of concern, but like the past 6 months it will be warmer then shown initially. But I guess most people on here like to see a huge disaster where billions are lost, I don't know why anyone would hope for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted April 5, 2012 Share Posted April 5, 2012 Not tonight the wind is staying up , it will be a light frost tomorrow. Next week is of concern, but like the past 6 months it will be warmer then shown initially. But I guess most people on here like to see a huge disaster where billions are lost, I don't know why anyone would hope for that. This. Kids that don't Know any better think destruction is cool and think outliers are gospel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted April 5, 2012 Share Posted April 5, 2012 I hope to God that the models start trending warmer... I'll be up all night with the hose spraying frozen trees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted April 5, 2012 Share Posted April 5, 2012 Not tonight the wind is staying up , it will be a light frost tomorrow. Next week is of concern, but like the past 6 months it will be warmer then shown initially. But I guess most people on here like to see a huge disaster where billions are lost, I don't know why anyone would hope for that. You enjoy SVR WX Kiddo? This. Kids that don't Know any better think destruction is cool and think outliers are gospel. You are a svr wx fan aren't you? Highly ironic coming from you.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted April 5, 2012 Share Posted April 5, 2012 Airmass origin is completely different. The current one has a source region over a nearby snowpack and the ice over Hudson Bay. The next one will be traveling for several days over snow and ice-free areas. Significant low-level moderation and strong mixing should take place. Some of the longer-range SREF members are even picking up on this already. Given that the progged airmass next week is colder at 850 mb, wouldn't it basically cancel out and mean that it will probably be at least as cold as what we're currently seeing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted April 5, 2012 Share Posted April 5, 2012 I think a sub 40 day is possible for the lake shores but for the most of us south of the 45 it might be difficult. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nic Posted April 5, 2012 Share Posted April 5, 2012 You enjoy SVR WX Kiddo? You are a svr wx fan aren't you? If it is small hail or maybe a gusty storm, I don't really like seeing tornadoes around unless it is over the plains where it is sparsely populated. Snowstorms are cool, most of the problems with snowstorms can be avoided if people drive safely or not at all during them. I hate ice storms .Hurricanes are sort of interesting, a lot of hurricane damage could be avoided by having stronger structures near the coast, flooding could be avoided by not building in floodplains, or rebuilding in cities below sea level. I find the meteorology behind weather events interesting, I really don't like to see billions of dollars in damage and loss of life. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted April 5, 2012 Share Posted April 5, 2012 You enjoy SVR WX Kiddo? You are a svr wx fan aren't you? Highly ironic coming from you.. Fail by u. Yea I am a severe weather fan. But I don't cheer on potentialy destructive tornado outbreaks with thumbs up and smiley face emotions. I understand that extreme weather has direct impacts usually negative on people's lives. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted April 5, 2012 Author Share Posted April 5, 2012 looks like run of the mill typical april stuff here.. only reason this thread is 9 pages long is because of the silly early veg out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted April 5, 2012 Share Posted April 5, 2012 Fail by u. Yea I am a severe weather fan. But I don't cheer on potentialy destructive tornado outbreaks with thumbs up and smiley face emotions. I understand that extreme weather has direct impacts usually negative on people's lives. Oh wawaweeeewa aren't you a special one.. And I understand that my emoticons will do jack **** to influence the weather so IDGAF.. Also killing freezes and frosts this time of the year can kill off mosquitos and bugs that hurt a lot of peoples' lives as well. There is good to cold wx.. And also SVR WX Destruction>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Puny little frost/freeze impacts.. Exactly why I hate and actively root against SVR WX.. Look forward to me coming in the next SVR thread and the future ones this summer and doing the same **** you have in here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted April 5, 2012 Share Posted April 5, 2012 Oh wawaweeeewa aren't you a special one.. And I understand that my emoticons will do jack **** to influence the weather so IDGAF.. Also killing freezes and frosts this time of the year can kill off mosquitos and bugs that hurt a lot of peoples' lives as well. There is good to cold wx.. And also SVR WX Destruction>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Puny little frost/freeze impacts.. Exactly why I hate and actively root against SVR WX.. Look forward to me coming in the next SVR thread and the future ones this summer and doing the same **** you have in here Fumble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nic Posted April 5, 2012 Share Posted April 5, 2012 Ok, I will try to move coversation into another area. I found this on Accuweather, it is interesting because it shows how most orchards are downwind of the lakes, or are on the east coast where it stays warmer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted April 5, 2012 Share Posted April 5, 2012 Fumble. This is a freeze thread, you have been doing nothing but posting incorrect things in the entire time. Quit while you have shred of dignity left. Also you mention 40 for highs, last I checked it was the night time freezing temperatures that mattered in the equation. Hell it could be 60 for a high, but if it falls back to 25 at night then who cares how warm the day was when its that freeze that matters with vegetation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guru Of Reason Posted April 5, 2012 Share Posted April 5, 2012 It is a lot better than the time when people cheered for Katrina to ravage New Orleans. Anyone remember that? On a more related note, if we can get a good snowfall with the cold, the vegetation could be insulated from the worst of the freeze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted April 5, 2012 Share Posted April 5, 2012 It is a lot better than the time when people cheered for Katrina to ravage New Orleans. Anyone remember that? On a more related note, if we can get a good snowfall with the cold, the vegetation could be insulated from the worst of the freeze. Agree, but snow prospects on the large scale don't look very good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted April 5, 2012 Share Posted April 5, 2012 Freeze warning in effect, with the point forecast at 31 for here. It should be interesting to see how cold it gets here in the low lying Rock River Valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
knitwx Posted April 5, 2012 Share Posted April 5, 2012 I hope to God that the models start trending warmer... I'll be up all night with the hose spraying frozen trees. No sleep for us either. I like the wind though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 5, 2012 Share Posted April 5, 2012 Freeze warning in effect, with the point forecast at 31 for here. It should be interesting to see how cold it gets here in the low lying Rock River Valley. I would think the low lying areas where there is less wind will really drop tonight. 30° forecast here tonight. Only 7° to drop to freezing here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted April 5, 2012 Share Posted April 5, 2012 Saying 31F here too... I'm bring some stuff in and covering other stuff... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted April 6, 2012 Share Posted April 6, 2012 Just curious, how do the sheep keep warm in this cold? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nic Posted April 6, 2012 Share Posted April 6, 2012 18z gfs a little warmer, not surprising at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nic Posted April 6, 2012 Share Posted April 6, 2012 I just saw JBs new video on Weatherbell, he put a ridiculous outlier up and said a freeze down into Florida, and a nor'easter up the coast. I think that is nearly impossible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted April 6, 2012 Share Posted April 6, 2012 18z warmer...me likes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 6, 2012 Share Posted April 6, 2012 Creeping down under 37° now. Dewpoint 28°. Some low 20s and even upper 10s dewpoints in Wisconsin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted April 6, 2012 Share Posted April 6, 2012 44 °F in Madison as of 8 pm and dropping quickly, and breezy. The sun just went down too. Sounds like a hard freeze night to me. Temperatures already in the mid 30s in sporadic parts of central WI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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