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More Snow? Choose sides


ski MRG

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That is a funky map for 1982's pre-Easter event

It was so cold that a CF set up over 128 like we normally see in the winter....like 20F west of it and 28F east of it for a time. That's why Ray's area got like 20"...the best larger scale banding was further west.

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It was so cold that a CF set up over 128 like we normally see in the winter....like 20F west of it and 28F east of it for a time. That's why Ray's area got like 20"...the best larger scale banding was further west.

Interesting scattering of jackpots. One up by Portsmouth, S ME, then out west

I don't remember that event at all...8th grade...hm

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Interesting scattering of jackpots. One up by Portsmouth, S ME, then out west

I don't remember that event at all...8th grade...hm

Well a lot of the "jackpots" aren't these concentric bullseyes with way more snow than a few miles...a lot of those dots are the differences between like 18.5" and 16" so the >18" gets a different color. It was a widespread 12-20" event for most of the region...a few spots got slightly luckier than others.

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That thing was a beast right to the Cape. I wish I remembered that.

My step father and mom were getting married around that time when we still lived in Kalamazoo Mi, and my aunt and uncle were stranded at Logan; we had to post-pone the wedding a week.

I remember that storm too

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LOL, look at this MJO wave too.

http://www.cpc.ncep....clivar_wh.shtml

If you read the weekly PDF addresses on the ENSO state, the Nina has been rapidly weakening in the 3.4 region. That is not nearly as deconstructive for 7-8-1 wave spacing as the prior. It's interesting to see these large scale sea-air coupled teleconnectors change so fast. Hard to say, but it is suspiciously coincident that we see exotically powerful Phase 8 suddenly appearing in the runs.

That also then begs the assertion that this time there is a much better probability of actually seeing a pattern correlation with the Phase 8.

Great, snowiest April in history :axe:

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If you read the weekly PDF addresses on the ENSO state, the Nina has been rapidly weakening in the 3.4 region. That is not nearly as deconstructive for 7-8-1 wave spacing as the prior. It's interesting to see these large scale sea-air coupled teleconnectors change so fast. Hard to say, but it is suspiciously coincident that we see exotically powerful Phase 8 suddenly appearing in the runs.

That also then begs the assertion that this time there is a much better probability of actually seeing a pattern correlation with the Phase 8.

Great, snowiest April in history :axe:

LOL, well I don't know about that, but this could be the wave the finally stomps on Nina's throat. It'll be interesting to see how things respond after this wave.

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Based on the latest observations and forecast models, the MJO is forecast to remain active and impact the Western Hemisphere over the next 1-2 weeks.

The MJO is forecast to contribute to enhanced convection across parts of the Pacific and the Americas during the period. Suppressed convection remains favored for much of the Indian Ocean and Maritime Continent during the period.

Upcoming phases of the MJO favor and are consistent with an increase in chances of colder air entering the central and eastern continental U.S. beginning during the Week-2 period. MJO composites favor below-normal temperatures for parts of the central and southeast U.S. and above-average precipitation for parts of the southeast U.S. beginning in Week-2.

again...with the weaking negative ENSO now notable in the 4-3.0 regions of the ONI domain spaces, those are no longer as deconstructive on the MJO ... The warming SSTs will assist convection in the 7-8-1 translation.

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EC ensembles have the weekend deal as well. A little SE of the op, but not bad looking.

Prob like 3-5"

Wow, thats a pretty decent signal for 5 days out. Its not like were 8 days out anymore...we'll have to watch that one.

Meanwhile Howdy Doody says everything is shunted waaaay south this weekend and has sunny and upper 50's in the forecast for Sunday. Unreal

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Meanwhile Howdy Doody says everything is shunted waaaay south this weekend and has sunny and upper 50's in the forecast for Sunday. Unreal

Well there isn't really a reason to throw aggressive forecasts out there to be honest. Also, with the time change, NWS can't incorporate the euro too much for the evening package, iirc.

But for now, it continues to be something to watch.

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Well there isn't really a reason to throw aggressive forecasts out there to be honest. Also, with the time change, NWS can't incorporate the euro too much for the evening package, iirc.

But for now, it continues to be something to watch.

Well I understand that..but he certainly saw the Euro because he mentioned it. At least throw a partly cloudy and low - mid 40's in there for your forecast which is much easier to morph into snow than 58 and sunny. The general public will read that and have no clue there is a shot at accumulating snow this weekend. This is exactly what leads to people saying "where did this come from"

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if you click the little info button, you can get the actual point data for each coop and reporting station etc.

and if you go into controls, you can break down month by month, day ranges, seasonal totals, storm events etc.

unbelievable.

Thanks Phil now another reason to get crap from the wife for spending excessive time geeking out, that bookmarks probably days and days of clicking, awesome.

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Well I understand that..but he certainly saw the Euro because he mentioned it. At least throw a partly cloudy and low - mid 40's in there for your forecast which is much easier to morph into snow than 58 and sunny. The general public will read that and have no clue there is a shot at accumulating snow this weekend. This is exactly what leads to people saying "where did this come from"

We'll probably see blizzard watches posted in the overnight package.

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Well I understand that..but he certainly saw the Euro because he mentioned it. At least throw a partly cloudy and low - mid 40's in there for your forecast which is much easier to morph into snow than 58 and sunny. The general public will read that and have no clue there is a shot at accumulating snow this weekend. This is exactly what leads to people saying "where did this come from"

Yeah I agree with this...maybe even upper 40s with a chance of showers. You can easily change 48F and showers into 59F and sunny or even 34F and snow. But changing 58F and sunny to 34F and snow is a little bit extreme. I mean...if I looked at this I would think it looks like a typical early April weekend...50s to 60F and sun.

Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 56.

Saturday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 33.

Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 58.

Sunday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 39.

Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 59.

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