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Our region's extreme run


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BWI's had 16.58" for the summer now, so 8.81" is needed in August to beat the rainiest summer ever record. That's not going to be easy, as 8.81" by itself would be 12th wettest August.

 

More realistic records are:
-Another 4.25" in August gives us top 5.
-Another 1.81" in August gives us top 10.

 

(these are all to break reocrds, not tie them, so subtract 0.01" for everything to tie a record)

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BWI's had 16.58" for the summer now, so 8.81" is needed in August to beat the rainiest summer ever record. That's not going to be easy, as 8.81" by itself would be 12th wettest August.

 

More realistic records are:

-Another 4.25" in August gives us top 5.

-Another 1.81" in August gives us top 10.

 

(these are all to break reocrds, not tie them, so subtract 0.01" for everything to tie a record)

Similar picture for DCA, which has seen 16.95 inches of precipitation this meteorological summer, already # 17 on the all-time DC list. However, the DC summer record is a staggering 27.05 inches, set in 1906. But to make the Top 5, DCA needs just 2.94 inches in August.

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  • 4 weeks later...

Similar picture for DCA, which has seen 16.95 inches of precipitation this meteorological summer, already # 17 on the all-time DC list. However, the DC summer record is a staggering 27.05 inches, set in 1906. But to make the Top 5, DCA needs just 2.94 inches in August.

Didn't happen, as DCA recorded only 1.16 inches of precipitation in August, 15th lowest in DC history.  Meteorological summer total of 18.11 inches still good enough for 13th all-time. 

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  • 4 weeks later...

With respect to overall temperatures, the 2014 astronomical summer at DCA was a virtual carbon copy of 2013, averaging a minimum of 69.5 degrees and a maximum of 85.8 degrees.  And, believe it or not, the overall average was identical no matter how many decimal points you carry it out -- 77.66 degrees to two decimal points, which is the 26th warmest in DC history.

The 2015 DCA astronomical summer (June 21-Sept 23) averaged 79.21 degrees  -- 5th warmest in DC history.  Warmest was 1980, at 81.74 degrees.  The 2015 DCA meteorological summer (June 1-Aug 31) was also 5th warmest in DC history, at 79.68 degrees.  Warmest was 2010, at 81.24 degrees.

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Didn't happen, as DCA recorded only 1.16 inches of precipitation in August, 15th lowest in DC history.  Meteorological summer total of 18.11 inches still good enough for 13th all-time. 

Yesterday's 1.65 inches of precipitation at DCA was the highest daily amount there only since June 27th's 2.75 inches; however, yesterday's 1.57 inches of precipitation at IAD was the highest daily amount there since June 8, 2014 (1.71 inches).

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Yesterday's 1.65 inches of precipitation at DCA was the highest daily amount there only since June 27th's 2.75 inches; however, yesterday's 1.57 inches of precipitation at IAD was the highest daily amount there since June 8, 2014 (1.71 inches).

You missed the 1.6" on 7/8/2015.
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  • 1 month later...

Forecast is for 79 now so it seems likely.

The same is true for DCA (including historical DC records back to 1872) and IAD, with the NWS forecasts for Friday (November 6th) being 80 and 79, respectively, and the current records in each case being 78. However, the hurdle is not all that great, as the record high temperature from Nov. 6th until the end of the year is 83 for DCA and 81 for IAD.  Both of those records were set on November 15, 1993. 

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The same is true for DCA (including historical DC records back to 1872) and IAD, with the NWS forecasts for Friday (November 6th) being 80 and 79, respectively, and the current records in each case being 78. However, the hurdle is not all that great, as the record high temperature from Nov. 6th until the end of the year is 83 for DCA and 81 for IAD.  Both of those records were set on November 15, 1993. 

 

80 would be a heck of a mark at any of the sites.  Only a handful of 80s beyond the first few days of the month on record.

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80 would be a heck of a mark at any of the sites.  Only a handful of 80s beyond the first few days of the month on record.

 

Yeah, there's only been six record 80+ highs at BWI in Nov. (none in Dec.), and the last one is 11/8/1975. Monthly record high was 86 on 11/1/1950 so that's not happening either. But it would be neat if we could get another 80+ record.

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IAD also appears to have had a 63 minimum this morning, which would break the high minimum record of 61 set on this date in 2003, if it holds through midnight.

It did hold, and IAD's minimum yesterday exceeded DCA's by three degrees.  The last time that IAD's minimum exceeded DCA's was, I believe, April 7th.  IAD currently has a departure for November of +10.1 degrees, vs.+ 8.4 at DCA.   

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It did hold, and IAD's minimum yesterday exceeded DCA's by three degrees.  The last time that IAD's minimum exceeded DCA's was, I believe, April 7th.  IAD currently has a departure for November of +10.1 degrees, vs.+ 8.4 at DCA.   

Pffffttttt....those are chilly.

Blacksburg currently running a +13.3, Roanoke a +11.3.

This is crazy. Think at end of month we went backwards one to Sept instead of forward to Nov.

Least my wood supply should last at this rate, still haven't built first fire in stove yet this fall.

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  • 2 weeks later...

If BWI would finish with the current +6 departure, that would be 3rd hottest Nov.

 

I'd say a top 10 hottest Nov. would be a good shot if it weren't for the extended forecast- that's probably going to knock it down a lot.

 

We're still at +4.3 with (I think) three good +departure days coming up... maybe we can still get this after all.

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