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March 31st - Potential Wintry Precip (formerly the March Torch Thread)

tornadojay

By tornadojay,
in New York City Metro

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NYCSuburbs

NYCSuburbs

Posted
Posted

12z Euro ensembles (like the OP), showing 12C -14C 850mb temps on Thursday. If that's right, anyone with sunshine and winds off the land, will likely see 80s.

post-187-0-65175300-1332112431.gif

Parts of New England got to 80 degrees or very close to that with similar conditions. The amount of sunshine and the timing of the BDCF, which the 18z GFS tries to bring through faster, will determine just how warm it gets, but as you mentioned, these conditions could easily result in 80s.

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nzucker

nzucker

Posted
Posted

Parts of New England got to 80 degrees or very close to that with similar conditions. The amount of sunshine and the timing of the BDCF, which the 18z GFS tries to bring through faster, will determine just how warm it gets, but as you mentioned, these conditions could easily result in 80s.

Concord NH hit 81F today...it's definitely possible for EWR and NYC to get into the 80s Thursday as the flow turns more westerly. With dry ground and 850s in the 12-14C range, it should be toasty ahead of the front.

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IsentropicLift

IsentropicLift

Posted
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shafted for us folks that live on the coast. inland nyc on west may get to 80-85 we may struggle to get to 70. ugh frustrating lol

Move to the Jersey shore and get the best of both worlds. You get the beautiful scenery and you don't have to worry about the stupid marine layer for the most part.

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SnoSki14

SnoSki14

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I think EWR will be +12 by the weekend. Even if they are normal for the remainder of the month thereafter its going to be +8 or +9

I read a post on here how the probability of a +10 this month is very nil but we may get very close and some places further west might hit it for the month.

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IsentropicLift

IsentropicLift

Posted
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My grandma lives on the water in Warwick RI ifs beautiful and usually warm to

I love Rhode Island, Newport is beautiful. The only problem is that the beaches are rocky in a lot of spots and not the greatest for swimming. The water temperature also never usually gets above the mid-upper 60's.

The problem I have with NY is that its so dam expensive. My sister goes to St. John's law and she is living in Queens. We went out to go visit her last night and I saw gas was $4.01 for regular and that was the cash price. Out here gas is in the $3.55-$3.65 range right now. Down at the shore its about 10-15 cents cheaper than that.

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ag3

ag3

Posted
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I love Rhode Island, Newport is beautiful. The only problem is that the beaches are rocky in a lot of spots and not the greatest for swimming. The water temperature also never usually gets above the mid-upper 60's.

The problem I have with NY is that its so dam expensive. My sister goes to St. John's law and she is living in Queens. We went out to go visit her last night and I saw gas was $4.01 for regular and that was the cash price. Out here gas is in the $3.55-$3.65 range right now. Down at the shore its about 10-15 cents cheaper than that.

Jersey makes up for it with the tolls. I'd rather have higher gas taxes then all the tolls. Imagine the LIE with tolls every 20 miles. Ouch.

P.S. The north shore of LI from Great Neck to Orient Point is one of the most beautiful areas on the east coast. Lots of hills, bluffs and tree filled areas. Beaches are great as well. Especially from Huntington to Orient Point.

The scenery is breath-taking along the immediate shore lines from Roslyn to Brookville to Huntington to Port Jefferson and east.

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bluewave

bluewave

Posted
Posted

I think EWR will be +12 by the weekend. Even if they are normal for the remainder of the month thereafter its going to be +8 or +9

This is going to be a high level positive departure month here.

The highest modern departures for NYC were:

January 1990...+9.3

January 2006.. +8.8

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