KokomoWX Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 Can see some blue skies off the west here in Carmel.. Looks like I dodged a bullet here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 Huge Tornado on the ground... http://www.severestudios.com/cgi-bin/player.pl?username=bryan.kilgore&uid=1415 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 i'm interested as hell to see what ends up happening around here. A bust or if we end up with a tornado or two around the central OH area later. If we do get severe, it'll be one of the strangest severe wx days I've ever seen unfold. When I was driving on i-70 heading west this morning it was hazy sunshine, 40 degrees, and yet I could see thundercloud tops way off in the western sky, it looked like something you'd see on a warm humid summer morning. Then the temp started to climb rapidly and we got up to low 50's within an hour or two. Than it started raining and temps dropped to the mid 40s just after noon. Now temps are rising again, it's still raining and now we have the sound of thunder. The outbreak in NE OH in May of 1985 started off cold and rainy in the morning...just sayin... I's still cold with rain down here, but see some breaks in the clouds heading this way. Losing time for heating though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 Just couldn't clear out in time. I think things could've been different farther north if the morning complex didn't exist or moved out quicker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hoosierwx Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 Fredricksburg, IN look for their second hit in about 15 or 20 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 Looks like I dodged a bullet here. Yes, I feel we got lucky up here this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 Anyone know how Joe is doing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 On a statewide scale maybe, but that boundary is surging north quickly. I think the southwestern part of the state is going to see some nasty stuff. Yeah, I'd say the Cincinnati area has the greatest potential, especially with the warned cells to the southwest. Temps have been hovering in the low 50s with rain and clouds all day here in Columbus, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 Wanna go? Just got to cmh Wish I could. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 Anyone know how Joe is doing? He must have heard me i have debris falling from the sky on the north side of the lead in/ky supercell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 i'm interested as hell to see what ends up happening around here. A bust or if we end up with a tornado or two around the central OH area later. If we do get severe, it'll be one of the strangest severe wx days I've ever seen unfold. When I was driving on i-70 heading west this morning it was hazy sunshine, 40 degrees, and yet I could see thundercloud tops way off in the western sky, it looked like something you'd see on a warm humid summer morning. Then the temp started to climb rapidly and we got up to low 50's within an hour or two. Than it started raining and temps dropped to the mid 40s just after noon. Now temps are rising again, it's still raining and now we have the sound of thunder. Yeah, it hasn't felt at all like a potential severe wx day. Temps are rapidly rising now, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 ohio has it's first tornado warning...richland and darke counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 Yeah, I'd say the Cincinnati area has the greatest potential, especially with the warned cells to the southwest. Temps have been hovering in the low 50s with rain and clouds all day here in Columbus, though. That boundary is still going to surge north some, but I think Columbus will be about the northern extent of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
afterimage Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 Interesting from Indy AFD: NEAR TERM /THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT/ SEVERE THREAT CONTINUES. THUNDERSTORMS...SOME SEVERE...ONGOING ACROSS MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA. THE COLD FRONT LAGS THESE BY QUITE A BIT AND THERE IS CLEARING IN THE MIDDLE WHERE RAPID REFRESH IS SHOWING SOME REDEVELOPMENT SO MAY NOT BE ABLE TO CLEAR OUT RISK UNTIL A BIT LATER. STILL LOOKS LIKE EVERYTHING WILL BE OUT OF THE AREA BY 0Z BUT WILL CONTINUE TO CARRY A CHANCE IN THE EAST SINCE TORNADO WATCH THERE RUNS UNTIL 2Z BUT EXPECT TO BE ABLE TO CANCEL THAT EARLY. WINDS WILL PICK UP BEHIND THE FRONT WITH TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT IN THE WAKE OF THE SURFACE LOW THAT WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN TONIGHT AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST ACROSS MICHIGAN AND WILL CONTINUE WIND ADVISORY THROUGH 3Z. MAY HAVE TO EXTEND AS GUSTS MAY NOT BE DONE BY THEN BUT WILL REEVALUATE THIS ONCE TORNADO WATCHES DROP TO AVOID ANY CONFUSION. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 I really don't get DTX...!..Pathetic..they keep the watch still up...what are they going to wait for? Until the winds are here? hm.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 Debris falling out of the sky in advance is never good. I'm sure there could be exceptions but I have noticed that it usually takes an EF3+ to do that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 Debris falling out of the sky in advance is never good. I'm sure there could be exceptions but I have noticed that it usually takes an EF3+ to do that. Yeah that is very concerning among the reports of schools being hit, more than likely the kids would have been held as it would have been close to release time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpsycho Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 I really don't get DTX...!..Pathetic..they keep the watch still up...what are they going to wait for? Until the winds are here? hm.. I think the feel like they will just bust. Look at the last Winter Storm Warning. Here is their write up: THE HIGHEST IMPACT FOR THE PERIOD WILL BE STRONG WINDS. AS THE LOW DEEPENS FROM THE OBSERVED PRESSURE OF 992MB NEAR CHAMPAIGN, IL TO 973MB JUST NORTHEAST OF SAGINAW BAY...A STRONG ISALLOBARIC WIND WILL DEVELOP. