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March 31st - Potential Wintry Precip (formerly the March Torch Thread)

tornadojay

By tornadojay,
in New York City Metro

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Sundog

Sundog

Posted
Posted

Really? And the Aqueduct and Yonkers slot parlors are "classy?" AC has come a long way, and it's trying to rebrand itself as the storied destination it used to be. It does have a bit of the feel of NY in the 70s, yes--but there are many outposts of famous New York restaurants, luxury hotels , and even the old neighborhoods have some great spots like Tony's Baltimore Grill, Docks Oyster House, Knife and Fork Inn, Mancuso's Fairmount Tavern and Angeloni's II.

Never said those places we're classy. We need a nice place like a Foxwoods or something.

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weathermedic

weathermedic

Posted
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How are the relative humidities so low with an easterly wind and Teterboro is reporting drizzle with a RH of 21%?

CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS

CENTRAL PARK CLOUDY 59 22 24 SE7G18 30.05F

LAGUARDIA APRT CLOUDY 59 16 18 E18 30.03F

KENNEDY INTL CLOUDY 56 24 29 E20G26 30.04F

NEWARK/LIBERTY CLOUDY 57 21 24 E12 30.03F

TETERBORO APRT DRIZZLE 60 20 21 SE13 30.02F

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Isotherm

Isotherm

Posted
Posted

Tim,

Took some shots around Monmouth County today, basically confirms what you're saying. Predominately bare, red maple buds out, fruit trees in bloom - bradford pears, magnolias, cherry blossoms. Only species with leaves is the crabapple.

28u08hv.jpg

33o3y38.jpg

c6ni9.jpg

2qal73q.jpg

Still a solid 3 weeks ahead of schedule, but no big leaf out for east central NJ. Significant difference from SE PA, where they're about 4-5 weeks ahead of schedule, with forest trees starting to leaf out.

For Monmouth I'd say it looks like about the middle of April. Grass is already long and needs a 1st cut.

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Isotherm

Isotherm

Posted
Posted

On my drive home from PA yesterday, I noticed the major dividing line was around eastern Mercer county (hightstown) particularly once into Manalapan (western Monmouth) and Freehold. The amount of heavily budded large trees really dropped off east of I-95.

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TheTrials

TheTrials

Posted
Posted

Tim,

Took some shots around Monmouth County today, basically confirms what you're saying. Predominately bare, red maple buds out, fruit trees in bloom - bradford pears, magnolias, cherry blossoms. Only species with leaves is the crabapple.

28u08hv.jpg

33o3y38.jpg

c6ni9.jpg

2qal73q.jpg

Still a solid 3 weeks ahead of schedule, but no big leaf out for east central NJ. Significant difference from SE PA, where they're about 4-5 weeks ahead of schedule, with forest trees starting to leaf out.

For Monmouth I'd say it looks like about the middle of April. Grass is already long and needs a 1st cut.

im well beyond that. Not sure how you are so far behind living 200 miles south of me

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Allsnow

Allsnow

Posted
Posted

im well beyond that. Not sure how you are so far behind living 200 miles south of me

Take a picture please....or its just as good as ur wild fires taking over long island thread a few years ago....

Great shots tom...thank you for the pictures...nothing more then a early spring here....tree wise that is...

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nzucker

nzucker

Posted
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NAM temps for Tuesday morning.

Into the 20's for the city:

NYC looks to be around -10C 850s on Tuesday 0z, according to the 18z GFS. That should be enough for them to get below freezing...NWS has 32F in Central Park and 29F here. It's almost certain that the outlying suburbs will record a hard freeze, which may damage some of the ornamental species, but it looks to be close for the City itself, not enough for widespread harm to the early vegetation.

Except not. In case you haven't noticed, we are entering the warm season. Avg high going in to April 1 in NYC is 56F. With basically no snow within 500+ miles of NYC, any cold air that reaches us will be moderated significantly.

Winter is over. Deal.

Pazzo is upset because he's risking busting again on NYC's last freeze. He told us after the freeze on 3/10 that KNYC would not see another night at 32F or lower. With -10 to -12C 850s coming in, it is quite probable that the Park scrapes the freezing mark. Pazzo showed this same bias towards overestimating warm spells against climatology last year...he said that NYC wouldn't drop significantly below freezing after March 8th because Mar 2011 also had a mid-month warm spell. (The Park hit 77F on the 3/18/11). However, here were the dailies once the -NAO block came roaring back:

3/24: 44/30

3:25: 42/28

3/26: 40/26

3/27: 45/28

3/28: 45/26

3/29: 49/31

6 straight nights below freezing after the growing season had been declared started by Pazzo. Are we heading down the same road?

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bluewave

bluewave

Posted
Posted

My guess is that the closer to normal temperatures for early April will last as long as the EPO stays negative.

It's amazing how the +EPO has stayed locked in. So it's no surprise that it's finally taking a breather but for

how long?

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psv88

psv88

Posted
Posted

My guess is that the closer to normal temperatures for early April will last as long as the EPO stays negative.

It's amazing how the +EPO has stayed locked in. So it's no surprise that it's finally taking a breather but for

how long?

we all knew this would happen, warmth early, then cold and dreary for spring...2012 FTL

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