ag3 Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 Yea but other years they can be in the 30s. It definitely helps some. Not saying it will be 70 at Long Beach in March with a south wind but it won't be as bad as it can be like in other years. Western LI sound is 41-44. Other years it would be 37-40 right now. Little difference to our weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 Torching into the mid 50's here already... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 Western LI sound is 41-44. Other years it would be 37-40 right now. Little difference to our weather. How can the sound be that cold? We were over +6 for all of February and same thing so far this March. I got Kings point at 48 and some places on the Jersey shore are pushing toward 50 already. The water temp at Sandy Hook is almost 10 degrees above normal!!! Craziness. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 Western LI sound is 41-44. Other years it would be 37-40 right now. Little difference to our weather. Yea but SOUTH of LI in the Atlantic the water temp is 45-50. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 Looks like an easy record high for LGA today as the record is only 63 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 NAM has cooled off with the temps today for whatever reason...looks like 68 for a high in NYC on the 12z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 its nowcasting time this is going to be the best March EVER! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 Yea but other years they can be in the 30s. It definitely helps some. Not saying it will be 70 at Long Beach in March with a south wind but it won't be as bad as it can be like in other years. Always a question also when the seabreeze front pushes through. Sometimes with a strong enough westerly flow we luck out and never get the seabreeze, but this time of year especially it almost always wins. If we hold it off until 1pm or so we can heat up to near where the city is, but if not we get stuck in the 40s or low 50s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 NAM has cooled off with the temps today for whatever reason...looks like 68 for a high in NYC on the 12z run. We'll have to see. DCA/PHL/NYC are all in the same spot right now at 56/53/55 respectively. If we're like 59/60 at the noon ob then 70 might still be in reach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 NAM has cooled off with the temps today for whatever reason...looks like 68 for a high in NYC on the 12z run. Soundings have around 65 for NYC today. Tomorrow still looks like the warmest day with temps in the mid 70's: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 We'll have to see. DCA/PHL/NYC are all in the same spot right now at 56/53/55 respectively. If we're like 59/60 at the noon ob then 70 might still be in reach. Definitely jumped a few degrees here the last hour...it's gotta be nearing 60 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 NAM has cooled off with the temps today for whatever reason...looks like 68 for a high in NYC on the 12z run. Sea breeze Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 Will 80F be reached this month? Looking more like mid 70s at their highest and then the ridge may start breaking down toward the end of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 Will 80F be reached this month? Looking more like mid 70s at their highest and then the ridge may start breaking down toward the end of the month. We have a chance before the pattern finally fades near the end of the 6-10 day ahead of the cold front. Newark made it to 80 last March ahead of a cold front. We would need the Euro ensembles and GFS ensembles to verify for it to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted March 12, 2012 Author Share Posted March 12, 2012 Up to 61 by me. Wind direction generally looks due south at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 But by the time this warm pattern breaks down wouldn't it be near April which we get warmer anyways? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted March 12, 2012 Author Share Posted March 12, 2012 But by the time this warm pattern breaks down wouldn't it be near April which we get warmer anyways? April isn't quite a lock for sustained warm weather.. we can still get killed by cut-off/ BDCF type patterns where we get persistent wind flow off the water. I'm usually not confident in sustained warmth until May comes around, but this winter has been a different animal, so all bets are off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jefflaw77 Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 Sadly, things can be ugly well into may... There have been plenty of Mid may days in the deary upper 50's with a cold wind off the water and foggy conditions. You really aren't safe until about late may.. Some years are better than others... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 The waters can also be slow to warm in most years, sometimes only in the low to mid 50s in early to mid June so those east winds are killer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 The waters can also be slow to warm in most years, sometimes only in the low to mid 50s in early to mid June so those east winds are killer. Agree-i've seen upper 50's to near 60 here as late as mid-June. Water proximity doesn't help in that regard...I'm going to enjoy this as long as it lasts....up to 64 here now. BDR is chillier, but they are right on the water. I'm 5 miles inland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted March 12, 2012 Author Share Posted March 12, 2012 I was looking back at my May temp data for the last 4 years or so. Last year was the first time in many years, where I didn't record a sub 60 high temp, however, most other years, I've got a handful of sub 60 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted March 12, 2012 Author Share Posted March 12, 2012 Upton is gonna have their hands full with temp forecasts later this week into the weekend. It is really tough to get a sense of what is going to happen w/respect to wind direction and cloud cover. Synoptically, there really isn't a good push in any particular direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 Upton is gonna have their hands full with temp forecasts later this week into the weekend. It is really tough to get a sense of what is going to happen w/respect to wind direction and cloud cover. Synoptically, there really isn't a good push in any particular direction. Going to be a bummer if the weekend turns out crappy....was looking foward to a nice beautiful st pattys day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 Thursday/Friday are clearly backdoored on the gfs and could be significantly cooler than Tuesday and Wednesday but we'll see how things trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LocoAko Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 Up to 67F here in New Brunswick. The temperature is increasing linearly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 61 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 Today/tomorrow still look like the warmest day of the week to me, with the next surge of big warmth probably waiting until Sunday or early next week. Wednesday's a beautiful day before the backdoor cold front comes through, and MOS is likely overdone right now for highs Thurs-Sat. 50s is a safe bet for most Thurs-Sat, though I fully expect the NJ shore and coastal areas NYC east to be struggling into the low 50s Thurs-Sat, maybe even 45-50 for some. Definitely looks like a fairly strong backdoor with sfc high pressure building and holding to the northeast of New England. Weekend, especially Saturday, doesn't look pretty either for PHL northeast. No doubt the most consistent sig pos departures will be in the OH valley/Mid-west w/ this pattern, but I still think 80F+ is possible early next week as the ridge reaches its climax. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 Today/tomorrow still look like the warmest day of the week to me, with the next surge of big warmth probably waiting until Sunday or early next week. Wednesday's a beautiful day before the backdoor cold front comes through, and MOS is likely overdone right now for highs Thurs-Sat. 50s is a safe bet for most Thurs-Sat, though I fully expect the NJ shore and coastal areas NYC east to be struggling into the low 50s Thurs-Sat, maybe even 45-50 for some. Definitely looks like a fairly strong backdoor with sfc high pressure building and holding to the northeast of New England. Weekend, especially Saturday, doesn't look pretty either for PHL northeast. No doubt the most consistent sig pos departures will be in the OH valley/Mid-west w/ this pattern, but I still think 80F+ is possible early next week as the ridge reaches its climax. Saturday should be chilly, probably with rain at times, and highs only around 50. However, beyond that, the BIG torch comes the first half of next week. I still think there are a few days that could get into the mid and (maybe even perhaps) a few upper 80s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 Saturday should be chilly, probably with rain at times, and highs only around 50. However, beyond that, the BIG torch comes the first half of next week. I still think there are a few days that could get into the mid and (maybe even perhaps) a few upper 80s. So much for a nice st pattys day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 So much for a nice st pattys day Anybody who can read a mdoel should have known for the last 3-4 days that it looked like an ugly St Patty's Day in the midst of a nice pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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