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March 2012 Central/Western Obs/Disco


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NWS Grand Forks is quite bullish on the thunder threat Sunday through Tuesday in ND/MN. It looks like I could get some elevated activity up my way, too.

I'm not expecting severe activity. Any lightning or thunder at this time of the year would be more than I could ask for.

Do you think the thunder threat would extend into southern MB or stay south?

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NWS Grand Forks is quite bullish on the thunder threat Sunday through Tuesday in ND/MN. It looks like I could get some elevated activity up my way, too.

I'm not expecting severe activity. Any lightning or thunder at this time of the year would be more than I could ask for.

Do you think the thunder threat would extend into southern MB or stay south?

According to last nights ECMWF yes, according to this morning run of the GFS no.

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Broomfield (BJC) Airport

temp:70

dew point: -20

RH: 2%

This airport is on a flat hilltop at 5654 ft right next to Broomfield, south of Boulder.

The exact same temp/dew point occurred last Tuesday 06 March 2012 at 21:53 UTC

I think this is the lowest dew point I've seen outside the Sahara desert.

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Broomfield (BJC) Airport

temp:70

dew point: -20

RH: 2%

This airport is on a flat hilltop at 5654 ft right next to Broomfield, south of Boulder.

The exact same temp/dew point occurred last Tuesday 06 March 2012 at 21:53 UTC

I think this is the lowest dew point I've seen outside the Sahara desert.

I've been in dewpoints 10-20 degrees lower :shiver:

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Models are showing a rather impressive system moving into the Northern Plains early to mid next week. GFS is quite impressive in showing severe thunderstorm potential in the Dakotas and Minnesota Monday night into Tuesday.

There would also be snow potential on the backside of the system Tuesday night into Wednesday for far northern areas into southern MB/northwest Ontario.

NWS Grand Forks makes mention of this system and seems quite impressed.

Any thoughts?

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