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March 12 Severe Weather Potential


Hoosier

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MIC073-122245-

/O.CON.KGRR.TO.W.0004.000000T0000Z-120312T2245Z/

ISABELLA MI-

619 PM EDT MON MAR 12 2012

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ISABELLA COUNTY UNTIL 645

PM EDT...

AT 617 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS

STORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES WEST OF MOUNT PLEASANT...MOVING NORTHEAST

AT 55 MPH. TRAINED SPOTTERS REPORTED ROTATION IN THIS STORM NEAR

BLANCHARD AROUND 605 PM. SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY!

This should pass just north of Mount Pleasant.

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I'm in extreme NW midland county next to Isabella county, if you guys don't here from me for a while you'll know why.... I hope all the tornado dreams I've had this year don't come true...

good luck and take cover if need be. Sucker is heading right toward ya

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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI

629 PM EDT MON MAR 12 2012

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN ISABELLA COUNTY UNTIL 645 PM EDT...

AT 625 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR ROSEBUSH...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH. TRAINED SPOTTERS HAVE REPORTED A WALL CLOUD IN THE MOUNT PLEASANT AREA. THIS STORM HAS STRONG ROTATION ON RADAR AND COULD PRODUCE A TORNADO AT ANY MOMENT.

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http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0250.html

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0250

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0529 PM CDT MON MAR 12 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...LOWER MICHIGAN

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 73...

VALID 122229Z - 130000Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 73 CONTINUES.

AN ADDITIONAL WW MAY BE NEEDED ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF SOUTHEASTERN

LOWER MICHIGAN WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO.

MOST SIGNIFICANT DISCRETE STORM DEVELOPMENT...INCLUDING SUPERCELLS

...NOW APPEARS UNDERWAY ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHWESTERN LOWER MICHIGAN.

THIS IS OCCURRING WITHIN AN AREA OF ENHANCED LOW-LEVEL WARM

ADVECTION...WHERE THE AXIS OF STRONGEST PRE-FRONTAL SURFACE HEATING

NOSES INTO THE AXIS OF BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE RETURN /WITH SURFACE

DEW POINTS RISING THROUGH THE LOWER/MID 50S. ONE OR TWO ADDITIONAL

SUPERCELLS COULD FORM IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS FORCING...AND RAPIDLY

SPREAD ACROSS CENTRAL INTO SOUTHEASTERN LOWER MICHIGAN DURING THE

NEXT FEW HOURS...WITHIN 45-50+ KT SOUTHWESTERLY DEEP LAYER MEAN

FLOW. RUC GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT THE 850 MB JET WILL CONTINUE TO

INTENSIFY IN EXCESS OF 50 KT THROUGH EARLY EVENING...CONTRIBUTING TO

FURTHER ENLARGEMENT OF ALREADY SIZABLE CLOCKWISE-CURVED LOW-LEVEL

HODOGRAPHS. AND IT APPEARS THAT TORNADIC POTENTIAL COULD PEAK

ACROSS THE LANSING...JACKSON AND FLINT AREAS BETWEEN NOW AND 00-01Z.

..KERR.. 03/12/2012

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hah and as soon as i posted big fizzle a secondary tiny cell formed and went over and gave insane intense rain my whole yard is flooded in 10mins lol

Good to hear you made it through! My backyard pond is overflowing from heavy rain earlier today.

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Things starting to fire up for SEMI

WUUS53 KIWX 122312

SVRIWX

MIC023-149-130000-

/O.NEW.KIWX.SV.W.0001.120312T2312Z-120313T0000Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA

712 PM EDT MON MAR 12 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...

NORTHEASTERN ST. JOSEPH COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN...

NORTHERN BRANCH COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN...

* UNTIL 800 PM EDT

* AT 710 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND

DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS SEVERE STORM WAS LOCATED

18 MILES WEST OF UNION CITY...OR 9 MILES NORTHEAST OF THREE

RIVERS...AND MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE...

UNION CITY...

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE

LEONIDAS...SHERWOOD...HODUNK AND GIRARD.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM EDT MONDAY EVENING

FOR NORTHERN INDIANA AND SOUTHERN MICHIGAN AND NORTHWEST OHIO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO

IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY

STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT

AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE

IN NORTHERN INDIANA.

&&

LAT...LON 4201 8483 4194 8558 4207 8556 4208 8552

4208 8484

TIME...MOT...LOC 2311Z 249DEG 43KT 4202 8547

WIND...HAIL 60MPH 1.00IN

$$

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WUUS53 KIWX 122312

SVRIWX

MIC023-149-130000-

/O.NEW.KIWX.SV.W.0001.120312T2312Z-120313T0000Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA

712 PM EDT MON MAR 12 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...

NORTHEASTERN ST. JOSEPH COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN...

NORTHERN BRANCH COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN...

* UNTIL 800 PM EDT

* AT 710 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND

DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS SEVERE STORM WAS LOCATED

18 MILES WEST OF UNION CITY...OR 9 MILES NORTHEAST OF THREE

RIVERS...AND MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE...

UNION CITY...

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE

LEONIDAS...SHERWOOD...HODUNK AND GIRARD.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM EDT MONDAY EVENING

FOR NORTHERN INDIANA AND SOUTHERN MICHIGAN AND NORTHWEST OHIO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO

IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY

STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT

AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE

IN NORTHERN INDIANA.

&&

LAT...LON 4201 8483 4194 8558 4207 8556 4208 8552

4208 8484

TIME...MOT...LOC 2311Z 249DEG 43KT 4202 8547

WIND...HAIL 60MPH 1.00IN

$$

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I dont see really anything from Ann Arbor to port huron line eastward. I could be wrong but looks to stay just west in the FNT area

Things look to be setting up linear-wise. Outflow boundary and storms congealing on latest radar trends. The cell south of kalamazoo is moving east, by the way.

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