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March 14-17 Midwest Hailers


Indystorm

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Were they well built homes, or manufactured homes?

I haven't seen anything leveled in the live videos from Dexter so far, except for one singular house, and the house next to it is completely standing except for damage to the side facing the destroyed house. There's decently bad damage, but nothing above EF3ish IMO. But I'm not gonna speculate this early. They are all newer houses, which means lightweight truss construction.

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Decent cell pushing into NW Isabella county. Mt Plesant might get grazed.

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...

SOUTHWESTERN CLARE COUNTY IN CENTRAL MICHIGAN...

NORTHERN ISABELLA COUNTY IN CENTRAL MICHIGAN...

* UNTIL 815 PM EDT

* AT 728 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE

TRACKING A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL.

THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 8 MILES WEST OF FARWELL..AND MOVING

SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...

CLARE... ROSEBUSH... WEIDMAN...

FARWELL... LOOMIS... BRINTON...

BEAL CITY... SEBEWA TWP... FREEMAN TWP...

LAKE... HERRICK... VERNON CENTER...

WOODS...

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI

752 PM EDT THU MAR 15 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...

SOUTHERN LAPEER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN...

* UNTIL 900 PM EDT

* AT 750 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PING PONG BALL SIZE

HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. THIS STORM WAS

LOCATED NEAR METAMORA...OR 7 MILES SOUTH OF LAPEER...AND MOVING

EAST AT 25 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...

DRYDEN AROUND 810 PM EDT.

ALMONT AROUND 820 PM EDT.

THE WARNING INCLUDES AREAS SURROUNDING THESE LOCATIONS...

METAMORA... HADLEY... DRYDEN...

ALMONT...

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Watch has been extended to 11 PM.

WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 76

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI

803 PM EDT THU MAR 15 2012

MIC017-049-063-087-091-093-099-111-115-125-145-147-151-155-157-

161-163-160300-

/O.EXT.KDTX.SV.A.0076.000000T0000Z-120316T0300Z/

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 76...PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM

EDT THIS EVENING...IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING

FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS

IN MICHIGAN THIS WATCH INCLUDES 17 COUNTIES

IN SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN

BAY GENESEE HURON

LAPEER LENAWEE LIVINGSTON

MACOMB MIDLAND MONROE

OAKLAND SAGINAW SANILAC

SHIAWASSEE ST. CLAIR TUSCOLA

WASHTENAW WAYNE

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...ALMONT...ANN ARBOR...BAD AXE...

BAY CITY...BRIGHTON...BROWN CITY...CANTON...CARO...CASEVILLE...

CASS CITY...CLINTON...CROSWELL...DEARBORN...DECKERVILLE...

DURAND...FERNDALE...FLINT...FOWLERVILLE...HARBOR BEACH...HOWELL...

IMLAY CITY...LAMBERTVILLE...LAPEER...LEXINGTON...LINCOLN PARK...

LIVONIA...MARLETTE...MARYSVILLE...MAYVILLE...MIDLAND...

MILLINGTON...MONROE...NOVI...OWOSSO...PIGEON...PONTIAC...

PORT HURON...REDFORD...REESE...ROYAL OAK...SAGINAW...SANDUSKY...

SEBEWAING...SOUTHFIELD...ST. CLAIR SHORES...STERLING HEIGHTS...

TAYLOR...TEMPERANCE...TROY...UBLY...VASSAR...WARREN...

WATERFORD AND WESTLAND.

$$

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mcd0263.gif

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0263

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0702 PM CDT THU MAR 15 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN MI

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 76...

VALID 160002Z - 160100Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 76

CONTINUES.

THREAT OF LARGE HAIL AND AN ISOLATED TORNADO CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF

THE WW AREA. WHILE THE TORNADO THREAT WILL DECREASE OVER THE NEXT

FEW HOURS...LARGE HAIL MAY REMAIN POSSIBLE AFTER DARK. THE WW MAY BE

LOCALLY EXTENDED FOR A COUPLE OF HOURS.

SEASONABLY WARM/MOIST SURFACE CONDITIONS IN COMBINATION WITH STEEP

LOW-MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES CONTINUE TO SUPPORT CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT

IN THE VICINITY OF A CONFLUENT ZONE...NOW EXTENDING FROM NEAR FORT

WAYNE IND TO EAST OF SAGINAW MI. SUBTLE LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION MAY

MAINTAIN ENOUGH SURFACE-BASED INSTABILITY FOR AN ISOLATED TORNADO TO

OCCUR OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO. HOWEVER...AS DIURNAL COOLING

CONTINUES TO STABILIZE THE BOUNDARY LAYER...SURFACE-BASED

STORMS...AND THEREFORE THE THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL BECOME LESS

PROBABLE WITH TIME. THE MAIN UPPER WAVE THAT LED TO THE ONGOING

CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IS NOW LOCATED PER 00Z WV IMAGERY OVER ERN MI

AND SRN ONTARIO. WITH ITS EWD PROGRESSION...TEMPORARY SUBSIDENCE IN

ITS WAKE MAY GRADUALLY DECREASE THE COVERAGE OF STORMS ACROSS THE

AREA. HOWEVER...A RESERVOIR OF INSTABILITY AND STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE

RATES REMAINS ACROSS MUCH OF MI...WITH A FRONT STILL SITUATED ACROSS

THE CNTRL PART OF THE STATE. WV IMAGERY SUGGESTS AN AREA OF IMPLIED

ASCENT NOW APPROACHING FROM THE WRN GREAT LAKES/WI...WHICH MAY STILL

SUPPORT A THREAT OF ELEVATED STORMS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL AFTER

DARK.

..HURLBUT.. 03/16/2012

ATTN...WFO...DTX...IWX...GRR...

LAT...LON 43498425 44088301 43578251 42808255 41958311 41778384

41888467 42728441 43498425

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Radar estimates 3-6" of rain across Ann Arbor

Remarkable day. I have not heard of any injuries or fatalities so that is a good thing. But just remarkable for the time of the year and the overall set-up. This Spring has gotten off to wild start in MI. Two Michigan Tornado outbreaks in 1 week.

I don't think one tornado per storm constitutes a tornado outbreak...

Nonetheless, its still impressive

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