PrinceFrederickWx Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 Sadly, the warm weather won't last. It is still March, after all. Wouldn't be all that surprising to see temperatures actually go below average towards the end of the month. I disagree. Any "cool down" we get (which I seriously doubt will happen anyway) will just be to near-normal temperatures. This will be a top ten warmest March at BWI for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dude Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 80 in March is a 40 % chance so not that big of a deal unless mid to upper 80s though warm for sure. 10-11 70 + in a row is nuts though Bring it on. I've accepted this winter as a lost cause, so the next best thing is to skip the worthless 40s and rain and go straight to the 60-70s and sunny. I want to get as much of those in as possible before the miserable 90s and humidity show up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 Bring it on. I've accepted this winter as a lost cause, so the next best thing is to skip the worthless 40s and rain and go straight to the 60-70s and sunny. I want to get as much of those in as possible before the miserable 90s and humidity show up. Agree all the way with this. It was easy to write off winter as soon as early march was a winter no-show on the models during the last week of Feb. I'm probably wrong but I have a hunch that this summer isn't going to be brutal at all. I think we may have a favorable pattern in July-Aug to keep the deathly bermuda high from being dominant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FrederickWX Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 Agreed and thank God. Way too warm already. You probably have a decent chance (20-30%) at accumulating snow as well. I like photographing different types of flowers and early spring flora, so I don't want it to get too warm too fast. Tulips and other flowers disappear quickly when we get early season heat. So I would mind a period of 60s for awhile. In the 8 years we've lived up here, we've had three occasions where we've seen accumulating snow in April. One of those events was quite memorable, as we recorded 2-3 inches of accumulating snow, during daytime hours, in the second week of April. Latest snow event to accumulate that much that I've ever seen in this area, so it can and does happen. April snow would be fitting, given that our biggest snow event here was actually in October. The average person is going to be shocked when these May temperatures drop back to March or late-February levels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 Can we do 9 days in a row? Probably pretty hard. I say we do 6-7 The next 10+ days could very well be 70+ in addition to yesterday's... maybe even toss in a couple of 80+ highs. The GFS has 11 in a row, but any ill-timed rain/clouds/S wind at DCA could lead to a 68° "bust". Or a Euro situation where we get stuck in some sort of easterly flow. 64.3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FrederickWX Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 I disagree. Any "cool down" we get (which I seriously doubt will happen anyway) will just be to near-normal temperatures. This will be a top ten warmest March at BWI for sure. I agree that we are likely to see a top-10 warmest March, as this stretch of 70+ (with a couple of 80 degree days) won't be moderated much by a drop back to normal or below towards the end of the month. However, it's not out of the realm of possibility that we go below normal for at least a time as we get towards the end of March and into early April. Back in 1988, 1989 or 1990 (forget which year), while still in college, I remember a stretch of 3 or 4 days in March where we were in the upper-80s (Baltimore Harbor had temps recorded in the 90s). About a week later, we saw accumulating snow. Don't forget there is still a lot of very cold air in the northern hemisphere right now. Ocean temperatures are also still cold, so any type of easterly air flow will chill things significantly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 Bring it on. I've accepted this winter as a lost cause, so the next best thing is to skip the worthless 40s and rain and go straight to the 60-70s and sunny. I want to get as much of those in as possible before the miserable 90s and humidity show up. I like 50s/60s. Sunday was perfect. I don't see the value of humid and upper 70s now. I want it as cold as possible at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 I like photographing different types of flowers and early spring flora, so I don't want it to get too warm too fast. Tulips and other flowers disappear quickly when we get early season heat. So I would mind a period of 60s for awhile. In the 8 years we've lived up here, we've had three occasions where we've seen accumulating snow in April. One of those events was quite memorable, as we recorded 2-3 inches of accumulating snow, during daytime hours, in the second week of April. Latest snow event to accumulate that much that I've ever seen in this area, so it can and does happen. April snow would be fitting, given that our biggest snow event here was actually in October. The average person is going to be shocked when these May temperatures drop back to March or late-February levels. The 24-25th/1990 was the best of the 3 late events. Trixie remembers it. Snow fell overnight and stuck though not to the street. On the 28th temps were in the teens in the burbs that morning. This of course after upper 80s. That December was of course sick and we had blocking that winter before the uber reversal. This winter has shown absolutely no evidence that we can achieve something like that. However even march 2002 had a massive arctic outbreak in late March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 64/55 at DCA 65/55 here at metro center We are going to bake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 64/55 at DCA 65/55 here at metro center We are going to bake. 71 downtown Baltimore 69 at BWI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 71 downtown Baltimore 69 at BWI Yeah. We're at 68/55 now. Should hit 70 by noon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 I just observed a random pair of sandals sitting out in one of our courtyards without anyone in it. Strange. But today feels like it may be a lunch outside day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 71.5° Helps to start from a low of 57.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 Yeah. We're at 68/55 now. Should hit 70 by noon. 72 @ BWI 75 downtown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 69/55 DCA 70/55 Metro Center 80? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 Backyard station at 71 and there is a light breeze. Some clouds starting to come in from the West. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 My favorite weather 74° with a slight breeze. Rooftop says 74.7° with a 8 mph S wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 1pm DCA: 70 IAD: 75 BWI: 75 75.4° on mine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
astarck Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 1pm DCA: 70 IAD: 75 BWI: 75 75.4° on mine Day 2 of ____. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 1pm DCA: 70 IAD: 75 BWI: 75 75.4° on mine 73 here downtown. Southerly winds FTL. Annapolis 58 last hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 1pm DCA: 70 IAD: 75 BWI: 75 75.4° on mine 78 downtown Bmore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 78 downtown Bmore Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 Lol Yeah, I dunno - Science Center I think runs warmer than most areas. The one I have at my office that sits just outside my window says 74 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 I want to go home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 77 @ BWI Science Center is up to 79, which doesn't seem to bad as other stations around the city are 77-78 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 77 at Martinsburg at 2 p.m. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 15Z HRRR showing a line of moderate storms rolling through 4-5p... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 Inner Harbor hit 81 between hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 The CU is starting to look healthier around here now and cloud cover is building. Tops are looking a bit meh.. well cause the entire day is meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 The CU is starting to look healthier around here now and cloud cover is building. Tops are looking a bit meh.. well cause the entire day is meh LWX mention there was a cap at h7 in its morning AFD... so its probably why we haven't seen much development yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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