CoastalWx Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 With all of this warmth and sunshine, when do you think leaf out may occur? Next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 Nice temp spread today.72/35. 37F diff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow Bow Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 High today was 71.2 around 2:00, it had dropped back to 69 for the last hour but just nudged back up to 70 again. Amazing how nice it is out there today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 Next week. For real? I was talking to my professor about temp forecasting with leaf out and he thinks by April 1 in SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 For real? I was talking to my professor about temp forecasting with leaf out and he thinks by April 1 in SNE. I don't know why people think that. There would have to be something very wrong with this planet if leaf out occurred up here on 4/1. If this weather continues, the earliest shrubs might start mid month with some trees following around that time or just after. A 2 week mild stretch won't do it, unless this persists. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 For real? I was talking to my professor about temp forecasting with leaf out and he thinks by April 1 in SNE. Sarcasm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 guidance gets taken to the woodshed today for highs--everyone busted 5-7 warm...I'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 12, 2012 Author Share Posted March 12, 2012 It's just never good to have the warmth shoved due north into Husdon Bay. The resulting pattern here is usually cooling BDF or seabreezes. I think this will be the best day for quite some time. At least into part of next week anyways. Edit: I more or less mean for warmth. It's still a mild pattern for sure. Agreed... we dirty up the warm appeal with a few of these spurious cold smears...whether BDooring...seabreezes...etc... But the 12z Euro really caved pretty heavily toward the GFS thinking for next week. As is the blend at 500mb would support a surface thermal ridging of some 20+ to 30F positive departures - yes that excessive - whether the 850mb partial thickness supports that or not ... probably not at this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 Wow at the 12z Euro for next week. +14-16c overhead ..ad 10-12 degrees with mixing..Those days next week will kill today's warmth, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 Wow at the 12z Euro for next week. +14-16c overhead ..ad 10-12 degrees with mixing..Those days next week will kill today's warmth, 90-95? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 Sarcasm. Some of the early maples in Newton are starting get the big buds. 60s-70 this week and then 80 next week...shrubs definitely leaf out...earliest trees too perhaps. This ain't your grandmother's March warm spell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 Today was a great example of why we were saying this torch means business. The other thing is..there looks to be one semi bad day inland. The coast is going to be cool ..but inland will still get to 60+ most of the days except Thursday and maybe Saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 Sarcasm. We were talking from NJ to CT and he was serious lol By leaf out I don't think we are on the same page...not full leaves but bigger green buds, my bad for no details on that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 90-95? Not but several days of 80+ seem likely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 We were talking from NJ to CT and he was serious lol By leaf out I don't think we are on the same page...not full leaves but green buds, my bad for no details on that. Leaf out is not buds...its the leaves actually coming out of the buds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 Agreed... we dirty up the warm appeal with a few of these spurious cold smears...whether BDooring...seabreezes...etc... But the 12z Euro really caved pretty heavily toward the GFS thinking for next week. As is the blend at 500mb would support a surface thermal ridging of some 20+ to 30F positive departures - yes that excessive - whether the 850mb partial thickness supports that or not ... probably not at this range. It's just going to depend on how the heat dome sets up and how amplified is the trough out west. If the trough can prevent going negative, then it has a better shot of bringing the warm air in here for 3-4 days without high pressure muting things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 Leaf out is not buds...its the leaves actually coming out of the buds. In that case, he said mid April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 Car thermo was 77 all the way down 91 from Windsor and then on 84 till I got past Vernon TORCH!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 Not but several days of 80+ seem likely I think you'll be lucky for more than 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 I think you'll be lucky for more than 1. Come west for a nice mild sunny weekend young man..come west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 Bugs are already out here im hoping for one last snowfall to kill some of them off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 Car thermo, which runs 5F too high on the highway in the sun, was 77 all the way down 91 from Windsor and then on 84 till I got past Vernon TORCH!! FYP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 Come west for a nice mild sunny weekend young man..come west Hype mode. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 12, 2012 Author Share Posted March 12, 2012 It really is refreshing to hear Kevin speak of warm (or cold for that matter) WHEN it is actually warm or cold hahaha. Scott, I saw you poke Kevin's hornet nest with the little 90-95 barb, but ... heh, actually, that blended 500mb height evolution off the operational Euro and GFS, would probably in reality support a +15C in the 850mb. These types of thermal ridgings usually are muted a tick or two compared to reality at these kind of time ranges... Don't worry, I am not killing the idea of one last hurrah of chill in the dream ranges... .not just yet anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 It really is refreshing to here Kevin speak of warm (or cold for that matter) WHEN it is actually warm or cold hahaha. Scott, I saw you poke Kevin's hornet nest with the little 90-95 barb, but ... heh, actually, that blended 500mb height evolution off the operational Euro and GFS, would probably in reality support a +15C in the 850mb. These types of thermal ridgings usually are muted a tick or two compared to reality at these kind of time ranges... Don't worry, I am not killing the idea of one last hurrah of chill in the dream ranges... .not just yet anyway. SSShhhh..He's thinking backdoors and 40's and drizzle for 3-4 days..let him go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 This will all be a memory by the end of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 SSShhhh..He's thinking backdoors and 40's and drizzle for 3-4 days..let him go Days and days of 85+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 This will all be a memory by the end of the month. Yep, but even by the averages are creeping into the 50s. Enjoy this now until we can get it again in May. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 People, if you have pools...open them up. Plant the veggies now. Remember to check on pets and the elderly next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 Last page of this thread. And no, he wasn't serious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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