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT FORCE WILL ALSO BE A FULL CONTRIBUTOR TO THE HIGH WINDS. THE COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE REGION NEAR 06Z...AND MODELS ONLY SHOW SLIGHT ACCELERATION THROUGH THE CWA. NAM AND GFS BUFR SOUNDING DEPICT 60-70KT MIXING DOWN FROM H8 TONIGHT...EXPECTING SURFACE WINDS GUSTS TO REACH NEAR 50 MPH FROM THE 03-09Z TIMEFRAME. LIMITING FACTORS TO THIS EVENT INCLUDE THE NOCTURNAL TIMING, A LACK OF ISENTROPIC DESCENT, AND WINDS NOT LINING UP PARALLEL TO THE SYSTEM RELATIVE FLOW. HAVE DECIDED TO LET SOME MORE OBSERVATIONS COME IN TO NORTHERN INDIANA AND SW MICHIGAN BEFORE MAKING THE WARNING DECISION ON HIGH WINDS. CONFIDENCE IS HIGHEST FOR THE DETROIT METRO AREA AND SOUTH...BUT NORTH OF I-69 NOT ENTIRELY SURE WE WILL HIT THE 58 MPH THRESHOLD. ALSO CONFIDENT IN ISSUING A WIND ADVISORY FOR MIDLAND/BAY/SAGINAW AS THE LOW WILL TRACK CLOSE TO THAT AREA...LIMITING THE PGF WINDS. Okay I can understand that reasoning but why not just issue an advisory? Advisory conditions are going to happen and then put words in there saying a Warning may still be needed if conditions worsen. That's what I would do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 I think the feel like they will just bust. Look at the last Winter Storm Warning. Here is their write up: THE HIGHEST IMPACT FOR THE PERIOD WILL BE STRONG WINDS. AS THE LOW DEEPENS FROM THE OBSERVED PRESSURE OF 992MB NEAR CHAMPAIGN, IL TO 973MB JUST NORTHEAST OF SAGINAW BAY...A STRONG ISALLOBARIC WIND WILL DEVELOP. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT FORCE WILL ALSO BE A FULL CONTRIBUTOR TO THE HIGH WINDS. THE COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE REGION NEAR 06Z...AND MODELS ONLY SHOW SLIGHT ACCELERATION THROUGH THE CWA. NAM AND GFS BUFR SOUNDING DEPICT 60-70KT MIXING DOWN FROM H8 TONIGHT...EXPECTING SURFACE WINDS GUSTS TO REACH NEAR 50 MPH FROM THE 03-09Z TIMEFRAME. LIMITING FACTORS TO THIS EVENT INCLUDE THE NOCTURNAL TIMING, A LACK OF ISENTROPIC DESCENT, AND WINDS NOT LINING UP PARALLEL TO THE SYSTEM RELATIVE FLOW. HAVE DECIDED TO LET SOME MORE OBSERVATIONS COME IN TO NORTHERN INDIANA AND SW MICHIGAN BEFORE MAKING THE WARNING DECISION ON HIGH WINDS. CONFIDENCE IS HIGHEST FOR THE DETROIT METRO AREA AND SOUTH...BUT NORTH OF I-69 NOT ENTIRELY SURE WE WILL HIT THE 58 MPH THRESHOLD. ALSO CONFIDENT IN ISSUING A WIND ADVISORY FOR MIDLAND/BAY/SAGINAW AS THE LOW WILL TRACK CLOSE TO THAT AREA...LIMITING THE PGF WINDS. Okay I can understand that reasoning but why not just issue an advisory? Advisory conditions are going to happen and then put words in there saying a Warning may still be needed if conditions worsen. That's what I would do. Yeah I know, already saw the discussion, but seriously........when are they going to issue the warning? Middle of the night when everyone is asleep?...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 Some scary sounding reports coming out of Henryville, IN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 It looks like, outside of the cell south of Cincinnati, everything else is weakening as it moves in Ohio... like clockwork. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 It looks like, outside of the cell south of Cincinnati, everything else is weakening as it moves in Ohio... like clockwork. true but I'm not ready to write off that area around Dayton. Any of those cells could strengthen and still have time to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 Louisville is going to have their work cut out for them in terms of surveys in the coming days. Besides the monster Clark county storm, there were other big cells and countless potentials for brief spinups in lines. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 The lady on the NBC station is clearly spooked. Yikes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 true but I'm not ready to write off that area around Dayton. Any of those cells could strengthen and still have time to. well I'll write them off for cmh at least now. I would have been surprised to see us end up with a tornado warning in the vicinity, (not even a severe tstorm watch in the area), on a day that featured virtually no sunshine, and 1 and 2 hour long periods of steady rain. Not to mention temps that were almost 15 degrees off the projected high of near 70. guess it wasn't such a strange day afterall....at least for our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 I just heard a small town - Marysville is completely gone! I think it is/was near Owensboro, KY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 I just heard a small town - Marysville is completely gone! I think it is/was near Owensboro, KY. That would be Marysville Indiana (Clark county). Reports out of New Pekin/Henryville/Marysville area sound like a lot of damage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 Louisville is going to have their work cut out for them in terms of surveys in the coming days. Besides the monster Clark county storm, there were other big cells and countless potentials for brief spinups in lines. They'll have a busy night just fielding calls as more and more damage is discovered too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nic Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 The winter trend of nothing in Ohio continues into spring. I would have liked to see some hail and gusty winds. Hopefully the nothing pattern breaks next winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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