ski MRG Posted March 4, 2012 Share Posted March 4, 2012 While some bask in a future torch some of us frolic in the winter that is here now. Just a beautiful late Winter day in GC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 4, 2012 Share Posted March 4, 2012 I did notice that the 18Z GFS finally boots the cutoff out around day 9 and does give places like Sunday River a crushing sap snow.... only matters to someone who might be skiing up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 4, 2012 Share Posted March 4, 2012 You probably remember May 9, 1977 70F the day before then 5.5" of snow and more in some places. Snow day in May for me in sixth grade. 9" for me... but I was only in 3rd grade...lots and lots of damage. similar to what might happen if there was a big snow event in Octob... ...hey Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 4, 2012 Share Posted March 4, 2012 lol @ the 18z gfs next Monday. 60s for CT, snowstorm for Maine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 4, 2012 Share Posted March 4, 2012 lol @ the 18z gfs next Monday. 60s for CT, snowstorm for Maine 18z GFS is another monster torch in the long-range, wow just wow. No cold air anywhere but Greenland. Regarding May 10 1977, I can't believe it snowed that much then. 2" in Westchester is crazy for May. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted March 5, 2012 Share Posted March 5, 2012 Every year people get lulled into thinking Spring is here and it's time to frolic nude only to have a bitter blast of Winter roar in and dash their hopes. This year will be the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted March 5, 2012 Share Posted March 5, 2012 9" for me... but I was only in 3rd grade...lots and lots of damage. similar to what might happen if there was a big snow event in Octob... ...hey Wtf...1" in Burlington ct and 20" in Norfolk ct? That's happened? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 5, 2012 Share Posted March 5, 2012 No offense to the people hoping for 50/17 temps to keep their snowpack, but if the modeling verifies anywhere close to what it is now we all lose our snow outside of the mtn higher elevations. Prolonged 50s/60s and sun is deadly this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 5, 2012 Share Posted March 5, 2012 No offense to the people hoping for 50/17 temps to keep their snowpack, but if the modeling verifies anywhere close to what it is now we all lose our snow outside of the mtn higher elevations. Prolonged 50s/60s and sun is deadly this time of year. Yup. 29F temps tomorrow will damage mine with it being March. It's ovah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 5, 2012 Share Posted March 5, 2012 Yup. 29F temps tomorrow will damage mine with it being March. It's ovah. By the end of the week, most of us (yes, Pete, not you...), will be back to what we have seen 90% of this winter Surprisingly, I had a couple of very small snow/ice patches left from January. Now buried under 7-8" of stuff And in the Gardner-Walmart parking lot, shadows of October still dwell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted March 5, 2012 Share Posted March 5, 2012 Every year people get lulled into thinking Spring is here and it's time to frolic nude only to have a bitter blast of Winter roar in and dash their hopes. This year will be the same. Except most of us haven't had any winter to speak of whatsoever. Spring has been here basically since the end of Jan. Or was that the end of Fall? Kinda runs together at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 5, 2012 Share Posted March 5, 2012 By the end of the week, most of us (yes, Pete, not you...), will be back to what we have seen 90% of this winter Surprisingly, I had a couple of very small snow/ice patches left from January. Now buried under 7-8" of stuff And in the Gardner-Walmart parking lot, shadows of October still dwell West of the hills in Vermont is a disaster. Only a few patches of snow here and there. They have been like us this winter, except they only got 2" out of the 3/1 system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 5, 2012 Share Posted March 5, 2012 Except most of us haven't had any winter to speak of whatsoever. Spring has been here basically since the end of Jan. Or was that the end of Fall? Kinda runs together at this point. Cuz this never happens in New England Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted March 5, 2012 Share Posted March 5, 2012 I was just saying to Nate, this pattern isn't just a really amplified ridge in the eastern half of the nation, it's a full displacement of the jet way north of climatology across North America. Best example is last September. Keep in mind that in these patterns, troughs ejecting from the GOA into the CONUS are easily cutoff. So a couple things to consider: Amid the warmth, there's also the threat of a significant rain event at some point ... possibly even with tropical connection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 5, 2012 Share Posted March 5, 2012 I was just saying to Nate, this pattern isn't just a really amplified ridge in the eastern half of the nation, it's a full displacement of the jet way north of climatology across North America. Best example is last September. Keep in mind that in these patterns, troughs ejecting from the GOA into the CONUS are easily cutoff. So a couple things to consider: Amid the warmth, there's also the threat of a significant rain event at some point ... possibly even with tropical connection. ALA the GFS???