March 31st - Potential Wintry Precip (formerly the March Torch Thread)

[Snowlover76]

Last week was the same I was at my grandparents in babylon village it was cold ESP since its on the water

Yea, the cold ocean really has an impact on us.

i have only had one days above 60 so far this year, and that was yesterday where I hit 61 degrees.

[Weathergun]

Temps still rising away from the shore, as of 5pm. 73 at Central Park, 74 at LGA, and 75 at Newark. Trenton is at 78.

[uofmiami]

Yea, the cold ocean really has an impact on us.

i have only had one days above 60 so far this year, and that was yesterday where I hit 61 degrees.

Move to the N Shore! Hit 68.8 today & 68.9 yesterday. Not bad at all, sure it was warmer here in Great Neck. Hope you guys on the S Shore get a nice NW breeze during this warm spell.

[patrick05]

Here's the obs thread! Overcast, fog, and 50s... Yuck

[Snowlover76]

55.6 degrees now.

[Snowlover76]

Move to the N Shore! Hit 68.8 today & 68.9 yesterday. Not bad at all, sure it was warmer here in Great Neck. Hope you guys on the S Shore get a nice NW breeze during this warm spell.

I think that tommorow will be the warmest day of this entire ten day torch from hell.

I'm expecting 64 tommorow.

[nycsnow]

It's so dry another damn brush fire in staten island and it rained last night

[CooL]

Yesterday and Sunday were nice but today's too hot too soon in my opinion. 76 degrees here in Villanova and feeling like summer. Shouldn't be breaking a sweat in mid March; this is disgusting. 55-70 is perfect but 75-80 is ridiculous for this time of year.

Pretend that it's early May

How some of you guys can complain about mid 70's in March after an abysmal winter is beyond me. I remember last year around this time it was a struggle to get a nice warm day with no clouds and precip in the way.

[Snowlover76]

It's so dry another damn brush fire in staten island and it rained last night

I have a feeling that this is going to be a bad year for brush fires(especially in CT where they still have debris from irene and the October snowstorm all over the forest)

[Snowlover76]

Pretend that it's early May

How some of you guys can complain about mid 70's in March after an abysmal winter is beyond me. I remember last year around this time it was a struggle to get a nice warm day with no clouds and precip in the way.

Because we love winter Wx.

I absolutly hate this weather so early in the year.

[nycsnow]

I have a feeling that this is going to be a bad year for brush fires(especially in CT where they still have debris from irene and the October snowstorm all over the forest)

Agree not good, already about 5 brush fires past 2 weeks I believe. Queens and staten island get a Lot and sometimes the creek by me in Brooklyn

[Snowlover76]

Agree not good, already about 5 brush fires past 2 weeks I believe. Queens and staten island get a Lot and sometimes the creek by me in Brooklyn

I think that about 10 or 15 years ago around july 4th weekend there was a huge forest fire out in the Pine Barrins. It burned a pretty large area.

[NYCSuburbs]

For what it's worth (which isn't much), the 18z DGEX brings the warmth through with 80+ degrees next Wednesday. The location of the ridge is far from ideal, however, and it allows another cold front to quickly come through afterwards. The 18z GFS though looks like a big improvement in terms of warmth, with no additional BDCFs coming through, and with the high pressure further south it looks like a blowtorch (75-85 degrees) for next Monday-Wednesday. It's still far from a lock until the models get a better handle on the pattern next week, but as long as there's not another back door cold front, with a favorable ridge location parts of the area could easily reach 80 degrees with such a strong ridge and warm air mass.

18z DGEX at hour 192 FWIW:

[nycsnow]

I think that about 10 or 15 years ago around july 4th weekend there was a huge forest fire out in the Pine Barrins. It burned a pretty large area.

I was young then don't remember lol, I know my friend in staten island always has fires near his house he said its scary esp at night. He also said they catch a lot of the kids cause they are young and dumb

[Snowlover76]

For what it's worth (which isn't much), the 18z DGEX brings the warmth through with 80+ degrees next Wednesday. The location of the ridge is far from ideal, however, and it allows another cold front to quickly come through afterwards. The 18z GFS though looks like a big improvement in terms of warmth, with no additional BDCFs coming through, and with the high pressure further south it looks like a blowtorch (75-85 degrees) for next Monday-Wednesday. It's still far from a lock until the models get a better handle on the pattern next week, but as long as there's not another back door cold front, with a favorable ridge location parts of the area could easily reach 80 degrees with such a strong ridge and warm air mass.

18z DGEX at hour 192 FWIW:

PLEASE SHOOT ME.

I really hope this has some severe weather with it.

