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March 2012 General Discussion Part 2


Chicago Storm

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FWIW...12z NAM raw BUFKIT numbers have high temps between 75-80 for Chicago through Sun.

GFS MOS speaks for itself...

KORD reported on 14-MAR-2012
KORD   GFSX MOS GUIDANCE   3/14/2012  1200 UTC
FHR  24  36| 48  60| 72  84| 96 108|120 132|144 156|168 180|192
   THU 15| FRI 16| SAT 17| SUN 18| MON 19| TUE 20| WED 21|THU CLIMO
N/X  59  76| 57  76| 58  72| 56  72| 57  74| 57  74| 58  72| 55 30 48
TMP  60  69| 58  69| 59  66| 58  66| 59  67| 59  67| 59  65| 57
DPT  57  56| 55  56| 56  57| 54  55| 54  55| 54  54| 53  53| 52
WND  11   9|  6   9|  8  13|  9  11|  8  16| 11  12| 11  13| 12
P12  28  23|  9  10| 20  25| 48  26| 23  27| 23  24| 22  17| 24 32 26
P24	  46|	 26|	 31|	 54|	 34|	 42|	 32|	   43
Q12   0   0|  0   0|  0   0|  2   0|  0   0|  0   0|	   |
Q24	   1|	  0|	  0|	  2|	  0|	  1|	   |
T12  45  36| 30  39| 31  31| 31  14| 17  14|  9  15| 10   5|  5
T24		| 48	| 57	| 56	| 20	| 17	| 20	| 10
PZP   0   0|  0   0|  0   0|  0   0|  0   0|  1   1|  0   1|  2
PSN   1   0|  3   6|  5   7|  7   9|  9  13| 13  13| 16  17| 15
PRS   3   1|  4   3|  3   2|  4   2|  3   2|  3   3|  3   3|  4
TYP   R   R|  R   R|  R   R|  R   R|  R   R|  R   R|  R   R|  R
SNW	   0|	  0|	  0|	  0|	  0|	  0|	   |

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FWIW...12z NAM raw BUFKIT numbers have high temps between 75-80 for Chicago through Sun.

GFS MOS speaks for itself...

KORD reported on 14-MAR-2012
KORD   GFSX MOS GUIDANCE   3/14/2012  1200 UTC
FHR  24  36| 48  60| 72  84| 96 108|120 132|144 156|168 180|192
    THU 15| FRI 16| SAT 17| SUN 18| MON 19| TUE 20| WED 21|THU CLIMO
N/X  59  76| 57  76| 58  72| 56  72| 57  74| 57  74| 58  72| 55 30 48
TMP  60  69| 58  69| 59  66| 58  66| 59  67| 59  67| 59  65| 57
DPT  57  56| 55  56| 56  57| 54  55| 54  55| 54  54| 53  53| 52
WND  11   9|  6   9|  8  13|  9  11|  8  16| 11  12| 11  13| 12
P12  28  23|  9  10| 20  25| 48  26| 23  27| 23  24| 22  17| 24 32 26
P24      46|     26|     31|     54|     34|     42|     32|       43
Q12   0   0|  0   0|  0   0|  2   0|  0   0|  0   0|       |
Q24       1|      0|      0|      2|      0|      1|       |
T12  45  36| 30  39| 31  31| 31  14| 17  14|  9  15| 10   5|  5
T24        | 48    | 57    | 56    | 20    | 17    | 20    | 10
PZP   0   0|  0   0|  0   0|  0   0|  0   0|  1   1|  0   1|  2
PSN   1   0|  3   6|  5   7|  7   9|  9  13| 13  13| 16  17| 15
PRS   3   1|  4   3|  3   2|  4   2|  3   2|  3   3|  3   3|  4
TYP   R   R|  R   R|  R   R|  R   R|  R   R|  R   R|  R   R|  R
SNW       0|      0|      0|      0|      0|      0|       |

That is incredible. You rarely see MOS go 25 above climo 7 days out.

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LOT...from a bit earlier.

GOING FORECAST FOR THIS AFTERNOON...INCLUDING RECORD

WARMTH...LOOKS GOOD. TEMPERATURES ALREADY ARE REACHING THE MID 70S

AT 1130 AM IN SOME PARTS OF THE FORECAST AREA. MIXING ON BOTH ILX

AND DVN SOUNDINGS WOULD PROVIDE LOWER 80S...EVEN MID 80S ON THE

LATTER. INCREASING DEW POINTS AND SOME CIRRUS/CU WILL LIKELY KEEP

VALUES BETWEEN 79 AND 82 ACROSS MOST OF THE CWA.

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No Mud on my new home construction site!! That's extremely unusual for this time of year.

Also MDOT says no frost laws in effect south of I-10 in Michigan. Normally Frost laws lift well after April 5th. What does this mean? It means construction can begin on Michigan roads/Comercial and residential for concrete construction

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RECORD EVENT REPORT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN

312 PM EDT WED MAR 14 2012

...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT INDIANAPOLIS...

VERY WARM TEMPERATURES TODAY ROSE TO SET A NEW RECORD HIGH

TEMPERATURE OF 80 DEGREES...WHICH WENT DOWN IN THE RECORD BOOKS AT

2:37 PM. THE PREVIOUS RECORD WAS 79 SET IN 1990. TEMPERATURES ARE

HOVERING NEAR 80 DEGREES SO WE MAY SEE IT CREEP A BIT HIGHER BEFORE

HEATING OF THE DAY WANES.

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