Typhoon Tip Posted March 13, 2012 Author Share Posted March 13, 2012 THE PATTERN OVER THE WEST WILL FOCUS SIGNIFICANT PCPN ALONG THE WEST COAST INTO THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST/ROCKIES. HIGHEST TOTALS ARE FCST OVER NRN CA/SIERRA NEVADA RANGE WHERE AT LEAST SEVERAL INCHES OF QPF ARE ANTICIPATED OVER THE FIVE DAY PERIOD AND THESE NUMBERS COULD BE MODEST WHERE GREATEST TERRAIN ENHANCEMENT OCCURS. WRN AREAS SHOULD ALSO SEE A SIGNIFICANT COOLING TREND BY SAT-MON. MEANWHILE EXPECT PERIODS OF RNFL OVER THE PLAINS/MS VLY IN ASSOC WITH ENERGY/MSTR AT THE LEADING EDGE OF THE AMPLIFYING WRN TROF... WITH SOME LOCALLY MDT-HVY ACTIVITY POSSIBLE. MANY AREAS ACROSS THE CNTRL-ERN CONUS SHOULD SEE WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS THOUGH A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT ASSOC WITH WEAK ERN CONUS ENERGY ALOFT MAY TEMPER READINGS SOMEWHAT OVER THE NORTHEAST/EAST COAST BY THE WEEKEND. AS SUPPORTED BY TELECONNECTIONS RELATIVE TO ERN NOAM POSITIVE HGT ANOMALIES... DAYTIME TEMPS SHOULD BE FARTHEST ABOVE NORMAL FROM THE NRN PLAINS THRU THE GRTLKS WITH SOME HIGHS 20-35 F ABOVE NORMAL AND APPROACHING/EXCEEDING CALENDAR DAY RECORDS AT SOME LOCATIONS. SOME AREAS OF RNFL ARE PSBL ON THE WARM SIDE OF THIS FRONT. MUSHER/RAUSCH Eh, I'd replace "tempered some" with radically colder if the wind turns onshore AT ALL at this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 Nice hot, humid today..wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 Coming into a foreign regional forum to try to get some weenie somewhere mad that he won't get snow til next November or December Get a freakin' life. You mistake poor little Forky. He probably still has a snowball in the freezer from when he was 5 and his area got a freak snow storm. He lusts for snow yet is frustrated by constant denial. Unfortunately it manifests itself in this ugly way. Pity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 13, 2012 Author Share Posted March 13, 2012 CAR, Maine: This Afternoon: Snow. High near 38. East wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Total daytime snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. Tonight: Snow before 3am, then snow and sleet likely. Low around 26. East wind between 7 and 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow and sleet accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. Wednesday: Snow. High near 31. East wind between 6 and 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. Wednesday Night: A chance of snow, mainly before 10pm. Cloudy, with a low around 22. North wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 13, 2012 Author Share Posted March 13, 2012 you know I don't even know if we can call that a backdoor boundary on the Euro...it's backside CAA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 I thoiught you were talking about my professor...lol I know scooter was kidding lol Oh, no I wasn't lol. That's why I was lost, because it was obvious Scooter was kidding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 Wednesday and especially Thursday next week look very warm on the Euro. It's very far out, but good signal on most models for those days as the warmest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 We may never see such an anomalous pattern....ever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 Wow on the Euro for next week..Dare I say 87-88 in the hot spots? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 Wow on the Euro for next week..Dare I say 87-88 in the hot spots? If we can get more of a west flow, some areas might. But that means everything needs to go right which is a lot to ask this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 Low 70s again today. MOS FTL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 I wish we could make a weenie casino. Bet on things like MOS and Kevin's forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 LOL, look at NAM MOS for BOS. What a POS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 87 would be almost +40 on highs in some areas for next week...has that ever even happened? It would be awesome if it snowed after that. Most would not expect it at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 87 would be almost +40 on highs in some areas for next week...has that ever even happened? It would be awesome if it snowed after that. Most would not expect it at all. Late March 1998 had close to +40F departures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 We may never see such an anomalous pattern....ever. i thought that last july, and then again in aug/sept, and then again in oct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 Probably being