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 5, 2012 Share Posted March 5, 2012 No offense to the people hoping for 50/17 temps to keep their snowpack, but if the modeling verifies anywhere close to what it is now we all lose our snow outside of the mtn higher elevations. Prolonged 50s/60s and sun is deadly this time of year. Yeah I mean it's good to develop that icy glaze at night, but during the day, that melts rather quick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted March 5, 2012 Share Posted March 5, 2012 Cuz this never happens in New England How many times in late April has it not snowed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 5, 2012 Share Posted March 5, 2012 How many times in late April has it not snowed? Probably 80% of the time here. Maybe 90% of the time...going by MBY But it does happen from time to time. I also got this last April 1 (7") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted March 5, 2012 Share Posted March 5, 2012 ALA the GFS???? ? I haven't looked at any model guidance today. What run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted March 5, 2012 Share Posted March 5, 2012 Probably 80% of the time here. Maybe 90% of the time...going by MBY But it does happen from time to time. I also got this last April 1 (7") Yea, I remember some early/mid April snows even down in VA growing up. Of course the snow is gone by mid day but still an interesting sight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 5, 2012 Share Posted March 5, 2012 Yea, I remember some early/mid April snows even down in VA growing up. Of course the snow is gone by mid day but still an interesting sight. Def no threats up this way for a while, until that torch moves off. Maybe too late by then, but you never know. And of course, a fluke like April 1997 or May 1977 is possible... We got a few inches in May a few years ago (2004?) - ORH_wxman always has to correct me for the date of that one. It is not in the ORH data Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted March 5, 2012 Share Posted March 5, 2012 ? I haven't looked at any model guidance today. What run? LOL! Wow all the GFS runs today develop some tropical disturbance around the Bahamas. Put a weakness in the ridge over the Ohio Valley, and we have serious concerns for a big rain storm. Just some thoughts anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 5, 2012 Share Posted March 5, 2012 Def no threats up this way for a while, until that torch moves off. Maybe too late by then, but you never know. And of course, a fluke like April 1997 or May 1977 is possible... We got a few inches in May a few years ago (2004?) - ORH_wxman always has to correct me for the date of that one. It is not in the ORH data May 18, 2002 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted March 5, 2012 Share Posted March 5, 2012 Except most of us haven't had any winter to speak of whatsoever. Spring has been here basically since the end of Jan. Or was that the end of Fall? Kinda runs together at this point. That sucks for most of you then. I haven't seen my lawn for a couple months. While it hasn't been a harsh snowy Winter it has still been Winter. Take it from somebody that works outside everyday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 5, 2012 Share Posted March 5, 2012 May 18, 2002 Thanks, Brian Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 5, 2012 Share Posted March 5, 2012 It's not that I feel confident we'll get another major snowstorm. Of course the odds for this area are at about 50% from here on out. But checking the models for a late season snow threat is the only game in town here through April. We don't get severe that early (what little we ever get) and it's too early to do gardens given frost threats. The ground underfoot up here will turn to a quicksand-like muddy clay as soon as the frost comes out. So basically March/April are a waste other than the threat of a late season snow event. When May comes it finally becomes worth wishing for warm weather. Though TBH, I never wish for warm wx...I just despise it. LOL .....but come May I can understand the rationale for it. How many times in late April has it not snowed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted March 5, 2012 Share Posted March 5, 2012 By the end of the week, most of us (yes, Pete, not you...), Ski MRG might actually be warmer this week than some SNE coastal locations. Heading into that time of year where even the mountains of western Mass can be 10+ degrees warmer than places like GON, BID, MVY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 5, 2012 Share Posted March 5, 2012 LOL! Wow all the GFS runs today develop some tropical disturbance around the Bahamas. Put a weakness in the ridge over the Ohio Valley, and we have serious concerns for a big rain storm. Just some thoughts anyway Did that rain yesterday wash away all your snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 5, 2012 Share Posted March 5, 2012 LOL! Wow all the GFS runs today develop some tropical disturbance around the Bahamas. Put a weakness in the ridge over the Ohio Valley, and we have serious concerns for a big rain storm. Just some thoughts anyway Yeah I mean it's the looney GFS truncation crap, but it's quite Spring like with the jet lifting north and all those cutoffs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 5, 2012 Share Posted March 5, 2012 Yeah I mean it's the looney GFS truncation crap, but it's quite Spring like with the jet lifting north and all those cutoffs. I like how the 18 Z ENS keep the idea of anafrontal precip up North and keep the real torch off for the next ten days except for the Wed Thursday period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.