H2O Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 Foggy as a mofo after yesterday's rains. mid 60s will be nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 Feels like spring. 55.4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 Looking forward to 60s today, tomorrow and maybe even 70s Saturday (I'll be on the lower eastern shore) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 Oops. Posted obs in other thread. No coffee yet. Hope we do get to 60 today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 7:45 and it is 52. Part of me is liking that number. I say bring on Spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 High of 59 and it's already 57. Beautiful morning with the fog burning off. Other than the lady that pulled out in front of me and came inches from me hitting her. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 Any chance for some severe Fri night into Saturday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 Any chance for some severe Fri night into Saturday? In the greater DC/MD region, there could be some gusty winds if we can get a decent line of storms to move through in the morning hours, but with the CAD in place ahead of this thing I don't see that much to get excited about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 In the greater DC/MD region, there could be some gusty winds if we can get a decent line of storms to move through in the morning hours, but with the CAD in place ahead of this thing I don't see that much to get excited about. How about the lower eastern shore? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 How about the lower eastern shore? It looks just a hair better there, but it's pretty much the same story. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 It looks just a hair better there, but it's pretty much the same story. Thank you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 In the greater DC/MD region, there could be some gusty winds if we can get a decent line of storms to move through in the morning hours, but with the CAD in place ahead of this thing I don't see that much to get excited about. Using Earl Barker soundings, 09z SAT looks kinda interesting on the 12z NAM around teh area. No SBCAPE, but there is a lil MLCAPE and good SRH. LI's -2ish and SUP potential is in the 60-70% range... so perhaps some damaging wind gusts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 Using Earl Barker soundings, 09z SAT looks kinda interesting on the 12z NAM around teh area. No SBCAPE, but there is a lil MLCAPE and good SRH. LI's -2ish and SUP potential is in the 60-70% range... so perhaps some damaging wind gusts? I think a low topped gusty line is the best you can hope for at this point. 09z in March is not exactly the most favorable time or time of year for seere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 I think a low topped gusty line is the best you can hope for at this point. 09z in March is not exactly the most favorable time or time of year for seere True... but it would be nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 Using Earl Barker soundings, 09z SAT looks kinda interesting on the 12z NAM around teh area. No SBCAPE, but there is a lil MLCAPE and good SRH. LI's -2ish and SUP potential is in the 60-70% range... so perhaps some damaging wind gusts? The problem is you have to be able to mix those winds down to the surface, and with the kind of low-level temperature inversion we're looking at it'll be hard to bring severe-level gusts to the surface. Looking at the 12z NAM, the main squall line appears to outrun the cold front. That means that the strongest storms will probably not match up with the warmest surface temps, limiting the severe potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 10am temps: DCA: 66 BWI: 62 IAD: 62 Shouldn't climb too much more today as the cold front moves through, but we could see DCA hit 70 today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted March 1, 2012 Author Share Posted March 1, 2012 What an awesome day out there so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 62, sunny and gorgeous. i'd like to bottle this weather for use come May - Sep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 I also have to say 62 and absolutely beautiful out! Actually have some of my windows open. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 68 in Annapolis today nischhhh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 Severe weather possible again in my neck of the woods tomorrow...similar to Wednesday. Moderate risk area is close enough. Timing is good for heating. I was up in S. OH on business today and it was cloudy and pretty damn cold just across the border. I gained almost 20 degrees on the way home this afternoon...sunny and warm at the house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 Foggy as a mofo after yesterday's rains. mid 60s will be nice. Got up at 2am and no fog, an hour later when I left for work, dense fog from here until just west of dulles. Gorgeous day today though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 I am tempted to go on a tornado chase tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 I am tempted to go on a tornado chase tomorrow. So....starting at bwi and taking the direct southwest flight o Louisville before starting? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 I'm hugging this until the 3 pm update: THESE STEEP LAPSE RATES AND DPVA ASSOCIATED WITH MID-LVL ENERGY MAY BE ENOUGH TO PRODUCE A FEW SHOWERS ON SUN. N AND W OF THE CITIES...DESPITE MAX TEMPS IN THE LOW TO MID 40S...EVAPORATIVE COOLING WITH ANY SHOWERS WOULD BE SUFFICIENT ENOUGH TO SUPPORT SNOW GIVEN VERY DRY AIRMASS IN SUB-CLOUD LAYER /A VERY SIMILAR SETUP TO LAST SUN/. Nah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 The moderate risk area for today was shifted eastward..now into the western third of WV and Charleston area. Awaiting the warm front passage this morning. Cold front passes after sun down, but the storms may be out ahead of the front as usual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV 1029 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2012 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... SOUTHEASTERN BOONE COUNTY IN WEST VIRGINIA... WESTERN FAYETTE COUNTY IN WEST VIRGINIA... SOUTH CENTRAL KANAWHA COUNTY IN WEST VIRGINIA... SOUTHEASTERN LOGAN COUNTY IN WEST VIRGINIA... NORTHWESTERN RALEIGH COUNTY IN WEST VIRGINIA... NORTHWESTERN WYOMING COUNTY IN WEST VIRGINIA... * UNTIL 1115 AM EST * AT 1028 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR MALLORY...OR 13 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LOGAN...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH. * OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO OCEANA...WHARTON...BALD KNOB...BURNWELL...MOUNT HOPE...POWELLTON AND OAK HILL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV 1029 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2012 Warm front convection Currently getting moderate rain on the cold side...and a rumble of thunder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 Watch likely later this afternoon for western portions of WV MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0208 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1030 AM CST FRI MAR 02 2012 AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF ERN IND...NERN KY...MUCH OF OH AND ADJACENT WEST VIRGINIA CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY VALID 021630Z - 021800Z A WATCH IS NOT NECESSARILY ANTICIPATED IN THE NEAR TERM...BUT ONE PROBABLY WILL BE NEEDED LATER THIS AFTERNOON. THE SEVERE HAIL POTENTIAL ASSOCIATED WITH STORMS SPREADING NORTHEASTWARD WITHIN AN ELEVATED WARM ADVECTION REGIME...IN ADVANCE OF THE SURFACE WARM FRONT LIFTING NORTHWARD THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY...MAY BE LIMITED ENOUGH TO PRECLUDE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ISSUANCE. HOWEVER...THE RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE LATER THIS AFTERNOON...AS THE WARM SECTOR OF A DEEP SURFACE CYCLONE...MIGRATING NORTHEAST OF THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION...ADVECTS NORTHEAST OF THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY. AT THE PRESENT TIME...IT APPEARS THAT A TORNADO WATCH COULD BECOME NECESSARY CLOSER TO THE 21-22Z TIME FRAME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 It's going to be a terrible day for folks in Indiana, Kentucky, Tennessee and Alabama. Already reports of for damage in northern Alabama. And schools in al are letting out early to give folks time to prepare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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