ORH_wxman Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 didn't the day 8 euro show a big storm at some point this weekend? Yeah I think it did for one run...but I think it was more D9-10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 I enjoy his troll posts almost as much as yours. Problem is that Forky makes one a day here. SnowNH makes 5 a day. It's hardly fair Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted March 25, 2012 Author Share Posted March 25, 2012 I enjoy his troll posts almost as much as yours. SnowNH is more palatable because at least he's a New Englander. Forky is more of a Jersey shore type. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Euro ensembles have a very robust signal for the Apr 2 system considering its 8 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Euro ensembles have a very robust signal for the Apr 2 system considering its 8 days out. AMRGT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Euro ensembles have a very robust signal for the Apr 2 system considering its 8 days out. Did the gefs have it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Did the gefs have it? Not nearly to the extent as the Euro ensembles....the GEFS have more of a strung out sfc reflection in the mean to our SE extending back from a low way up in New Foundland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Wow that is a nice signal on the ensembles..lol. Thursday event looks like it still could get areas north of CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Lovely weather tomorrow... back to reality. Maybe a skiff of snow tonight followed by wind chills below zero with temperatures holding in the teens all day tomorrow on the mountain. Tonight: Rain showers likely before 1am, then a chance of rain and snow showers between 1am and 3am, then a chance of snow showers after 3am. Cloudy, with a low around 12. Breezy, with a west wind between 16 and 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of around an inch possible. Monday: A chance of snow showers, mainly before 9am. Partly sunny, with a temperature falling to around 10 by 4pm. Wind chill values as low as -10. Blustery, with a northwest wind between 21 and 23 mph, with gusts as high as 33 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 First possible snow in the mountains in quite some time... although its very light, I'd love to get to the mountain at 5am tomorrow to the sight of flakes flying. FEEL THE COMBINATION OF DEVELOPING NW FLW OF 25 TO 35 KNTS...LLVL CAA HELPING TO SQUEEZE OUT ADDITIONAL MOISTURE...AND SOME 1000 TO 700MB RH/OMEGA....WL PRODUCE A PERIOD OF SCATTERED RAIN CHANGING TO SNOW SHOWERS TONIGHT. WL MENTION LOW CHC POPS VALLEYS WITH LIKELY POPS ACRS THE DACKS/MTNS...WITH SOME LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE. BTV4 AND NAM12 SHOW QPF AMOUNTS BTWN 0.05 AND 0.15 ACRS THE HIGHER TRRN...WITH ONLY A FEW HUNDREDTHS IN THE VALLEYS. THINKING A DUSTING TO AN INCH OR SO WL BE POSSIBLE ABOVE 1500FT BY MONDAY MORNING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Staying in the 30s on Tuesday for some areas? Temp has been constant at 45F all day here with a few light showers. Reality is back, but it still looks like late April out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Sounds like a rainer..Bet is safe till the possible April 2 1997 redux THINKING IS THAT THE PRECIP WILL BE WIDELY SCATTERED ACROSS THE AREA. TEMPS WILL RANGE NEAR AVERAGE FOR BOTH DAYS. PTYPE WILL REMAIN MOSTLY RAIN AS THE ECMWF THERMAL PROFILE IS MORE IN LINE WITH THE GFS NOW. HAVE LOW CONFIDENCE THAT A FEW FLAKES MAY FALL YET BELIEVE THE BETTER CHANCE WILL BE ACROSS THE NORTHERN ZONES AND HIGHER ALTITUDE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Staying in the 30s on Tuesday for some areas? Temp has been constant at 45F all day here with a few light showers. Reality is back, but it still looks like late April out there. AWTBOX still not too impressedWEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY...MODERATE/HIGH CONFIDENCEUPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE OUT OF THE GREAT LAKES BRINGING THENEXT BATCH OF PRECIP TO THE AREA. STRONG WAA ON WED AHEAD OF THESYSTEM WILL BRING IN CLOUDS AND INCREASING TEMPS/MOISTURE TO THEREGION. TEMPS SHOULD REGULATE BACK TO AVERAGE WITH 850MB TEMPSAROUND 7-8C. HAVE HIGH CONFIDENCE THAT SHOWERY CONDITIONS WILLPREVAIL DURING THIS TIME FRAME BUT LOW CONFIDENCE ON THE EXACTTIMING AS THERE IS STILL SOME MODEL DISCREPANCY. BELIEVE THAT PRECIPWILL BE OUT OF THE AREA BY THURSDAY NIGHT. WITH A LIMITED AMOUNT OFLIFT...THINKING IS THAT THE PRECIP WILL BE WIDELY SCATTERED ACROSSTHE AREA. TEMPS WILL RANGE NEAR AVERAGE FOR BOTH DAYS. PTYPE WILLREMAIN MOSTLY RAIN AS THE ECMWF THERMAL PROFILE IS MORE IN LINE WITHTHE GFS NOW. HAVE LOW CONFIDENCE THAT A FEW FLAKES MAY FALL YETBELIEVE THE BETTER CHANCE WILL BE ACROSS THE NORTHERN ZONES ANDHIGHER ALTITUDE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Sounds like a rainer..Bet is safe till the possible April 2 1997 redux THINKING IS THAT THE PRECIP WILL BE WIDELY SCATTERED ACROSS THE AREA. TEMPS WILL RANGE NEAR AVERAGE FOR BOTH DAYS. PTYPE WILL REMAIN MOSTLY RAIN AS THE ECMWF THERMAL PROFILE IS MORE IN LINE WITH THE GFS NOW. HAVE LOW CONFIDENCE THAT A FEW FLAKES MAY FALL YET BELIEVE THE BETTER CHANCE WILL BE ACROSS THE NORTHERN ZONES AND HIGHER ALTITUDE. It's always looked questionable so this isn't a surprise. Euro still would suggest Pete and maybe HubbDave could have the better shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 AWTBOX still not too impressedWEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY...MODERATE/HIGH CONFIDENCEUPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE OUT OF THE GREAT LAKES BRINGING THENEXT BATCH OF PRECIP TO THE AREA. STRONG WAA ON WED AHEAD OF