turtlehurricane Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 Even over here in eastern Iowa the stratus deck has been locked in for two days. We're struggling just to get out of the 40s. We're struggling to get out of the 30s today, stuck at 38 °F. The southern edge of the stratus deck is quickly eroding but probably not quickly enough for any part of today to be nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 Stuck in the 40's here too. Gonna need a rally to get to the forecasted high of 60. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 Still has not broken 40! No sign of the stratus thinning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 Until we lose these clouds, we aren't going anywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 Still has not broken 40! No sign of the stratus thinning. I think I'd go crazy if I had to live next to one of the great lakes in spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 .SHORT TERM...THIS AFTERNOON 1131 AM CDT SAT MAR 31 2012 THE LATEST RUC AND NAM/WRF CONTINUE TO SUGGEST THAT THE LOW CLOUDS WILL LINGER INTO TONIGHT. AS A RESULT THINKING THAT OUR HIGH TEMPERATURE FORECAST IS WAY TOO GENEROUS. YESTERDAY UNDERNEATH THESE CLOUDS TEMPERATURES STRUGGLED TO CLIMB INTO THE MID AND UPPER 40S ACROSS WISCONSIN. EVEN IN SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA AND NORTHEAST IOWA...THEY WERE ONLY ABLE TO CLIMB INTO THE MID 50S AND THAT WAS DUE TO A BRIEF PERIOD OF PARTIAL SUNSHINE. THE LATEST RUC IS ONLY SUGGESTING HIGHS IN THE 40S THIS AFTERNOON WHICH SEEMS RATHER REASONABLE. SINCE THIS WOULD BE A CONSIDERABLE DROP IN OUR FORECAST HIGH TEMPERATURES...DECIDED TO TAKE OUR EXISTING MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE GRID AND BLEND IT WITH THE LATEST RUC. MOST LIKELY STILL TOO WARM...BUT AT LEAST IT IS IN THE RIGHT DIRECTION. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 Brutal...we'll be stuck in the 40Fs while Sioux Falls (directly west of here) will be in the low 80Fs.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 Sun is trying to peek out here. The visible loop shows the stratus rapidly eroding from the south with a bit of erosion west of Chicago as well. There are plenty of high clouds spilling across eastern Iowa, but if the stratus can erode completely we should at least get enough sun to get us to 60. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 I need to live in South Dakota... Always stay clear in situations like this. Just way too much water/moisture around these parts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 Stuck in the 40's here too. Gonna need a rally to get to the forecasted high of 60. My point yesterday morning was predicting 61 for today. This morning they dropped it to 53. It is now showing steady temps at 48, which is my current temp. Stratus sucks. They were predicting 78 for Sunday here for several days, but yesterday dropped it to 74, owing to clouds and rain. We'll see how that pans out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 OmG.. Going on D4 of pure stratus hell. Is this Ireland or Michigan? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 OmG.. Going on D4 of pure stratus hell. Is this Ireland or Michigan? 39 Overcast at 1? This is heaven! :wub: Another killer day! Going to enjoy it outside in a bit! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 Clouds starting to break. Should be able to warm some but exact amount remains to be seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 39 Overcast at 1? This is heaven! :wub: Another killer day! Going to enjoy it outside in a bit! Do you wear a trench coat and pick on kittens? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 Do you wear a trench coat and pick on kittens? Shorts and a light fleece jacket to go for a nice long run/bike.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 80F in Sioux Falls...think we ticked above 45F... Yeehaw! It as brighter outside when I was last out...maybe this crap will melt off by sunset! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 The clouds have scattered up pretty nicely here. After hovering in the 40s most of the day the temps have responded and jump into the mid fiddies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 90F in Lincoln, NE right now...88F in Omaha... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropical Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 Do you wear a trench coat and pick on kittens? He wears a trench coat and then exposes himself. The cold does wonders for him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 Temps underachieved big time today. Currently at 54 which could still go up a little. Barring a 4 degree rise, today will be the first time since March 9 that the high was below average. But the mild morning ensures an overall above average departure for the day, making it the 22nd consecutive day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 It almost got sunny and then overcast moved in at mid-upper levels Showers coming soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 both DVN and LOT have mentioned possible MCS develop late tonight across eastern IA and pushing ESE across IL during the early morning hours. Decent shear and 1000+ j/kg of MUCAPE could make for some nice elevated convection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 Only managed 40° for a high today! 