CoastalWx Posted March 11, 2012 Share Posted March 11, 2012 On 3/11/2012 at 10:53 PM, wxwatcher91 said: Yeah, I did some hiking around Welsh and Dickey mountains on Saturday. Elevation isn't impressive or anything but the views are amazing. We went off trail a lot and in some shaded areas we were postholing through 20-30" of snow! Shoulda told me you were up here today! LOL, I thought of you as we went into town. I went with my folks to a store on Rt 25 to buy some furniture for their place. I didn't really spend too much time in town. I used to go camping/canoeing up the road in Rumney on the Baker River. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 11, 2012 Share Posted March 11, 2012 Kevin, next week's pattern does not scream extreme warmth to me. High pressure is too close by for lots of 80F temps, but it sure looks warm. If you want the real warmth, you need that high to the south for good SW flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted March 11, 2012 Share Posted March 11, 2012 Just thought I'd let everyone know its 7pm and its still light out 6:55pm: 48F Projected Low: 28F LOLOLOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 11, 2012 Share Posted March 11, 2012 I kept thinking of Pete and his evergreen glen when I went through an area that was sheltered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 11, 2012 Share Posted March 11, 2012 On 3/11/2012 at 10:57 PM, CoastalWx said: Kevin, next week's pattern does not scream extreme warmth to me. High pressure is too close by for lots of 80F temps, but it sure looks warm. If you want the real warmth, you need that high to the south for good SW flow. Mon _Tues 70 Fri-at least the following Tuesday 70-80 and possibly a few into the 80's at BDL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted March 11, 2012 Share Posted March 11, 2012 On 3/11/2012 at 10:41 PM, CoastalWx said: There was a good snowpack in the more evergreen areas up on my drive from the Lakes Region through Squam Lake and into Plymouth. Probably 10+" in the most protected area. Quite variable. I wouldn't call it snow pack, but in the more evergreen areas of Stafford and Union there are still patches of snow and couple ponds still had ice on them. I should be able to pick up a couple more days of sap runs in those areas before the trees stop running with this warm weather coming up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 11, 2012 Share Posted March 11, 2012 On 3/11/2012 at 11:05 PM, CT Blizz said: Mon _Tues 70 Fri-at least the following Tuesday 70-80 and possibly a few into the 80's at BDL 70 I can see, 80 will be hard, but possible of we get enough sw flow. I bet one day near 80 if any. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 11, 2012 Share Posted March 11, 2012 On 3/11/2012 at 11:07 PM, MetHerb said: I wouldn't call it snow pack, but in the more evergreen areas of Stafford and Union there are still patches of snow and couple ponds still had ice on them. I should be able to pick up a couple more days of sap runs in those areas before the trees stop running with this warm weather coming up. Even over here, I saw a weenie snow patch in Wilmington. How appropriate. It's a different world once you get to Dendrite's latitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 11, 2012 Share Posted March 11, 2012 On 3/11/2012 at 11:08 PM, CoastalWx said: 70 I can see, 80 will be hard, but possible of we get enough sw flow. I bet one day near 80 if any. I cannot stress this enough..DO NOT UNDERESTIMATE this torch. This thing is a beast. Go over any numbers that are out there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 11, 2012 Share Posted March 11, 2012 On 3/11/2012 at 11:09 PM, CT Blizz said: I cannot stress this enough..DO NOT UNDERESTIMATE this torch. This thing is a beast. Go over any numbers that are out there LOL, I highly doubt a few days in the 80s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 11, 2012 Share Posted March 11, 2012 The near shore area melted a bit, but still pretty wintry. This was taken this morning from my parents place. You can see sun torched areas have bare spots (much more this aftn), but the shady areas have like 10-12" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 11, 2012 Share Posted March 11, 2012 On 3/11/2012 at 8:55 PM, CT Rain said: Actually this time of year having the high parked overhead isn't the best for torching. Subsidence inversion limits mixing, weak pgrad means no downsloping and keeps sea breezes strong. bumpity bump bump Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 11, 2012 Share Posted March 11, 2012 On 3/11/2012 at 11:25 PM, CT Rain said: bumpity bump bump Agreed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 11, 2012 Share Posted March 11, 2012 Eh...it may not mean 80s, but with no snow cover and a near equinox sun we should be able to get well into the 70s on a few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 11, 2012 Share Posted March 11, 2012 On 3/11/2012 at 11:37 PM, dendrite said: Eh...it may not mean 80s, but with no snow cover and a near equinox sun we should be able to get well into the 70s on a few days. Yeah that shouldn't be much of a problem...but just trying to keep things in perspective. Kevin is like a stubborn forest fire. Have to put water on it every now and then, or else it begins to get out of control. