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Our region's extreme run


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Forecast is for 79 now so it seems likely.

The same is true for DCA (including historical DC records back to 1872) and IAD, with the NWS forecasts for Friday (November 6th) being 80 and 79, respectively, and the current records in each case being 78. However, the hurdle is not all that great, as the record high temperature from Nov. 6th until the end of the year is 83 for DCA and 81 for IAD.  Both of those records were set on November 15, 1993. 

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The same is true for DCA (including historical DC records back to 1872) and IAD, with the NWS forecasts for Friday (November 6th) being 80 and 79, respectively, and the current records in each case being 78. However, the hurdle is not all that great, as the record high temperature from Nov. 6th until the end of the year is 83 for DCA and 81 for IAD.  Both of those records were set on November 15, 1993. 

 

80 would be a heck of a mark at any of the sites.  Only a handful of 80s beyond the first few days of the month on record.

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80 would be a heck of a mark at any of the sites.  Only a handful of 80s beyond the first few days of the month on record.

 

Yeah, there's only been six record 80+ highs at BWI in Nov. (none in Dec.), and the last one is 11/8/1975. Monthly record high was 86 on 11/1/1950 so that's not happening either. But it would be neat if we could get another 80+ record.

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IAD also appears to have had a 63 minimum this morning, which would break the high minimum record of 61 set on this date in 2003, if it holds through midnight.

It did hold, and IAD's minimum yesterday exceeded DCA's by three degrees.  The last time that IAD's minimum exceeded DCA's was, I believe, April 7th.  IAD currently has a departure for November of +10.1 degrees, vs.+ 8.4 at DCA.   

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It did hold, and IAD's minimum yesterday exceeded DCA's by three degrees.  The last time that IAD's minimum exceeded DCA's was, I believe, April 7th.  IAD currently has a departure for November of +10.1 degrees, vs.+ 8.4 at DCA.   

Pffffttttt....those are chilly.

Blacksburg currently running a +13.3, Roanoke a +11.3.

This is crazy. Think at end of month we went backwards one to Sept instead of forward to Nov.

Least my wood supply should last at this rate, still haven't built first fire in stove yet this fall.

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  • 2 weeks later...

If BWI would finish with the current +6 departure, that would be 3rd hottest Nov.

 

I'd say a top 10 hottest Nov. would be a good shot if it weren't for the extended forecast- that's probably going to knock it down a lot.

 

We're still at +4.3 with (I think) three good +departure days coming up... maybe we can still get this after all.

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  • 2 weeks later...

This December will be the EXACT opposite of 1917..............

 

1917 was tied for 2nd coldest at BWI- 1989 was #1 by a pretty large margin.

 

The most frustrating Decembers were 2011 and 2012, which finished 16th and 11th, respectively. I hope we can torch our way to #1 but we'd have to put up a +9.0 departure to get hottest December ever (1931) so that's gonna be very hard.

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