100% cloudy. Was out in western Lake County where there was a few peaks of sun, but not much warmer. About 10 degrees below normal today for the high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 Assuming todays high/low of 43/35 hold, the mean temp for the month will be 50.6F at DTW, so even though weve chilled that mean down the past several days, this is still the warmest March on record, breaking the 1945 record by 2.7F. Its crazy to think that in a month where you smash the all-time record for warmest March on record, only 22 of the 31 days were above normal!! Speaks volumes for the magnitude of that torch! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 both DVN and LOT have mentioned possible MCS develop late tonight across eastern IA and pushing ESE across IL during the early morning hours. Decent shear and 1000+ j/kg of MUCAPE could make for some nice elevated convection. Yeah several of the HRRR runs have developed some nice elevated hailers over far eastern Iowa later this evening. After the cool/cloudy first 2/3 of the day the late day sun managed to push us up to 58. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted March 31, 2012 Share Posted March 31, 2012 Made it to 50 IMBY as sun came out beautifully this afternoon. Gonna be interesting to watch storm development in eastern IA tonight as that hot air pushes eastward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 1, 2012 Share Posted April 1, 2012 Clouds breaking up now. Lows are already under guidance. Currently 37°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted April 1, 2012 Share Posted April 1, 2012 Preliminary 56.6 for IND this March, depending on today's min temp which is 47 of right now. It bests the previous March record of 51.9 (1910 and 1946) by 4.7 degrees. Sort of interesting, but the coldest March on record, 26.2 in 1960, is 4.8 degrees colder than the second coldest on record of 31.0 in 1906. Looking at the individual monthly records, here's the greatest differences between first and second place. Four of the six are cold records. Both the warmest and coldest Januaries and Marches make the list and/or take up the top four. Data for Indianapolis dates back to 1871. 5.2 - January 1880 (45.0) and January 2006 (39.8) 4.8 - March 1960 (26.2) and March 1906 (31.0) 4.7 - March 2012 (56.6) and March 1910/1946 (51.9) 4.3 - January 1977 (10.3) and January 1918 (14.6) 3.5 - November 1880 (31.1) and November 1976 (34.6) 2.3 - April 1907 (43.3) and April 1961 (45.6) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted April 1, 2012 Share Posted April 1, 2012 SLGT risk was added with the latest outlook and new MD just issued for eastern IA and parts of northern IL MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0402 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0852 PM CDT SAT MAR 31 2012 AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/ERN IA...NWRN IL CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE VALID 010152Z - 010245Z AN INCREASE IN TSTM COVERAGE IS ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE LATE EVENING HRS FROM CNTRL IA EWD INTO NWRN IL...WITH A PRIMARY THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL. CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY SURROUNDING SPECIFIC TIMING/MAGNITUDE OF SVR POTENTIAL EXISTS...BUT CONVECTIVE TRENDS ARE BEING MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE WW...PERHAPS AS SOON AS THE NEXT 1-2 HRS. SFC ANALYSIS FROM 01Z PLACES A WARM FRONT FROM 30 SSE OTM TO 10 NNW SUX. TO THE NE OF THE WARM FRONT...RADAR ECHOES HAVE DEVELOPED APPROXIMATELY 40 W OF CEDAR RAPIDS...WITH A NARROW WAA REGIME AIDED BY A 30-40 KT SWLY LLJ /PER DMX VWP/. WITH TIME...A GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION/EWD EXPANSION OF TSTMS IS EXPECTED. STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES /SAMPLED AT 7-8 C/KM PER DVN 00Z SOUNDING/ AND MUCAPE VALUES EXCEEDING 1000 J/KG...ALONG WITH MODERATE W-NWLY MIDLEVEL FLOW...WILL SUPPORT ELEVATED TSTMS /SOME SUPERCELLS/ CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AS THE PRIMARY THREAT. A MAJORITY OF AVAILABLE HIGH-RESOLUTION CONVECTION ALLOWING GUIDANCE /INCLUDING 23Z WRF-HRRR AND 12Z WRF-NMM/ APPEARS TO BE TOO SLOW/FAR EAST WITH INITIAL CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT...BUT GENERAL TREND IS FOR A GRADUAL EWD EXPANSION OF TSTMS INTO ERN IA AND EVENTUALLY NRN IL AS LOW-LEVEL WAA BECOMES FOCUSED FARTHER E. CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY SURROUNDING EVOLUTION OF CONVECTION AND TIMING OF ASSOCIATED LARGE HAIL THREAT REMAINS...BUT THE AREA IS BEING MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE WW. ..ROGERS.. 04/01/2012 ATTN...WFO...LOT...ILX...DVN...ARX...DMX... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted April 1, 2012 Share Posted April 1, 2012 First severe storm warning of the year in my area, just east of me. I was outside a little while ago when this cell first formed. It was clear over me with the moon and Venus shining brightly while the eastern third of the sky was lit up with lightning-filled clouds. Update: Severe warning for Cedar Rapids now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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