[Snowlover76]

I was young then don't remember lol, I know my friend in staten island always has fires near his house he said its scary esp at night. He also said they catch a lot of the kids cause they are young and dumb

It happened in 1995. And it torched almost 10,000 acres if I am correct.

[nycsnow]

It happened in 1995. And it torched almost 10,000 acres if I am correct.

Wow, hope it don't get that dry here

[Mitchel Volk]

It looks like NYC may see record temperatures highs in the 80's from Tuesday - Friday next week. After a mild winter it looks like March will be more like May/June for next week or so. I am think NYC may see another record warm month making it two in a row. This may lead to a very humid summer since water temperatures will continue to be above normal from the Gulf and the Atlantic.

[doncat]

Yesterday and Sunday were nice but today's too hot too soon in my opinion. 76 degrees here in Villanova and feeling like summer. Shouldn't be breaking a sweat in mid March; this is disgusting. 55-70 is perfect but 75-80 is ridiculous for this time of year.

Yes thank you isotherm. There is plenty of time to enjoy the warmth but not this early... just heard a friggen ice dream truck.

[Allsnow]

70 degrees at 815pm in march...unbelievable....torch

[Snowlover76]

Down to 52.3 degrees.

I should get down to the middle 40's tonight.

[Snowlover76]

It looks like NYC may see record temperatures highs in the 80's from Tuesday - Friday next week. After a mild winter it looks like March will be more like May/June for next week or so. I am think NYC may see another record warm month making it two in a row. This may lead to a very humid summer since water temperatures will continue to be above normal from the Gulf and the Atlantic.

I think that KNYC will be 11.3 degrees ABOVE normal for the month of March.

[Snowlover76]

I cannot remember the last time where I saw temperatures this warm for this long of a period of time in March.

This is from my NWS "point and click" forecast:

Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 48. West wind between 6 and 9 mph.

Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 65. Northwest wind between 7 and 13 mph.

Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 43. North wind between 3 and 8 mph.

Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 55. Calm wind becoming southeast between 5 and 8 mph.

Thursday Night: Scattered showers, mainly after midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46. Southeast wind between 6 and 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Friday: Scattered showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 57. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Friday Night: Scattered showers before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Saturday: Partly sunny, with a high near 60.

Saturday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 42.

Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 61.

Sunday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 43.

Monday: Partly sunny, with a high near 62.

Monday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 46.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 67.

[scooter13]

Yesterday and Sunday were nice but today's too hot too soon in my opinion. 76 degrees here in Villanova and feeling like summer. Shouldn't be breaking a sweat in mid March; this is disgusting. 55-70 is perfect but 75-80 is ridiculous for this time of year.

Yea but its a heck of a lot better than being in the 40s like last year.

[Isotherm]

Yes thank you isotherm. There is plenty of time to enjoy the warmth but not this early... just heard a friggen ice dream truck.

Ice cream truck? I think I'm gonna be sick. There's a time and place for you, ice cream truck, and that's in the summer, when we should have summer weather. As I've said before, I like the Northeast weather b/c we have 4 distinct seasons. If I wanted 80 degree temps in March I'd move to somewhere in the tropics, like DC.

[Snowlover76]

Yea but its a heck of a lot better than being in the 40s like last year.

I want the highs too be in the 20's and 30's with a strong NW wind at 30MPH.

[nzucker]

Ice cream truck? I think I'm gonna be sick. There's a time and place for you, ice cream truck, and that's in the summer, when we should have summer weather. As I've said before, I like the Northeast weather b/c we have 4 distinct seasons. If I wanted 80 degree temps in March I'd move to somewhere in the tropics, like DC.

I just interviewed for a job in DC...it was full-on spring down there with magnolias and cherries in bloom, green grass, temperatures in the 60s. Would be hellish in the winter but a good job opportunity.

[Snowlover76]

Ice cream truck? I think I'm gonna be sick. There's a time and place for you, ice cream truck, and that's in the summer, when we should have summer weather. As I've said before, I like the Northeast weather b/c we have 4 distinct seasons. If I wanted 80 degree temps in March I'd move to somewhere in the tropics, like DC.

Agree 110 per cent!!!

[Isotherm]

If the 18z GFS is correct, after the late week/weekend backdoor, we're in for a 2-3 day stretch of temps in the 75-85 degree range next week. Warmest March could be a possibility, will be difficult though.

[nzucker]

If the 18z GFS is correct, after the late week/weekend backdoor, we're in for a 2-3 day stretch of temps in the 75-85 degree range next week. Warmest March could be a possibility, will be difficult though.

18z GFS was an absolute torch...10C 850s clear Maine and extend to James Bay middle of next week...it didn't show much of a cooldown in the long-range either.