winterymix Posted March 24, 2012 Share Posted March 24, 2012 Still on track at DCA, but it may be closer than we thought a few days ago. Via the NWS, we beat it by 0.9, only by about 0.4 per my guess of the Euro temps off wunderground. My call for BWI for the month is an average of 54.2 That'll make it #2 behind 1945. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Still on track at DCA, but it may be closer than we thought a few days ago. Via the NWS, we beat it by 0.9, only by about 0.4 per my guess of the Euro temps off wunderground. One fly in the ointment is that it looks like we may have a couple of late-day lows this week. At least tomorrow. Today's Euro is neck and neck for the record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 One fly in the ointment is that it looks like we may have a couple of late-day lows this week. At least tomorrow. Today's Euro is neck and neck for the record. Some overnight 20's at or near the big cities will almost certainly push March 2012 into 2nd place at best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RodneyS Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Some overnight 20's at or near the big cities will almost certainlypush March 2012 into 2nd place at best. I don't think so. I just plugged in the current National Weather Service forecasts through the end of the month for DCA, and the March average still beats the all-time record set in 1945 by 0.5 degrees -- 56.7 vs. 56.2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Some overnight 20's at or near the big cities will almost certainly push March 2012 into 2nd place at best. DCA will not sniff the 20s. I don't think so. I just plugged in the current National Weather Service forecasts through the end of the month for DCA, and the March average still beats the all-time record set in 1945 by 0.5 degrees -- 56.7 vs. 56.2. That's what I got also. 56.9 GFS MOS only, 56.3 estimated Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 I don't think so. I just plugged in the current National Weather Service forecasts through the end of the month for DCA, and the March average still beats the all-time record set in 1945 by 0.5 degrees -- 56.7 vs. 56.2. Maybe so; I'm more fixated on BWI. DCA will not sniff the 20s. The SREF has the 2 meter 32 degree line slightly but definitely east of DCA at 9Z on Tuesday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 26, 2012 Share Posted March 26, 2012 We need 56.3 for the outright win NWS point and click and using the forecast graph gets us: 56.7 GFS MOS is worthless due to pre-midnight lows tonight and Thursday night GFS raw is generally worthless on surface temps period, but gives us a 2nd place 56.0 Euro interpolation based off of wunderground gives us a pencil thin 56.3 Go river temps! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted March 26, 2012 Share Posted March 26, 2012 We need 56.3 for the outright win NWS point and click and using the forecast graph gets us: 56.7 GFS MOS is worthless due to pre-midnight lows tonight and Thursday night GFS raw is generally worthless on surface temps period, but gives us a 2nd place 56.0 Euro interpolation based off of wunderground gives us a pencil thin 56.3 Go river temps! I'm calculating 56.69387096774194 for DCA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 Still hanging on. NWS, Euro, NAM are all records, GFS is the coolest and a tie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 28, 2012 Author Share Posted March 28, 2012 Still hanging on. NWS, Euro, NAM are all records, GFS is the coolest and a tie. If we can't win at heat, what do we have left to excel at?....It is our only chance not to be an abject failure at all things weather...I'm not a huge severe fan unless it hits MBY.....Give me a cutoff that deluges us or some sort of training related to a stationary front that dumps 0.5"+ for hours on end and I'll be happy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted March 28, 2012 Share Posted March 28, 2012 I think BWI is going to come in 2nd warmest, I think we could still theoretically beat 1945 but its going to be hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 29, 2012 Author Share Posted March 29, 2012 DCA is a lock..should finish around 57.1...impressive..beating a few recent April's with ease...March warmer than April? pretty sure it never has happened Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 DCA is a lock..should finish around 57.1...impressive..beating a few recent April's with ease...March warmer than April? pretty sure it never has happened Last night's frontal passage bump to 70 clinched it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 29, 2012 Share Posted March 29, 2012 The 1981-2010 April normal temperature in DC is 56.9. So, if the March projected temperature holds and we have a normal April, March 2012 would be warmer than April 2012. There is historical precedent for such an anomaly -- March 1907 was warmer than April 1907, the respective numbers being 48.8 and 48.4 DCA is a lock..should finish around 57.1...impressive..beating a few recent April's with ease...March warmer than April? pretty sure it never has happened Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 29, 2012 Author Share Posted March 29, 2012 thanks...I missed that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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