ski MRG Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 A proper mid-March forecast. INCLUDING...TALKEETNA...WILLOW...CANTWELL 400 PM AKDT MON MAR 12 2012 .TONIGHT...PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS ZERO TO 5 BELOW EXCEPT 15 BELOW TO 20 BELOW TOWARD THE PARK. NORTH WIND 10 TO 15 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW MAINLY WEST OF THE PARKS HIGHWAY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S EXCEPT 5 TO 15 ABOVE TOWARD THE PARK. VARIABLE WIND 10 MPH. .TUESDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY...MAINLY WEST OF THE PARKS HIGHWAY. SNOW ACCUMULATION UP TO 2 INCHES. LOWS 10 TO 15 ABOVE EXCEPT ZERO TO 10 BELOW TOWARD THE PARK. NORTHEAST WIND 15 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...SNOW LIKELY...MAINLY WEST OF THE PARKS HIGHWAY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S EXCEPT IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S TOWARD THE PARK. NORTHEAST WIND 10 TO 15 MPH. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 20 EXCEPT ZERO TO 5 ABOVE TOWARD THE PARK. NORTHEAST WIND 10 TO 15 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS 25 TO 35. .THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 5 TO 15. .FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS 25 TO 35. LOWS 5 TO 15. .SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS ZERO TO 10 ABOVE. HIGHS 25 TO 35. .SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE TEENS. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS 25 TO 35. && Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 Too late, already out. Yep, saw wasps out this past Thursday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 Luckily I haven't seen any yet. I got stung today, and also got a bunch of mosquito bites. FTL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 To me the real start of leaf out is when the forsythia bushes open. As far as I can tell that is happening up to about Maryland right now. By the end of this week I would guess that would push north into Conn. Once forsythia open everything follows very rapidly. (assuming continuing warm temperatures) I was in DC this weekend, and there were magnolia and cherries in full bloom. Grass was almost completely green down there, and the maples all had the red pollen sacs. Amazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 Nope, it was definitely a tiny mosquito, actually was in the house with me. I'm assuming it came in while trying to train my dog to use the new doggy door. I got stung today, and also got a bunch of mosquito bites. FTL. The one thing I hate about this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 30-50 degree temp departures next week on the GFS in the N US is insane . False spring I believe the natives call it, fully believe now that bookend storm is in the cards with a crazy winter week, probably next full moon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 I dont know where else anyone will see this...so I'll ask here. Can I borrow snow shoes from anyone for a couple of days later this week? Very needed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 Temp went up at KBED from 58 to 61 last hour (the 10pm hour). Odd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 Temp went up at KBED from 58 to 61 last hour (the 10pm hour). Odd. KBOS: 7:54pm___52 F 8:54pm___57 F 9:54pm___60 F SW winds FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 Temp went up at KBED from 58 to 61 last hour (the 10pm hour). Odd. Variable wind speeds...just enough westerly wind to mix things back up a bit again.And oh yeah, thickening ovc too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 58F... Its actually kind of warm in my room. Incredible warmth. The temp right now is +14 on the high and probably +30 what the average would be at 11pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 Context for next week, the only prior recordings of 80s for KBOS in the month of March: 89F Mar31, 1945 86F Mar29, 1945 85F Mar28, 1989 83F Mar21, 1921 It does happen. 1945 was a particularly hot March, with multiple 70-80F days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 30-50 degree temp departures next week on the GFS in the N US is insane . False spring I believe the natives call it, fully believe now that bookend storm is in the cards with a crazy winter week, probably next full moon. Maybe if you're willing to travel. Otherwise, you and I will not see more than anther inch of slop. Keep it. Oh we may get a 37 rainstorm. Again....keep it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 My bad I guess. I interpreted as CT/MA b/c Scooter has been making fun of people all week for calling for Leaf out in a few weeks. And he said next week not next month? So I don't where you're getting Mid April from. But whatever haha...this is a stupid argument. He said green buds by April 1 which I interpreted as leaf out which was wrong but he wasn't joking lol When I heard the true definition of leaf out I changed what he said because it's a different stage. Oh well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 30-50 degree temp departures next week on the GFS in the N US is insane . False spring I believe the natives call it, fully believe now that bookend storm is in the cards with a crazy winter week, probably next full moon. Interesting Don Sutherland mentions 1997 as an analog in the main forum, albeit it's a cold outlier: I agree. However, at this point, about 60% of my preliminary analogs are showing warm anomalies for April, including in the Toronto-Ottawa areas, though the warm anomalies are less expansive than what had been seen during