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted March 11, 2012 Share Posted March 11, 2012 On 3/11/2012 at 11:38 PM, CoastalWx said: Yeah that shouldn't be much of a problem...but just trying to keep things in perspective. Kevin is like a stubborn forest fire. Have to put water on it every now and then, or else it begins to get out of control. Ugh. I'm not looking forward to his blathering on about death by fire for the next 7 months. BTW, thanks for thinking of me and my glen. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 11, 2012 Share Posted March 11, 2012 On 3/11/2012 at 11:38 PM, CoastalWx said: Yeah that shouldn't be much of a problem...but just trying to keep things in perspective. Kevin is like a stubborn forest fire. Have to put water on it every now and then, or else it begins to get out of control. Yeah...my bad for forgetting who we're dealing with. Everything really has to go right to get 80F this time of year. There's a reason why there are so few 80s even at BDL for the month of March...especially if you subtract out the end of 3/1998. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
highways1 Posted March 11, 2012 Share Posted March 11, 2012 I wouldn't be surprised to see someone in the CT river valley touch 80 one of those days but more likely 70-75. At the coast as usual it'll depend on the wind trajectory. One thing I'm wondering down the line with the water being several degrees warmer than average is if it will limit some of the backdoor influence a little. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SquatchinNY Posted March 11, 2012 Share Posted March 11, 2012 WHat exactly is a Backdoor Cold Front? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 On 3/11/2012 at 12:18 PM, dendrite said: And so it begins this morning after a cold start. It'll be interesting to see how much MOS is off by. 6z MAV/0z MET highs for today... BTV 50/49 55 CON 56/51 58 PWM 47/48 52 BDL 58/54 60 BOS 55/52 58 PVD 57/52 54 ORH 54/50 54 BDR 53/52 54 Actual highs in bold above.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 On 3/11/2012 at 11:46 PM, highways1 said: I wouldn't be surprised to see someone in the CT river valley touch 80 one of those days but more likely 70-75. At the coast as usual it'll depend on the wind trajectory. One thing I'm wondering down the line with the water being several degrees warmer than average is if it will limit some of the backdoor influence a little. Honestly, the water is still so cold, that any flow off the water will have a profound effect within like 10 miles of it atleast. I'm originally from coastal CT, and the water is usually around 40F this time of year and this year its like 45F...that does absolutely nothing in the bigger picture. If we get a warm airmass with wind off the water, it'll be 75F at BDL and 65F here instead of 60F like a normal year lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 On 3/11/2012 at 11:47 PM, SquatchinNY said: WHat exactly is a Backdoor Cold Front? Here, let Ray Stagich explain: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 FYI ..Ray is a Saugerties, NY native like me. I don't know him, but my mom taught at the same school with his mother and he is around my younger sister's age. Of course he plays second fiddle to the most famous SHS alumni ...Jimmy Fallon. On 3/12/2012 at 12:46 AM, Happy Valley said: Here, let Ray Stagich explain: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 On 3/11/2012 at 11:09 PM, CT Blizz said: I cannot stress this enough..DO NOT UNDERESTIMATE this torch. This thing is a beast. Go over any numbers that are out there Kevin, get it through your bald skull... no one takes your forecasts seriously!!!!! Hahaha Why do you even try to make meteorological statements? WOTY!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 I'm going with 71F tomorrow for BDL! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 And just like that the Euro kills the extreme weekend torch. Cutoffs ftw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 This looks quite mild. http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ecmwfens/00zecmwfenshourly850mbTempAnomalyNA240.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 Instead of 80 this weekend it's 70..fine with me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 LOL AWT, the big warm temps fail next week with cutoffs. GFS might win Saturday too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 12, 2012 Share Posted March 12, 2012 Nobody is getting to 70..not even close if models are right this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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