THESYSTEM WILL BRING IN CLOUDS AND INCREASING TEMPS/MOISTURE TO THEREGION. TEMPS SHOULD REGULATE BACK TO AVERAGE WITH 850MB TEMPSAROUND 7-8C. HAVE HIGH CONFIDENCE THAT SHOWERY CONDITIONS WILLPREVAIL DURING THIS TIME FRAME BUT LOW CONFIDENCE ON THE EXACTTIMING AS THERE IS STILL SOME MODEL DISCREPANCY. BELIEVE THAT PRECIPWILL BE OUT OF THE AREA BY THURSDAY NIGHT. WITH A LIMITED AMOUNT OFLIFT...THINKING IS THAT THE PRECIP WILL BE WIDELY SCATTERED ACROSSTHE AREA. TEMPS WILL RANGE NEAR AVERAGE FOR BOTH DAYS. PTYPE WILLREMAIN MOSTLY RAIN AS THE ECMWF THERMAL PROFILE IS MORE IN LINE WITHTHE GFS NOW. HAVE LOW CONFIDENCE THAT A FEW FLAKES MAY FALL YETBELIEVE THE BETTER CHANCE WILL BE ACROSS THE NORTHERN ZONES ANDHIGHER ALTITUDE. Best case scenario for Thursday is a coating or non accumulating snow for me I think. You and Will could luck out if the euro trends any colder, but it would be nice just to see snow fall. The 4/1-4/2 event would be awesome. What I would do for that event to work out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 All Aboard the DT Snowstorm train :scooter: *** ALERT *** ALERT ** PATTERN CHANGE NOW UNDERWAY COULD... COULD... SET UP APRIL 1 INTERIOR NORTHEAST US SNOWSTORM ... so says the 12z European Model.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Staying in the 30s on Tuesday for some areas? Temp has been constant at 45F all day here with a few light showers. Reality is back, but it still looks like late April out there. Thank God, LOL Maybe you guys can get some snow next week, enjoy what you get. All Aboard the DT Snowstorm train :scooter: *** ALERT *** ALERT ** PATTERN CHANGE NOW UNDERWAY COULD... COULD... SET UP APRIL 1 INTERIOR NORTHEAST US SNOWSTORM ... so says the 12z European Model.... LOL, where are my other pattern changes and snowstorms? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 It's still a little early for Thursday details, so we'll see how it plays out. In theory, you would like more of a CCB looking deal to squeeze out snow instead of an inv trough looking deal, but if rates are good..then that is all you need. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 It's always looked questionable so this isn't a surprise. Euro still would suggest Pete and maybe HubbDave could have the better shot. Yeah we've been eyeing CNE for a while on this...it recently trended colder in the last 36-48 hours or so for northern SNE to get in on the game...we'll have to see if the N ORH hills/monads/N GC can eek out an inch or two. But I'm mostly expecting just a flip to some flakes in the air here that don't accumulate much. Still would be nice to see. But still plenty of potential after this 3/29 threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Man the GFS is cold in the long range... where was that all winter, lol. Out in fantasy land its still showing -10C at 850 over New England out in the April 8-10 time frame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Yeah we've been eyeing CNE for a while on this...it recently trended colder in the last 36-48 hours or so for northern SNE to get in on the game...we'll have to see if the N ORH hills/monads/N GC can eek out an inch or two. But I'm mostly expecting just a flip to some flakes in the air here that don't accumulate much. Still would be nice to see. But still plenty of potential after this 3/29 threat. Have you been shut out for the month of March snowfall-wise and has that happened before @ ORH? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Yeah we've been eyeing CNE for a while on this...it recently trended colder in the last 36-48 hours or so for northern SNE to get in on the game...we'll have to see if the N ORH hills/monads/N GC can eek out an inch or two. But I'm mostly expecting just a flip to some flakes in the air here that don't accumulate much. Still would be nice to see. But still plenty of potential after this 3/29 threat. Yeah, there really is I think. That block to the north is awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Yeah, there really is I think. That block to the north is awesome. Funny how it decide to show up now after being MIA all winter long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 I am close to locking a major major winter storm for April 2nd. We could potentially be looking at as much tree and power line damage as the Oct storm with many of the trees already in full leaf out and another full 7+ days to continue opening up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Have you been shut out for the month of March snowfall-wise and has that happened before @ ORH? No, we had 4.2" on 3/1 (2nd half of the 2/29-3/1 event)...then another 1.2" on 3/2-3 on the front end of that following system. Then we had the snow squall on 3/7 I think it was. ORH has never been completely shut out in March, but a couple of times they have had a trace in March...most recently in 2006. 1995 as well. 1995 had the 2nd earliest end of accumulating snow in any winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Brian5671 says expect 70-80s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted March 25, 2012 Author Share Posted March 25, 2012 Wow that is a nice signal on the ensembles..lol. Thursday event looks like it still could get areas north of CT. Lol, nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Brian5671 says expect 70-80s. LOL. Gibbs says around April 16-18 is when we retorch for the rest of April Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 LOL. Gibbs says around April 16-18 is when we retorch for the rest of April No more wire to wire torch? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Brian5671 says expect 70-80s. No more freezes either. Done for the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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