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March 2012 General Discussion Part 3


Chicago Storm

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6z is warm...not really sure about any snow or hard freeze anymore.

I can see some brief wet snow if we can get a good spring storm to spin up, but i'm totally not buying hard freeze chances...especially outside far northern MI or the UP.

I'm declaring winter dead/over/done for MBY.

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Just realized that March 5th will likely be our last sub freezing day of the season, which is very early. Just noticed that Detroit's last sub freezing high was February 11th! There was also a 32 degree high on February 25th. If that holds, I'm sure that February 11th date has to smash any previous record.

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Euro doesn't look cold next week. Shows a quick shot of cool air, but then back to seasonal temps... Once again it shoots the cold into the NE more then the upper midwest.

Averages cracked 60F here today (60F/39F) ...really climbing now.

The normal high/low for La Crosse today is 51/31, not 60/39...right? Or, maybe I'm misunderstanding what you're saying :)

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maybe up there in your artic micro climate. it's not happening here.

I'm not affected by the urban heat island at all. Maybe very minimal. Not a lot of concrete around here. I notice the effect more as you get into Waukegan & Gurnee.

2 miles in every direction there is still open farm fields/undeveloped land.

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Snow possible tomorrow up here, though I'm not expecting much accumulation, maybe some slush on the grassy surfaces.

Is Snow and Ice on the Way?

Low pressure is expected to move from eastern Iowa early Friday morning, to northern Indiana by afternoon, and then to central Ohio by Friday evening. Southwest Michigan will be on the colder side of this fast moving system. Temperatures will likely be in the 30s as precipitation arrives early Friday morning. Areas north of Interstate 96 may see a wintry mix of rain, freezing rain, sleet and snow for the morning rush hour. Some areas may experience a light accumulation of ice, prior to the precipitation changing to rain in the afternoon. Further north, across portions central lower Michigan, all snow may occur. This could result in a few inches of accumulating snow, mainly northeast of a Manistee to Alma line.

This system continues to evolve, as does the forecast. Continue to monitor the latest forecasts for possible changes to the forecast and possible advisories and/or warnings.

http://www.crh.noaa....=81215&source=0

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Last two GFS runs keep the warm front south of here all weekend. Looks like no warm sector for me.

This will bust 20F too high:

Sunday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 78. South wind between 5 and 10 mph.

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Euro shows a slushy couple inches tomorrow. Afternoon timing, and the recent heat wave should prevent much accumulation, limited to grassy areas.

FRI 12Z 30-MAR  -0.3     1.5    1018      67      47    0.01     560     546    
FRI 18Z 30-MAR   0.9    -2.3    1014      86     100    0.32     557     546    
SAT 00Z 31-MAR   0.0    -1.8    1012      90      94    0.26     556     546 

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Last two GFS runs keep the warm front south of here all weekend. Looks like no warm sector for me.

This will bust 20F too high:

Sunday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 78. South wind between 5 and 10 mph.

It will Probably sit along I-80, like they usually do in the spring!

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