February and so far during March. A key assumption is that the La Niña gives way to neutral ENSO conditions. The coolest idea that is showing up at present is 1997, but for now 1997 is an outlier. I don't believe the current La Niña will give way to an El Niño conditions during late April as happened in 1997. Would be exciting, but you can't go wrong betting on at most a bookend storm to match Halloween: a slushy tease for Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 Maybe if you're willing to travel. Otherwise, you and I will not see more than anther inch of slop. Keep it. Oh we may get a 37 rainstorm. Again....keep it. Yeah by the end of his warm up climo highs are creeping into the 50s and except maybe GC and ORH hills, it'll be really hard to get appreciable snow and even there it wouldn't last long with climo that high Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 Interesting Don Sutherland mentions 1997 as an analog in the main forum, albeit it's a cold outlier: Would be exciting, but you can't go wrong betting on at most a bookend storm to match Halloween: a slushy tease for Boston. 1997 was cold and snowy even prior to 3/31-4/1 here. Probably had close to 10 inches of snow before the big one.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 1997 was cold and snowy even prior to 3/31-4/1 here. Probably had close to 10 inches of snow before the big one.. Yeah... just looking at climo stats, March 97 max temps were generally below average until the last week. And of course March 30 famously hit 63F before the onset of the blizzard the next night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 I just want Concord to end up with above normal snowfall. That would give some stats-noob some fun in the future lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow Bow Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 I just want Concord to end up with above normal snowfall. That would give some stats-noob some fun in the future lol As bad as this winter has been for most it really wasn't that bad at all imby. Last time I checked CON had about 8 inches less than here in Bow. They have been notoriously good at keeping really good snowfall totals, but this year they have seemed to be on the low side compared to what I've recorded and im only about 5 miles away by crow. Wouldn't think that few miles and 300ft of elevation I have on them would compute to around 10 inches less. Even the last storm we had they only recorded 8.9" while I had 11" on the ground after compacting all day while I was working. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 Weird question but... If monthly data is referred to as monthly, two month running mean data is referred to as bimonthly data (ex. MEI), three month running mean data is referred to as trimonthly data (ex. ONI), what would four month running data be referred to as...quad monthly? (ex. DJFM NAO data) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 lol...the Euro has actual 2m temps progged in the 80s next Wed for NE MA back toward ASH. I wonder if we can screw the warmth up again somehow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 Even if we do see a major cool down towards the end of the month you have to wonder how long the duration of that cooler weather will last, seems like more strong ridging will try to build in but I guess it all depends on how strong/stubborn that vortex is to our north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 lol...the Euro has actual 2m temps progged in the 80s next Wed for NE MA back toward ASH. I wonder if we can screw the warmth up again somehow. Yeah the high pressure was a little further south meaning better w-sw flow ahead of the front. It was more overhead in previous days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 There is always something to ruin the warmth this time of year, but could be pretty darn mild for 2 days anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 There is always something to ruin the warmth this time of year, but could be pretty darn mild for 2 days anyways. The good news with this well above-average warmth and the duration of it is this will really help to warm SST's which are already above-normal and if we can continue this stretch through April (obviously we will have some cool days mixed in) and continue to warm SST's quicker than normal if we do have to deal with BDCF's at any point later on they won't be *as bad* as they could be...virtually temps in the mid 50's rather than 40's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 ALB on board AMOUT..this is going to be wild next week AWT THIS PATTERN REFLECTS THAT OF LATE SPRING OR EARLY SUMMER WITH EXPECTED 500MB HEIGHT VALUES AT OR GREAT THAN 576DM ON MONDAY. THIS WILL SET THE STAGE FOR UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES AND PERHAPS MORE RECORDS ATTAINED /RECORD HIGH NEXT MONDAY IS 75F/. Days and days of 70's and 80's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 No end in sight thru the end of the month with the warmth. Crazy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 Just please let this last through May and perhaps we could get another 5/31/98. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 Just had a moderate burst of rain move through, first light is revealing a much greener landscape (lawns). 50 degrees outside at 714 am, people seemed to be focused on 2-3 days of extreme heat, the truth is its just rididculously warm day after day, now 13 straight months of above normal temps at BDR. Have a great day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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