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More Snow? Choose sides


ski MRG

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Welp, we knew it was coming. The inevitability was written in the probability science of the thing. "There is no way we are going to sustain +30 departures from now until the end of April", was the prophetic gesture, which by common sense, the omonic value was preceded by the duh factor.

Still, 7 to 10 days of absurd warmth in March is an irresistable drug; and, like all drugs, when you come down off the high ...eh, so so great.

For me, I'd rather the weather not cast any dilusions at me. I don't want the forces that be to lie to me. I'd rather they just behave in their misery until May 1st, then bust out and become 84F highs with distant thunder in crispy towering cumulus clouds, with the smell of lilacs, and girls that actually enjoy talking to boys...

When it gets gorgeous prematurely for a week in late March, it just puts holes in one's armor to face the reality of circa April 7. It is upon me again. Those who know me on this blogging know of one immutable truth:

I HATE APRIL!

One way or the other this next 30 days is going to suck worse than any other month of the calendar year. I just have to say it over and over again, so that if the 1 in a billion chance that April was not out to suck at least excuse imaginable, were to actually transpire, and the weather turns nice, I will be full of suprise.

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I don't know if this is worth it's own thread but I feel it worth mentioning that the 48-72 hour translating open S/W, lugging a some milder air along it's underbelly, is toting along some interesting jet mechanics. Remember, when kinematics are strong, this can offset straight up CAPE definciencies. Although MU lapse rates need to be good, which they are for this wave.

Super cell rolls down the Mohawk Trail 24 hours after the Michigan teleconnector played out (30 minute long track Tor west of Detroit), and brought 100 mile long hail streak. I had 1.00" diameter hail falling heavy enough to coat the ground in that one up at my place.

Anyway, wondering if there might be a sneak thunderstorm chance with that wave.

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Welp, we knew it was coming. The inevitability was written in the probability science of the thing. "There is no way we are going to sustain +30 departures from now until the end of April", was the prophetic gesture, which by common sense, the omonic value was preceded by the duh factor.

Still, 7 to 10 days of absurd warmth in March is an irresistable drug; and, like all drugs, when you come down off the high ...eh, so so great.

For me, I'd rather the weather not cast any dilusions at me. I don't want the forces that be to lie to me. I'd rather they just behave in their misery until May 1st, then bust out and become 84F highs with distant thunder in crispy towering cumulus clouds, with the smell of lilacs, and girls that actually enjoy talking to boys...

When it gets gorgeous prematurely for a week in late March, it just puts holes in one's armor to face the reality of circa April 7. It is upon me again. Those who know me on this blogging know of one immutable truth:

I HATE APRIL!

One way or the other this next 30 days is going to suck worse than any other month of the calendar year. I just have to say it over and over again, so that if the 1 in a billion chance that April was not out to suck at least excuse imaginable, were to actually transpire, and the weather turns nice, I will be full of suprise.

You would never, ever make it as a life coach. Very depressing.

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Yeah, seriously. That's a huge signal for a pretty widespread severe threat from the Plains to the MS River Valley. It's pretty cool to see the simultaneous amplification of three waves across the Pacific into western North America. Strong global support for this trough it appears

It's interesting how unlike the GFS this 12z Euro run is...

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Did a story today about freeze concerns and the farmers I spoke with in CT say they're about as concerned as they've ever been about tonight's freeze potential.

They say most of the fruit trees are a full month ahead of schedule... which is by far the earliest they ever remember.

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Did a story today about freeze concerns and the farmers I spoke with in CT say they're about as concerned as they've ever been about tonight's freeze potential.

They say most of the fruit trees are a full month ahead of schedule... which is by far the earliest they ever remember.

But we get frosts in late April too.

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But we get frosts in late April too.

Between 4/20 and 4/30 (approx where we are for on growing calendar for fruit trees) the lowest record low at BDL is 25 and highest is 31. 4 hours plus of <25 is what the concern is... plus the typical tricks like spraying or using big fans on a radiational cooling night won't work tonight.

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Between 4/20 and 4/30 (approx where we are for on growing calendar for fruit trees) the lowest record low at BDL is 25 and highest is 31. 4 hours plus of <25 is what the concern is... plus the typical tricks like spraying or using big fans on a radiational cooling night won't work tonight.

Any specific types of crops in danger?(apples I assume - start buying applejuice before it is $10 per gallon!)

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Any specific types of crops in danger?(apples I assume - start buying applejuice before it is $10 per gallon!)

peaches, plums, and apples. Pears to a lesser degree.

Peach and plum trees are in full bloom... apples have fully budded but are a couple days away from blooming. I was surprised... I thought we were ahead of schedule but not so far ahead that we'd have problems.

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