Geos Posted March 24, 2012 Share Posted March 24, 2012 Fog has finally lifted after about 16 hours of it. Cloudy, damp, seasonably mild day happening. Wow, at the 6z GFS! Anyone notice the change in teleconnections? -AO, NAO neutral, but heading somewhat negative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted March 24, 2012 Share Posted March 24, 2012 Arrived in Ft. Lauderdale last night in time to see a great sunset. Beach day today...(Pic looks like crap as it was tapa talk uploaded) Enjoy, I'll be there in a week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted March 24, 2012 Share Posted March 24, 2012 Getting closer to reality, 55 °F with fog and it's the afternoon. Refreshing temperatures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted March 24, 2012 Share Posted March 24, 2012 As of March 23rd the Average March Temperature is 59.4F, that is 1.9F above the all time record set 101 years ago at 57.5F. And 14.5F above normal. The average high is 70.4F and the low is 48.F so far. Looking at the current model trends and forecasts. March 24: 72/52/62 March 25: 76/54/65 March 26: 75/55/65 March 27: 76/56/66 March 28: 78/61/70 March 29: 71/51/61 March 30: 71/51/61 March 31: 73/55/64 We are going to shatter that. It is not going to be close. We are looking at a final number in the 61-62F range now. That would put March at 16-17F above normal. That is really hard to fathom. It is going to be interesting to see how the models handle CAA with the lack of snow cover. The Lakes are also running warm, which should help as well if the flow is from the North over them? I have no idea just guessing there. The 12z NAM and GFS show the brunt of the cold air sliding more east. This could end up a near miss on damaging freeze. But the trend for an April cold snap could change that for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 24, 2012 Share Posted March 24, 2012 As of March 23rd the Average March Temperature is 59.4F, that is 1.9F above the all time record set 101 years ago at 57.5F. And 14.5F above normal. The average high is 70.4F and the low is 48.F so far. Looking at the current model trends and forecasts. March 24: 72/52/62 March 25: 76/54/65 March 26: 75/55/65 March 27: 76/56/66 March 28: 78/61/70 March 29: 71/51/61 March 30: 71/51/61 March 31: 73/55/64 We are going to shatter that. It is not going to be close. We are looking at a final number in the 61-62F range now. That would put March at 16-17F above normal. That is really hard to fathom. It is going to be interesting to see how the models handle CAA with the lack of snow cover. The Lakes are also running warm, which should help as well if the flow is from the North over them? I have no idea just guessing there. The 12z NAM and GFS show the brunt of the cold air sliding more east. This could end up a near miss on damaging freeze. But the trend for an April cold snap could change that for sure. I think your math may be a little off as far as the final projection. There's still a week left in the month and averages will go up at least slightly. With those projected daily departures, I'm not sure STL would finish above +15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 24, 2012 Share Posted March 24, 2012 ~~~ It is going to be interesting to see how the models handle CAA with the lack of snow cover. The Lakes are also running warm, which should help as well if the flow is from the North over them? I have no idea just guessing there. The 12z NAM and GFS show the brunt of the cold air sliding more east. This could end up a near miss on damaging freeze. But the trend for an April cold snap could change that for sure. As long as the winds are not strong over the lakes and the air is relatively calm, it doesn't matter that water temperatures are in the 40s. Cold air sinking from above from the high will supply the cold air to the surface. The NAM showed freezing temperatures right to the lake shores. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted March 24, 2012 Share Posted March 24, 2012 I think your math may be a little off as far as the final projection. There's still a week left in the month and averages will go up at least slightly. With those projected daily departures, I'm not sure STL would finish above +15 Your right, those would make 60.7F for the month. the mean is 46.3F. So that would be around 14.4F. I thought it was around 45F. I must have been looking at the previous climo for that. Well one thing is for sure, the all time record is going down, this is like a baseball team clinching a playoff spot a month early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 24, 2012 Share Posted March 24, 2012 Had about 10 minutes or partial sun, now ceilings are lowering with scud clouds moving in off the lake. Probably more fog tonight. High 58° today. Edit - 6:15pm: Down to 50°, with fog drifting back in - about the same time as yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted March 24, 2012 Share Posted March 24, 2012 No sun today but Sunday should live up to its name. Fun fact: the incident solar radiation at solar noon today was 88% stronger than at solar noon on the winter solstice (in Madison). