Chicago Storm Posted March 16, 2012 Author Share Posted March 16, 2012 Small storm has developed on the lake breeze near downtown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted March 16, 2012 Author Share Posted March 16, 2012 Small storm has developed on the lake breeze near downtown. A shot of the distant storm out back here at work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted March 16, 2012 Share Posted March 16, 2012 18z GFS keeps it very wet next week... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 16, 2012 Share Posted March 16, 2012 A shot of the distant storm out back here at work. right off shore from my place, beautiful backlit towering CU...left camera at work, doh! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted March 16, 2012 Share Posted March 16, 2012 18z GFS keeps it very wet next week... goodbye blue sky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 17, 2012 Share Posted March 17, 2012 That would cause some issues. Hit 58° today with almost half the day being in the soupy fog. Broke up us before 11am. Densest fog was east of US 41 in Lake County. Pretty nice day overall. Any day in March in the 50s is alright! Down to 53° now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted March 17, 2012 Share Posted March 17, 2012 18z GFS keeps it very wet next week... Yes, the models are currently stalling out the plume of good rain for a while as it reaches the area. Could be some heavy totals up through eastern Iowa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted March 17, 2012 Share Posted March 17, 2012 Forecast highs upped to 81 for both saturday and sunday. That's the average high in the hottest part of summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropical Posted March 17, 2012 Share Posted March 17, 2012 18z gfs is torch through hour 384. Love it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted March 17, 2012 Share Posted March 17, 2012 DTW currently sitting at +10.7 with a average temp of 44.9. I would assume that this number will keep climbing throughout the next week or so. Its safe to say that March will finish well above normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted March 17, 2012 Share Posted March 17, 2012 Clouds and rain were around until 2pm. The day was almost never started. The temperature sky rocketed from 65F at 2 pm to 77F by 4pm. This gave us a day of 77/58/66 or 22F+ above normal. This puts STL at 55.8F for the month and 12.3F above normal. The forecasts call for the next 3-4 days to be 26-28F above normal. Then an upper low moves in and put us closer to normal at 10-15F above before the heat comes back. the GOM is torching with widespread 2-3C anomalies and 3-4C widespread anomalies by the GOM coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted March 17, 2012 Author Share Posted March 17, 2012 Friday, March 16th: Hi: 80F Lo: 47F Overall Sky Conditions: Partly Cloudy Max Wind Gust: 21MPH Rainfall: 0.00" Snowfall: 0.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted March 17, 2012 Share Posted March 17, 2012 The record for Detroit tomorrow is 75. If we don't get into any convection or debris clouds this record could be busted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 17, 2012 Share Posted March 17, 2012 Still 66 here. What a remarkable weather pattern this has been. I'm sure at some point we'll get a few final wet snowflakes of the season in early April. Man will that be a weird experience after essentially summertime weather for weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 17, 2012 Share Posted March 17, 2012 MLI has already set 5 records in the last 3 days. 3 record highs and 2 record warm mins. Looks like at least 3 more record highs on the way the next 3 days if all goes as expected. Probably more record warm mins as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 17, 2012 Share Posted March 17, 2012 A very pleasant 55° tonight. No fog tonight here. Even though it was coolish by the lake - it is still great weather for March! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxhstn74 Posted March 17, 2012 Share Posted March 17, 2012 1970s-2000s http://weatherhistorian.blogspot.com/2012/03/early-start-to-tornado-season-reminds.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted March 17, 2012 Share Posted March 17, 2012 Just weird weird weather folks. I know this isn't a scientific post but it's just unreal to see us consistently hitting 80 in Toledo in early March! This usually blizzard season, and this is a constant summer pattern. The thing I notice most is nights though, it really just does not cool off at all when that sun goes down. Just another reason I love weather so much, it can and will do anything at anytime of the year almost. The power of mother nature is something else Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 17, 2012 Share Posted March 17, 2012 Will be interesting to see what model ends up being right at the end of the month, the thing going for the GFS however is the seasonal trends which have been for a trough in the Gulf of Alaska which stays, and persistent Southwest flow across the Continental US, which has been the case all winter long. Furthermore the teleconnections albeit do get closer to 0 stay positive with respect to the AO/NAO/PNA also the MJO looks to stay in phases 6-7 which this time of year are typically warm phases of the MJO. So the Euro solution set has a lot going against it right now. Also we are starting to see the snow erode in Canada which will be a positive feedback to this early season warmth. Sure you can get cold without snow to the North but it is much easier when there is snow there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted March 17, 2012 Share Posted March 17, 2012 The 00z GFS is sick. Pretty much destroys the snow cover in Canada all the way to central Canada and even further into the arctic from the south. I know it is not set in stone but this would be a historic strech of warmth over North America. Snow cover would be completely destroyed. Once the snow cover is gone over the South Western Hudson Bay area. The Azimuth next week is in the 40 range. Which means a southerly flow with no snow cover would yield 60s maybe low 70s reaching the SW Bay. Pretty Crazy very late March and early April. The entire run has a 200-300M height anomaly over the Lakes. Incredible. I know I sound over zealous It's just something so rare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted March 17, 2012 Share Posted March 17, 2012 You can see the down sloping flow on the Euro. The cold air can't penetrate south against this pattern with no snow cover aid. The difference in abedo is massive. No help there. http://www.weatherof...sis/352_100.gif The Canadian in situ obs show some deep spots. But mostly 25-50CM snow depths. Those are going to keep getting hit with some heat and sun. The 00z Euro has backed off considerably with the cold shot. And has the West boiling as a ridge builds East quickly. Edit: It backdoors some cold into the lakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 17, 2012 Share Posted March 17, 2012 Foggy as hell right now out here at DTW, down to 1/4SM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted March 17, 2012 Share Posted March 17, 2012 I woke up for no apparent reason, and it looks like we're about to get a hail storm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted March 17, 2012 Share Posted March 17, 2012 Tropical downpour and tons of lightning, maybe some small hail too based on sleet like sounds on the window. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 17, 2012 Share Posted March 17, 2012 Tropical downpour and tons of lightning, maybe some small hail too based on sleet like sounds on the window. Hail > Mustang Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Rent Posted March 17, 2012 Share Posted March 17, 2012 Looked last night, all of my trees are budding finally. Didn't think it would take long. Going to give the front yard its first mow after work today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 17, 2012 Share Posted March 17, 2012 damn, LOT bumped up highs area wide to 83-85 the next few days, it's going to get crazy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 17, 2012 Share Posted March 17, 2012 damn, LOT bumped up highs area wide to 83-85 the next few days, it's going to get crazy Unreal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropical Posted March 17, 2012 Share Posted March 17, 2012 Point forecast for Chicago... wtf? Today: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 3pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 86. South wind between 10 and 15 mph. Tonight: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58. South wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph. Sunday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 86. South southwest wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 17, 2012 Share Posted March 17, 2012 So we're really getting an MCS rolling over the top of the ridge north of Lake Huron...in mid March? Somebody want to change this thread to July 2012 general obs/dicussion? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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