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The unofficial official absurdly warm for March thread


Typhoon Tip

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There were pickup trucks out on the ice on indian lake last year at this time....now it is 100% open water

The contrast between this year and last year is startling. Last year at this time we had just got done with a 27" storm on the 7th and my stats show a monster 42" snowpack over the fences in town with around 100" top of the mountain. This year it's only 60" and patchy cover in the valley depending on aspect.

2009-2010 was pretty much just as bad. Snowfall was similar and the mountain had to shut down early after the first week of April. I've got pictures of bare ground at 3500ft on April 5th of 2010. Everyone forgets how bad that year was because of record Mid-Atlantic snow, but we are on pace with snowfall, depths, and melting.

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I've seen some hilarious rip and read 850 forecasts from some of the other ct sources. Just some awful numbers being thrown out.

Perhaps, but we've busted warm both Mon and today...got to 70 here=granted I'm on the northern side of Fairfield, still cracked 70 both days, Upton had us at 60 yesterday and 67 today....too cool.

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The thing is, a good chunk of the CT shore viewers are in the New Haven area north to Hamden, Bridgeport and interior Fairfield county, and then New London county. So, it may be close to 70F just off the shore. I still wouldn't go that ballsy though.

Like HVN, BDR, and GON are as close as you can get to the water...many shore line people will be near 67-70F while the climo stations may be 62-65F or something.

100% correct--sure right on the immediate, (and I mean within 1/2 mile) shoreline, it's chillier...but when BDR reads 60, most of us are 5-8 degrees warmer easily. So I laugh when they say "cooler at the shore" Unless you are right there on the beach, it's not really that much cooler... We cracked 70 both today and yesterday and I'm 3-4 miles inland from Fairfield Beach

-

BDR is a horrible indictor of the area's true temps....sits out on an airport strip on a pensula that juts out into the sound...same thing in the summer, the high there is 82, the rest of the area is 88-90 half the time.

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Are you referring to the never ending pattern of people thinking cold and snow is 2 weeks away or forgetting that even in a bad pattern it can snow in late spring?

If I went by this forum a day ago I'd have had my mittens and earmuffs ready for the festivities later Saturday. Instead I'll be above normal and the only place there will be ice is at the bottom of my glass.

What are you talking about? I was referring to the fact we have had extreme torches with bugs, blooms, frogs, etc in early March before then had below normal cold after. Some folks here post like its Armageddon. I must have missed the posts about Sat being cold.

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I saw a guy out on lake Ashmere tonight on the way home. The ice is still thick enough here but I wouldn't be out there. With all the run off springs can be energized and the ice can get scoured out from below. I've seen guys put planks from shore, across open water, to the ice that has pulled away.

I saw a couple of folks on the ice on one of our area lakes. I've no idea how thick the slab is, but with temps being what they have been lately there is no chance you'd find me out there. I like not being a lead news-story.

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That's what I was thinking....I saw a lot of magnolias in bloom around Baltimore and DC this past weekend when I went for an interview with DC public schools. Incredibly early.

Its a little early for there, but not extreme. All 3 DC area airports hit 80 today.

81 at DCA.

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50/49 imby but many of the local stations look higher.

Worked in the yard for a bit today and it actually felt grossly humid. lol

In the morning I'll take a picture of what is probably the last weenie snow piles I have for the foreseeable future but I'm still oddly inclined to believe something measurable falls before summer here.

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I saw a couple of folks on the ice on one of our area lakes. I've no idea how thick the slab is, but with temps being what they have been lately there is no chance you'd find me out there. I like not being a lead news-story.

Some of my much older and mostly deceased relatives (not from ice accidents lol) used to run walk planks out to the slabs when the edges were already gone in spring and have ropes tied to trees and draped out just in case. Hard workin', alcohol fueled, crazy Lithuanian fishermen, God love em'.

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I might just camp out on Wachusett if that occurred...lol. Would be the best storm all winter.

I'm all for an April snowstorm and this is something that has seriously been on my mind for several weeks now. I seriously am expecting one. Many people are going to get fooled by this incredible warmth but there are a quite a few signals that this pattern will break down...and there will still be cold air to be delivered. For as strong as this ridging will be here in the east the trough to our west will be equally as strong...that will work this way and we will have to deal with it...and at least the weather pattern is becoming more active which is something we want as well.

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I pray it happens just for the shear agony and outrage....

We're sitting on say...oh, March 24.3rth, and the model runs come out with a fresh piece of polar/arctic hybrid cold fragmention that cuts off between the Del Marva and ACK, with some -5SD cold anomalies in the 700 to 500mb partial thickness, for the 31st.

Oh we all throw our hand because the winter we have had has us all so collectively jaded and disillusioned.... Then it happens... ORH reports 42.1" total. PVD, 39". BOS 34", but their snow is wetter in the first half of the storm, so it makes sense. Maximum wind at Logan 81mph gust. ACK gust to 94mph. Storm take 30 hours to exit the area once it cuts, and this cause the biggest marine-land incursion disaster because it takes advantage of Spring tide. Storm beats out the Halloween deal of 1991, the Dec '92 run, and makes 1978 look like a teaser before the main event. Winds gust routinely to 60mph as far inland as BED-FIT-ORH-HFD. Temperatures plummet to 17F at ORH at the height of the storm.

And it all happens on the 31st of March, the warmest March in the history of weather keeping.

Man would that be a story for the grand kids.

OMG! LET THIS HAPPEN! What an 18th Birthday present that would be!! Lock this up.

:weenie: :weenie: :weenie:

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I'm all for an April snowstorm and this is something that has seriously been on my mind for several weeks now. I seriously am expecting one. Many people are going to get fooled by this incredible warmth but there are a quite a few signals that this pattern will break down...and there will still be cold air to be delivered. For as strong as this ridging will be here in the east the trough to our west will be equally as strong...that will work this way and we will have to deal with it...and at least the weather pattern is becoming more active which is something we want as well.

Well people shouldn't expect April snow, just because a trough is moving in. However, people in the interior should obviously take a little more interest if we indeed start seeing 540 and 534 thicknesses dropping south. Usually, that means the temps aloft are very cold and sufficient for snow. Heck even coastal areas may be ok with 534 thicknesses. Even though full sunshine may push temps to 60...the same airmass can produce snow. It's all about wetbulbing, precip drag, and lift helping to cool the column. Melting also helps cool the column.

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