too nitpicky, but 50F departure would be beyond the pale, even for just the daily max, but certainly for the mean. In my adventures with data from 100-yr plus stations, it's generally the case that the greatest departures are 35-40F, and that neg departures tend to be about 5F greater than positive. Yesterday's normal high for CON is 42; if everything breaks just right, they might approach +40 for a high temp next week (and +30 seems very possible, and perhaps a mean of +25), which is still extraordinary/absurd. Examples form the station I know best, Farmington: Greatest departure: -40.5F, 12/30/1917 (-11/-36) Greatest positive: +38.4, 1/14/1932 (62/48) Greatest March departures: +29.7, 3/20/1903 (79/40) and -28.9, 3/8/2007 (7/-17) Agree. I know you're speaking of the lower 48 in general...but I've seen some larger daily departures in Alaska. Examples: 1/3/2009 in McGrath (-43 departure, actual -45/-54, normal 4/-18) 1/16/2009 in Fairbanks (+50 departure, actual 52/27, normal -1/-20). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 Anyway...3pm obs...the highs are still at least +20, but its the dews that are impressive today...70/53 is incredible for early March. BAF, ASH 73/50 CEF 71/53 BDL, ASH 70/52, 70/48 BOS 69/52 ORH 67/50 HFD 65/53 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 i thought that last july, and then again in aug/sept, and then again in oct I think this is the most anomalous stretch. I mean to see this torch east of the Rockies is impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 Ughh I have to do a few days down in NYC next week. Maybe they'll get a sea breeze. Wow on the Euro for next week..Dare I say 87-88 in the hot spots? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 18C 850 temps in Northern Ontario on March 20th.... I think this is the most anomalous stretch. I mean to see this torch east of the Rockies is impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 Late March 1998 had close to +40F departures. Well still, we could make a run for the highest departures ever. I guess March would probably be the most likely month to do that. Yeah...right around my Birthday (3/31) is always the most varied period for the year I think. Of course there was 90F in '98, the April Fools day Blizzard, 01 or 02 it was in the 70s to near 80, last year it snowed 3-5". 2003 it was cloudy with flurries. A few have been very nice with 60F and sun. It's kind of cool for the wx for that day to vary so much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 18C 850 temps in Northern Ontario on March 20th.... People will remember this when we are shivering in 2 weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 This is almost comical at this point, another incredible day. Soon as that sun broke out around noon it was off to the races, the plant kingdom at least what I deal with is turned upside down. 64 sunny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 This is almost comical at this point, another incredible day. Soon as that sun broke out around noon it was off to the races, the plant kingdom at least what I deal with is turned upside down. 64 sunny I'm a little concerned about that. All these buds will come out, and then maybe get damaged when we have a freeze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 It's safe to say I nailed this warmth. Everyone laughed when I said 70's and 80's...guess what me FTFW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 It's safe to say I nailed this warmth. Everyone laughed when I said 70's and 80's...guess what me FTFW We all said it. You said days and days of 80s which will not happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 13, 2012 Author Share Posted March 13, 2012 87 would be almost +40 on highs in some areas for next week...has that ever even happened? It would be awesome if it snowed after that. Most would not expect it at all. Scott, Will, and I would though. There are products, and reasons alone out there to suggest that it turns colder before truly hitting the warm season. We've been discussing... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 It's safe to say I nailed this warmth. Everyone laughed when I said 70's and 80's...guess what me FTFW and it's been 60s/70s. you FTL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bozart Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 You mistake poor little Forky. He probably still has a snowball in the freezer from when he was 5 Then he's probably got more snow than you do. I just checked out the Merge cam. -lol- Maybe by next winter they'll let you back in OT, if God dies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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