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted March 25, 2012 Author Share Posted March 25, 2012 Enjoy your trip man and keep the pics coming when you have a chance..some girls gone wild on spring break shots would be nice, too. And just think when you get back you'll have the Tropical waters of Lake Michigan to return to.Thanks. I took some time to snap a few pics this afternoon, and I'll posted them later. Chilling at the outdoor bar right now, watching some drunk lesbians grind on their 3rd floor balcony. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Touched 69F today...we actually had a few breaks of sun and clear blue skies for about 2hrs this evening... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Ahhhhh x2 EWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted March 25, 2012 Author Share Posted March 25, 2012 A few pics taken this afternoon/evening... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Nice Pics Storm! Don't drink to much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 A lighter shade of red FINALLY showing up on the NAEFS... This has been solid red for weeks? now... First change I've seen... Must be seeing that GFS cold in the extended range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 feels very warm outside, over performer in the making? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Was expecting a repeat morning of fog and clouds, instead it is partly cloudy and mild. 62° here, which is 2° above the predicted high. Should be nice until the back door cold front gets here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Glorious Spring day. Ahh. Birds are chirping under the most blue sky with a hot sun. Perfect Sunday weather. Might destroy the forecasted high today? We shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 DTX AS LOW TEMPERATURES DIP DOWN INTO THE 20S. NORMALLY THIS WOULD NOT BE A BIG DEAL GIVEN WE ARE STILL IN THE MONTH OF MARCH...HOWEVER THE 2 WEEK STRETCH OF WARM WEATHER HAS ALLOWED VEGETATION TO BUD OUT. THIS MEANS A NORMALLY INSIGNIFICANT COOL STRETCH OF WEATHER WILL LIKELY LEAD TO A WIDESPREAD KILLING FREEZE ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN. ALTHOUGH THIS EVENT IS TOO FAR OUT TO ISSUE HEADLINES AS IT IS THE FOURTH PERIOD...HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED AS THIS EVENT DRAWS CLOSER. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Devastation ABMT. Pefect windows open week ahead.. mostly 40's and 50's by day...enough clouds at night to stay warm enough for windows open. ahh, two more months of this bliss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 DTX AS LOW TEMPERATURES DIP DOWN INTO THE 20S. NORMALLY THIS WOULD NOT BE A BIG DEAL GIVEN WE ARE STILL IN THE MONTH OF MARCH...HOWEVER THE 2 WEEK STRETCH OF WARM WEATHER HAS ALLOWED VEGETATION TO BUD OUT. THIS MEANS A NORMALLY INSIGNIFICANT COOL STRETCH OF WEATHER WILL LIKELY LEAD TO A WIDESPREAD KILLING FREEZE ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN. ALTHOUGH THIS EVENT IS TOO FAR OUT TO ISSUE HEADLINES AS IT IS THE FOURTH PERIOD...HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED AS THIS EVENT DRAWS CLOSER. That's some strong wording. Looks like most of MI will be at or below freezing tonight. Back door cold front approaching this area. Already starting the cool off up towards MKE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted March 25, 2012 Author Share Posted March 25, 2012 Nice Pics Storm! Don't drink to much Thanks.Cruise is about to leave, so no internet till next Sunday...Unless I want to pay an arm and a leg. More pics to come then. Until then...I am out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Thanks. Cruise is about to leave, so no internet till next Sunday...Unless I want to pay an arm and a leg. More pics to come then. Until then...I am out. Enjoy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Wow....we popped up to 70F today, so that is 11 days of 70F+ in March, breaking the old record 9 in 1945. Looks like a freeze is possible tonight and a hard freeze is likely tomorrow....12z NAM has DTW at 23F tomorrow night! We shall see... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Yeah so much for the cool day, 70 °F here too. Tomorrow is supposedly going to top out in the 40s despite sun, I'll believe it when I see it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Temperatures really starting to tumble now. NE winds are increasing to the 20mph range. 52° currently with increasing low level clouds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 You can see the front. It also looks like quite a lake shadow. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Made it to 71, which is 17 degrees above average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 You can see the front. It also looks like quite a lake shadow. .[attachment=61206:latest_g8msn. Sweet satellite shot! Lakefront readings as low as 44° right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 I'm wondering how the heck we're gonna get into the 30s tonight since it's 67 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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