SpartyOn Posted March 15, 2012 Share Posted March 15, 2012 Thread fail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted March 15, 2012 Share Posted March 15, 2012 It might be 50 degrees above average in Ontario. (image available at http://policlimate.com/weather/index.html under NCEP GFS 2-meter Temperatures -- Forecasts and Anomalies Page) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 15, 2012 Share Posted March 15, 2012 Managed 75° today at 1pm, before the cool lake air spilled in. Probably pick back up with the 70s during the weekend. Morning sun rays near Waukegan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpsycho Posted March 16, 2012 Share Posted March 16, 2012 It might be 50 degrees above average in Ontario. (image available at http://policlimate.com/weather/index.html under NCEP GFS 2-meter Temperatures -- Forecasts and Anomalies It will be interesting to see how wiping out the snow pack in all/most of Ontario into parts of Quebec will have on the rest of Spring. I think it will make it harder to have a below normal April unless we get complete overwhelmed by a very cold pattern (which doesn't look likely right now). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted March 16, 2012 Share Posted March 16, 2012 Even beyond next week is look toasty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 16, 2012 Share Posted March 16, 2012 Even beyond next week is look toasty. Per Harry, Euro weeklies show temps closer to normal week 3 and below normal week 4 for the GL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted March 16, 2012 Share Posted March 16, 2012 JB is tweeting that the JMA is showing a cooler than normal summer in the great lakes/NE region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted March 16, 2012 Share Posted March 16, 2012 JB is tweeting that the JMA is showing a cooler than normal summer in the great lakes/NE region. Summer cancel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted March 16, 2012 Share Posted March 16, 2012 Per Harry, Euro weeklies show temps closer to normal week 3 and below normal week 4 for the GL. It will be interesting to see how this all plays out as we head forward into April. Signals of the PNA and MJO are hinting at some sort of return to basic normalcy in far stretch. But then again it's important to see how far out that is. 1 thing is for sure..another 7 maybe more days of insane warmth is projected for parts of the region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted March 16, 2012 Share Posted March 16, 2012 JB is tweeting that the JMA is showing a cooler than normal summer in the great lakes/NE region. Summer cancel Watch the current torch's average temps beat July's. Don't laugh. Indiana's statewide average temp in July 2009 was 69.4. That's about what we have averaged the past few days and look to continue for the next few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 17, 2012 Share Posted March 17, 2012 I found this part of the 3PM LOT disco. kinda comical! MODELS IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT IN VERY SLOW EASTWARD DRIFT OF THE UPPER TROF FROM THE PLAINS AS A CUT-OFF LOW FORMS SOMEWHERE OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE MID MS VALLEY. THIS WILL KEEP POPS LOW AND TEMPERATURES HIGH...EVEN RECORD HIGH...UNTIL WED NIGHT AS THE TROF/CLOSED LOW MOVE OVER THE MID MS VALLEY. WITH THE UPPER TROF/CLOSED LOW NEAR OR OVERHEAD POPS INCREASE FOR WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI. ALSO DURING THIS PERIOD OF INCREASED CLOUD COVER AND POTENTIAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TEMPERATURES WILL BE HELD DOWN SOMEWHAT...WITH HIGHS BY FRI IN THE LOWER 60S...SOME 15 TO 20 DEG F COOLER THAN THE WEEKEND AND THE FIRST PART OF THE WEEK. DOWNRIGHT CHILLY IF YOU ASK ME WHEN WE ONLY REACH HIGHS THAT ARE JUST 10 TO 15 DEG ABOVE NORMS. TRS I doubt this warmup will last till March 31st. These March warmup's always end at some point and near normal temperatures come back for a spell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted March 17, 2012 Share Posted March 17, 2012 I found this part of the 3PM LOT disco. kinda comical! I doubt this warmup will last till March 31st. These March warmup's always end at some point and near normal temperatures come back for a spell. Who knows though? I mean honestly the pattern never broke in winter and that was a 3 month stretch. That being said we'll probably dip into the 50s again but man this is one persistent pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wishforsnow Posted March 17, 2012 Share Posted March 17, 2012 Summer cancel Wouldn't break my heart. I hate heat and humidity. That is the one reason I moved up here from Central Iowa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 17, 2012 Share Posted March 17, 2012 Who knows though? I mean honestly the pattern never broke in winter and that was a 3 month stretch. Thats not true. The warmth was dominant and persistent, but it was a roller coaster with many transient cold shots. Hell, during two of winters best snowstorms (Jan 20 and Feb 11) we had daytime highs in the teens. Right now its a battle between the LR GFS and Euro weeklies. GFS says a slight cool down (still above normal) euro weeklies say below normal temps coming in a few weeks. You can always tell when the euro weeklies show some cool weeks because warmingista brett anderson on accuweather doeant mention them or give his "interpretation". if they are all torch hes got them up immediately lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 17, 2012 Share Posted March 17, 2012 I wouldn't get to hyped up over JMA summer forecasts. Pee you bad last year as was the ECMWF. Trying to hard to create a El Nino and using that as its forecast. On the other hand, the ECMWF was the only one that nailed the consistent heat from spring through the summr of 2010, as it predicted the ENSO flipping over rapdily to a La Nina (which it did). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted March 18, 2012 Share Posted March 18, 2012 ECMWF pulled its head out of its ass and decided to ditch the cool snap idea. Saw that coming from a mile away as did the ENS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 18, 2012 Share Posted March 18, 2012 ECMWF pulled its head out of its ass and decided to ditch the cool snap idea. Saw that coming from a mile away as did the ENS. 00z Euro is still coolish, colder than any model but I don't agree with it quickly transitioning into a -NAO. If that were to happen I wouldn't expect it to happen until first week of April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted March 18, 2012 Share Posted March 18, 2012 00z Euro is still coolish, colder than any model but I don't agree with it quickly transitioning into a -NAO. If that were to happen I wouldn't expect it to happen until first week of April. Stebo u are correct. I meant to say cold not cool snap. But yea it's the one chilly solution in a handful of torched models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 18, 2012 Share Posted March 18, 2012 You do have to image we'll start seeing some downstream feedback effects resulting from the lack of snow cover to our north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 18, 2012 Share Posted March 18, 2012 You do have to image we'll start seeing some downstream feedback effects resulting from the lack of snow cover to our north. Here is a link to help emphasize your point even more, it is the last 2 weeks snow cover maps in a loop. http://www.nohrsc.noaa.gov/nsa/js_animate.html?year=2012&month=3&day=18&type=nsm_depth®ion=National Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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